hooralph

7 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

3.0 inches at Central Park at 1:00 PM.

For anyone in that area, does that sound about right?

Seems low to me and I find I’m usually conservative. I measured 5” on a trash can lid about 1:15.

I measured 5” on a trash can lid. 

2 minutes ago, etudiant said:

Very wet snow falling in Manhattan UES since about 9.30 AM, mostly melting on contact.

Actual accumulation is modest, perhaps an inch as of 1PM.

Would guess it might be a more substantial event further north.

That’s really hard to believe. I walked outside for 30 minutes on the UWS about 11:30 and there was about 3” on railings, benches and cars. Even some streets had 2” on the pavement.

13 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Any central park reports yet. On TWC they had the guy there and the sidewalk with no accumulation. 

Would guess it’s approaching 5”. Was a healthy 3+ around me over an hour ago.

10 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

Love the pics. Is that a couple maniacs trying for outdoor dining? Or just curbside?

That’s the fish stand at the farmers market by Columbia. Outdoor dining was shut down today

Stunner out. Sticking to everything. Over 3” is my guesstimate.

Big

snow globe flakes on UWS since about 8:45. Not sticking to cars yet.

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Our extended snow cover build up on the Euro is headed for a hard cement freeze next weekend. So the NWS may have to issue an excessive road salt build up alert. Probably our best chance in a while to drop below 10° in NYC.

 

Manhole explosion watch will be needed for all of NYC.

Here's raw data (as far as I could screenshot)

5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Here’s the top 10 on XMACIS:

Maximum 8-Day Total Snowfall 
for New York-Central Park Area, NY (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Value	Ending Date	Missing Days
Last value also occurred in one or more previous years.
Period of record: 1869-01-01 to 2021-02-05
1	29.2	1947-12-30	0
-	29.2	1947-12-29	0
-	29.2	1947-12-28	0
4	28.9	1947-12-27	0
5	28.6	1947-12-26	0
6	27.9	2016-01-24	0
-	27.9	2016-01-23	0
8	27.5	2016-01-29	0
-	27.5	2016-01-28	0
-	27.5	2016-01-27	0

I pulled out the unique maxes from the different periods since most all are driven by single storms.

52 minutes ago, uncle W said:

its missing Jan 2016 

I just ran this using a CPK data set I pulled right before the new year.

Here's what I get as the periods in front of us we can pass

Interestingly, I also calculated 15 day totals and they are not much higher. Jan 6, 1948 is tops at 32.1

Looking at the forecasts, I recall one of my favorite random, low key storms - 2/7/03. Two weeks before the Blizzard, it came up the coast like a bullet; nearly identical snowfall distribution. Is that an analog here? Boston got a foot out of out.

http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/07-Feb-03.html

39 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

While this sounds probable, I am not convinced that the warmer climate is the reason for higher snowfall amounts.  Snow in the NYC metro area has always been difficult to come by.  It seems most systems have always been on the edge of the rain snow line. Cold air is always a necessary ingredient.  As temperatures have increased, I find it difficult to believe that the warmer climate is the reason for our bigger snowfalls over the last 20 years. Warmer air holds more moisture, but is the increase in ocean (or air) temperature proportionately related to the higher snow amounts?    Is there actual data/studies proving that the warmer climate is leading to increased snowfall in the NYC area, or just supposition?  Or maybe it has to do with the track of the systems (perhaps due to a warming climate)? 

It's certainly supposition on my part. I know there has been research and studies showing that extreme rain events are (and will continue to become) more likely, and I would think ocean heat content would increase moisture available for snow storms, but it would have to be born out with research. wrt studies... it would be interesting to do a long term analysis of snowdepth, snow cover and snowfall amounts (both season and from individual events) across multiple locations. If the theory holds, we'd theoretically see increases in median and average snowfall from storms... but that snow depth and days with snow cover may not actually be increasing.

1 hour ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

Anyone else find it interesting that despite the phenomenal seasonal snowfall totals we've had around here, even including 1995/1996, that we haven't cracked this list?  Maybe because a lot of our recent great seasons have occurred without exceptional cold, and it's harder to thread the needle twice in a week in such conditions? 

Edit:  I'll get back in my lane now lol

 

 

 

 

 

Layman’s take on the changing climate: it would make sense that we are trending towards more extremes... that more of our snow is coming from larger events. It’s harder to sustain cold that allows small systems to stack up snow... but when we thread the needle, with much more ocean moisture to work with... watch out. 
 
I predict we see a 30” + snow in NYC proper in the next 5-10 years

1 hour ago, NorthShoreWx said:

It reminds me of when I was a slightly younger adult reading Walt's AFDs.

Good times!

I might have Walt's AFD for the March 2001 storm saved somewhere.

16 minutes ago, MANDA said:

This Central Park stuff is such nonsense.  Simple task and it can't be performed correctly?????

What a joke.

THEY HAD ONE JOB.

In all seriousness, I scratched my head ay 18.3. I had just spent an hour out in Riverside and you wouldn't have convinced me we had more than 15-16".

That deescalated quickly... hoping we get a pivot and some new bands to set up over the city to make a run at 20". Otherwise guessing we are sitting near 15" based on the 13.3" at CPK earlier.

Heaviest of the day here on the UWS.

Puking snow here again. Keep that sleet out of Manhattan.

Ramping back up, curtain coming back down...

Things have let up and I was getting worried... lol. Looks like it’s going to pick back up again shortly