Jump to content

hooralph

Members
  • Posts

    1,317
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by hooralph

  1. 3 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

    Delicate for sure. To get a major snowstorm this weekend will be the definition of a thread the needle to say the least. If I had to guess I think this becomes an eastern Long Island, eastern New England event. Everything would have to come together absolutely perfect to give DC - BOS a major snowstorm, the setup (+AO, +NAO, no 50/50 low, ripping fast flow) is not a good one. The +PNA and WAR need to be just perfect in tandem with each other to avoid this going OTS

    I think this form has zero f's to give about a DC getting in on this. Just put us in play with ENE like the big ones from the last decade and we can fight it out model run to model run. One will be standing at the end.

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 1
  2. 29 minutes ago, hooralph said:

    Say what you will, but this winter has a sense of humor. Overproducing cold with midday high of 19 at CPK after our warm bust of white rain yesterday.

    Teleconnections be damned: I fully expect a Feb torch and a damp miserable spring. This winter has strong late 80s early 90s in Mass vibes to me.

     

    Or this...

     

    17 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

    Feet of snow for Georgia and rain here

    Big change of 0z

     

    9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

    FL gets more snow than us lol

     

    • Haha 1
  3. Say what you will, but this winter has a sense of humor. Overproducing cold with midday high of 19 at CPK after our warm bust of white rain yesterday.

    Teleconnections be damned: I fully expect a Feb torch and a damp miserable spring. This winter has strong late 80s early 90s in Mass vibes to me.

    • Like 1
    • Haha 3
  4. 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

    NAM is pretty underrated, especially when it comes to the big ones.

    It's like that HR hitter that usually strikes out but somehow bring him up in the bottom of the ninth with two outs and he hits HRs lol.

    Those are truly rare....most strike out HR hitters strike out in the clutch way more than they usually do.  The only one I can think of off the top of my head who was the opposite of that is Reggie Jackson.

    So the NAM is the Reggie Jackson of weather models lol.

     

    Let me suggest David Ortiz. 

    • Haha 1
  5. 32 minutes ago, gymengineer said:

    This was the storm that caused the panic on Wednesday after the blizzard because the ETA run showed over a foot of snow/sleet for the region. And this was after the clipper surprised everyone with 3-6” from DC eastward on Tuesday. 
    By later Thursday, the models had cut back QPF so the forecast was for a moderate snow to sleet storm, not another new crippling situation. 

     

    I was in CHO and I recall we got another full 12" - which was shocking. But the forecasts had indeed caused panic and sent people out to the stores.

  6. 1 hour ago, bluewave said:

    This is the only snowstorm in the area during the first week of January with a 60° high temperature. We saw the first 12”+ daily snow at ACY following a 60° day. This has been a common theme for us in recent years with record warmth and heavy snows close together. 
     


     

    I feel about 80 years old saying this, but I often look for that warm up, followed by a quick pattern-changing event on the frontal passage... followed by another storm in like 3 days.. to really begin winter.

     

     

×
×
  • Create New...