hooralph

On 11/8/2023 at 9:55 AM, CoastalWx said:

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/todd-crawford-5a02092_elnino-thenino-weather-activity-7127989341116604417-vxbu?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop

Wait am I sleeping on LinkedIn as another forecast source????

That video lays out why '78 is and will remain the GOAT. It's like debating Jordan vs. LeBron.

I rode my scooter home down the West Side highway from Battery Park in a very light rain. My wife thought I was nuts, but it was 10x than trying to navigate the subway. The bike paths there fortunately drain very well - almost no standing water.

Looks like it’s backing in to manhattan.

7 minutes ago, Terraryzing87 said:

Mets game is cancelled. Yet Pier 17 still going through with an outdoor concert. Shameful.

yeah that won't happen.

I have a feeling Riverside Park is going to lose some big trees today. Been saying that for two years. There's lots of erosion. Huge old trees on slopes. They randomly fall on sunny days.

That stuff headed right into Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan looks... highly problematic.

That storm over the Bronx is just not moving. Only expanding.

Had to put the high temp distribution in another post. And these show the actuals with range for Sept.

I spent some time visualizing long term temp trends last year. The data set was through last December, I believe. So the 2020s data is only 20,21 and 22. But the trends are stark.

This all show the distribution of high and low temps (Aug to Nov) and freezing temps in cold season.

7 hours ago, nycwinter said:

some flashes of lighting not to loud thunder meh storm for upper manhattan

That was an absolute banger on the UWS (100s). Everything: strobe light lighting, strike near us (judging by sound), whistling wind. Sheets of rain.

What is this from NYRR??? low 40s at 7-8 AM in mid March is exactly seasonal. Lol. I ran in 2015,16 and 17 and the temp was between low 30s and upper 30s… 

Invoking EE rule gets NYC to 12" or so.

Over in SNE forum, many have made mention the Kuchie could be more accurate.

I resigned myself to nothing for days... but could not let escape the thought that being outside the bullseye from Day 7 down to Day 3 could ultimately pay dividends...

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Toss that.

Nah I’m good.

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I miss that model....it was the NAM with a GFS extension. Tip used to refer to it as the "Frankenstein model" lol

I like the Ukie solution.

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Ukie:

 

30 “ at ORH and deez nutz over NYC.

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

 

I'll take e21 to go, please.

Almost no snow downtown. Just moved into a new office right above the Bull. DM me if you want to know how long the line is to get a picture with his balls

Upon further inspection, it’s a healthy 2”. I’d say with compaction it was probably 2.5 or so.