Just a few thoughts about the 00z guidance (focusing on the operationals):
There are two camps in this set of model runs. One, consisting of the Euro and GGEM, is more progressive with the closed low that breaks off the main northern jet branch in the NW in a couple days (this is mainly due to it not retrograding west as far) and eventually leads to a rather messy, disjointed troughing across the N tier of the CONUS late next week since the aforementioned low does not phase very well with the incoming southern stream that undercuts the Aleutian ridging.
The other, potentially more volatile scenario is shown by the GFS and likely an extrapolated UK. These two model retrograde the closed low far enough so that it is not picked up by the northern stream for a slightly longer period of time (both in a similar position at 144 hours). It then (on the GFS) is picked up by the northern stream afterwards and phases with the southern branch more effectively, eventually leading to a very potent shortwave trough ejecting across the Northern Plains around D8-9 with some extremely impressive wind fields for June (and likely higher end severe potential as it seems a large reservoir of seasonably high instability will be in place for whatever does come down the chute then).
In conclusion, while it seems all guidance would indicate at least some severe possibilities late next week (as they have for several days now), it's going to be crucial to monitor the evolution of this closed low off the West Coast over the next few days as it could have major implications downstream for the northern CONUS. Should also add that the northern stream shortwaves that eventually lead to the closed low being picked up are also highly important. Overall, a lot of moving parts and it should be awhile before anything is settled on.