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BullCityWx

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Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. I’m a big believer in those 925 temps in an ice storm and if you believe the 3K NAM, many of us are in for a world of hurt. The 12K NAM is a blast furnace at that level.
  2. I can’t remember seeing CAA come in through the midlands and upstate in a long time.
  3. Looks like ICON is as bad or worse as the last run.
  4. No, we live just south of St Marys and Bivins.
  5. Yeah, we’re about 10 miles S of Hurdle Mills and we just barely missed the worst of it. Still got a good quarter inch here though.
  6. Looks like there could be a bit of a round two tonight with up to a tenth of an inch in Northern Durham/Orange/Caswell/Person counties.
  7. That’s what it looked like here this morning before we got over 33. Never did get above 33 as well.
  8. the trees here are already making that covered in ice with the wind blowing sound.
  9. 30.7/30. Dewpoint is 28 in Bahama so I’m expect to bottom out around 29 tonight.
  10. The topography changes as well. That bottom fourth might as well be coastal plain.
  11. I think I’ve got a shot. The HRRR a few runs ago dropped me to 29 on extracted data.
  12. 31.8. It’s just gonna be a matter of QPF tonight, I’m afraid.
  13. Yeah, this is setting up sub obtimal in a circle from about MTV to South Boston down to the triad and NW triangle.
  14. Doesnt much add up when you look at PWS stations and other obs like TDF and GSO.
  15. is it pulling off BUY? One thing I've noticed is that sensor has been running very warm. I think they might have moved it in the last few weeks.
  16. We briefly made it to 33.1 and now are back down to 32.7. Just for reference, most of the modelling has us getting to 34-35 today. HRRR has me dropping to 30 tonight.
  17. Yeah, probably for the triad counties and the northwestern triangle as well. 12z NAM drops TDF down to 29 degrees tonight.
  18. Good bit of sleet showing up on the 3k NAM.
  19. HRRR doesn’t have as much freezing rain tonight because of...sleet?
  20. Roxboro is four degrees colder than the NAM at 21z.
  21. Watch that pink line sink south over the last three runs:
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