hooralph

49 minutes ago, Cmass495 said:

Harvey: "This is a classic, this is a classic .... even in Worcester I can see 18-24."

At his age and experience, Harvey just has no f*cks left to give. 

Where do I order the RAP? Does it come Prime next day?

I decided to ignore the 12z models after the NAM. Just went out for a glorious run in Central Park in the light snow. grass and bridle paths covered in snow.  Geese gathering on the ice, on the lookout for the Bald Eagle hanging out at the Reservoir. Reset me. We'll get the snow we get. 

heartbreaker (if you were hoping for continued westward trend)

West trend stopped. This won't be nearly as good for NYC.

It seems irrational, but I feel like we are either going to get about 8" or 28" here in the city.

I haven’t been able to shake the feeling for the last three days that we weee not out of it. Too few times the bullseye D4 is the final solution… too many times the bands set up NW. we shall see … 

8 minutes ago, Jt17 said:

Yes w/ratios, but that salmon color is 2 ft and it's brushing up along the outer edges of queens. Just about the width of a boro from 2ft of snow in central park on that NAM run.

 

 

3 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

It's funny how there are certain locales that are always on the line on these maps no matter what kind of storm it is. Temp, trajectory, QPF... never matters. Always on the line. My place in MD is like that. I am frequently on 1, 2, or even 3 different Iines on DT maps. LOL

He seems uniquely skilled at drawing cutoff lines through major cities/reporting stations in such a way that it both confuses and... raises verification scores.

10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think the death band is going to be between me and ORH.

i.e. 495 belt. That warms my heart and pains me. I grew up in Acton and spent the 10 years before I left for college just hoping to sniff out 6-8" events. Did not have a single snow day in HS over 4 years.

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

A Hecs / Mecs  is off the table but a nice secs is still on. What's wrong with that ?

We're all chasing the white whale up until the time the snow starts falling. That's who we are. But once that happens, close the laptop, go outside and enjoy what falls.

1 minute ago, mob1 said:

Ukie took a rather big step back 

Back and to the left?

21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Cosgrove buys the NAM...using NAM, GEM,UK blend...expects 960 bear Provincetown

Deal with it-

Provincetown Bear week is in the summer.

2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

These better runs tonight seem to have dropped the stalling BS and just drive this sucker north to north east. That's a better look for a region-wide MECS versus a HECS over a 20 square mile part of NJ or Eastern MA.

You mean a HEMASS? Or a HNJB?

I'm just gonna hang out here. The NYC forum must look like a bar in Buffalo this past Sunday night.

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

You guys are nuts.   Gfs made a huge bow towards the euro.   Forget about the verbatim.

Shh. Help me plug in this toaster while I draw my bath. Nobody left in the NYC forum. It's Jonestown after the GFS.

If you take koochie maps for NAM and GFS at face value,

NYC 2-24"

BOS 15-22"

ENE still where I'd want to be.

Someday I am going to open a bar called "966 on the Benchmark"

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

EE rule in full MF’ing effect 

Hell yes. beat me to it.

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

Crappier than 12z. The posts here made it seem like this was a monster run until I looked. 

Every model run from here on out will get a play-by-play from Gus Johnson.

I am going to exorcise the demon of Juno with this Onion piece.

Just now, Wxoutlooksblog said:

Nam is worthless until you're within 60 hours really. Even then, take it with a grain of salt.

WX/PT

This next two days are the worst part of the wait as we start overreacting to 60 to 84 hour NAM panels. At least one will show NYC getting 40" of snow; another will show a cutter to the Lakes.

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The $14 million grand slam....it was actually game 6 BTW (still an elimination game as it was)

I was there! And I recently discovered my own video of it!

https://www.dropbox.com/s/o8fwsutawsemrlj/ALCS 2007 2.mp4?dl=0

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Just my opinion.

Just saying - all of it is still on the table. You could have your sights set on the CF in SNE then NYC comes in from behind with the outer deform band a la 2/2006.