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Hvward

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Everything posted by Hvward

  1. Hvward
    GFS still trying to get a little Gulf Low action going Sunday. Many of the Euro ensembles are trending that way as well.
  2. Hvward
    Sunday night & into Monday beginning to look very interesting for WNC. Euro with a thump on the 12z, GFS also has a significant wrap around NWF on it. This appears to have some validity.
  3. Hvward
    ULL to end next weekend looks to be interesting. Another one to track!
  4. Hvward
    Thanks Tim! .
  5. Hvward
    Quite the pattern coming up for WNC into early November. Time to start watching the EPS members. Hints of a decent snowfall chance for those above 3500' Wednesday night and into Thursday then a gulf low develops to end the weekend. GFS and Euro both show the Gulf low, but limited cold air. Last frame of the 0z Euro shows mixing occurring to the valley floor in Haywood late next Sunday. Obviously a long range run which doesn't mean much, but it does look like a Gulf low will be possible. Winter weather tracking begins!
  6. Hvward
    Interest setup as well Wednesday morning, GFS has trend two degrees cooler over the past couple of runs around AVL. Looks like a slight warm nose could allow a quick burst of snow to reach the surface. NAM had snowfall for many but 3km NAM didn’t show the same profile. Will be interested to see how the 0z NAM suited come in here soon.
  7. Hvward
    Good spot to be for this weekend’s storm. Who knows, I’ve seen crazier trends. That northern stream could very well carry a bit more moisture. Models are showing specs of precip. Something to certainly watch.
  8. Hvward
    Looks like some freezing rain/snow showers will be possible along the Escarpment tomorrow morning. Something to watch.
  9. Hvward
    I am here at Primland Resort just west of Stuart. Will be interested to see if this verifies!
  10. Hvward
    Looks like you guys are in for some fun Saturday and into Sunday! I won’t be sitting this one out but I have a weekend planned at Primland Resort in SW VA. Looks like we could get several inches there as well. Here’s to hoping everyone cashed in!
  11. Hvward
    2.5” at my house in Alexander, still snowing pretty hard. That makes 10” total for me this season. .
  12. Hvward
    I have a light to moderate snow falling now here in Alexander.
  13. Hvward
    Winds will increase rates later this afternoon/evening. Patiences..
  14. Hvward
    Snowing pretty good here in Canton currently.
  15. Hvward
    Wow HRRR shows a couple of feet of snow for Mt. Leconte & Clingmans Dome Area. I am thinking Waynesville, Canton, Weaverville all the favored NWF valleys are going to get clocked here. Another 1"-3" is possible through tomorrow even in Asheville. This flow is serious and means business. Not sure I have ever seen the models throw out 3'+ totals in the Smokys, but that's what is happening right now. HRRR & Nam 3km.
  16. Hvward
    Looks like another burst of snow will be possible for most from 1-3am. Might as well stay up if you've made it this far.
  17. Hvward
    A nice dusting already at my house in Alexander! I love how quick it stuck, no wasted accumulation.
  18. Hvward
    Should be a fun evening, tongue of precip looks good on radar and I have ribs on the smoker with a popped top already. Hope everyone gets a surprise!
  19. Hvward
    Yeah that cold air could lock it for a couple more hours. Wouldnt be surprised to see you wake up to a couple of crusty inches Sunday morning.
  20. Hvward
    Looking at soundings on the HRRR and NAM 3km, there is a considerable difference on early Sunday morning. It does appear that the tongue of precip will move through initially around 3pm-5pm, and that will persist in the northern area of WNC through 10pm or so. Most of that will fall as snow. But I don't think it accumulates. Then the soundings differ. NAM 3km has a bit more pronounced warm nose at the onset of precipitation early Sunday morning. HRRR is not as cold, but doesn't have the pronounced warm nose. I see a couple hours of snow possible early Sunday even for valley locations. Then a mess will ensue it looks like. Hoping the HRRR is right and its a bit warmer because ice is not very fun.
  21. Hvward
    Trends have been away from this solution over the past 2 runs with precipitation trending farther south.
  22. Hvward
    Nam & Nam 3km are both showing some higher elevation snow showers across SW WNC Friday afternoon/evening. Might have a tongue of overrunning precipitation that the models are struggling to pick up on enter the area sometime on Friday. Something to watch, especially if you live above 3500'.
  23. Hvward
    Couldn’t get this to load earlier but this is the entrance to a neighborhood in Asheville where I am about to build 3 homes. Went over there to stake them out this morning and this was the view!
  24. Hvward
    Some surprises wintry precip happening across MS, AL, & GA. Sitting here wondering if that sneaks into the SW mountains later tonight. Models have it drying up, but we know how that goes sometimes. Thinking someone might at least see a snow shower from it tonight.
  25. Hvward
    Looks to be snowing already per my Maggie Valley Camera. I think several get in on the snow action today.
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