BullCityWx
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Everything posted by BullCityWx
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That was well on its way to a significant ice storm by hour 84.
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Amen to that.
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Seems like we have decent enough agreement to start a thread.
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I mean I sure dont but I have half an inch of ice accretion about 12 miles from my front door.
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I think it looks just fine. There's a "cold rain" warning criteria ice storm this run for the triad and northern triangle. It's slightly less impressive than the GFS and ICON but it's still there.
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Euro is trying to pull an ICON for Saturday.
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Back down in the dumps again?
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Roanoke to Farmville to the coast.
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yeah, it's definitely not air-tight.
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the 0z 850 degree has moved about 100 miles south today on the euro for Friday.
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Okay, lets think about this. If the evolution of all of this happens like it might, there's going to be snow cover to just 50 miles N of the NC/VA border. How is that cold air going to moderate? If the evolution goes like we've seen and we get the damming high over NYS, it's a matter of ptype. Someone is going to get clocked with freezing rain and I still think the snow cover already here is going to push the thermal boundaries south. I could see this being a damming event that reaches Birmingham.
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I figured this one would pull you out of the woodwork!
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so if I'm looking at the GFS for MBY: .2 ice accretion on Friday .3 ice accretion on Saturday 3" snow on Tuesday with temps around 20. I dont know if it'll be right but wow.
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This run is more realistic to what I think could happen with a high in that position and of that strength. Snow to sleet from GSP to RDU with freezing rain from Columbia to Greenville, NC.
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Aint that the truth.
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It could be lights out for people before Tuesday.
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ICON has a warning criteria ice event on Saturday for RDU and CLT metros.
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I would say for areas N&W of 85 in the triangle for sure, possibly further south.
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It could definitely go that route. If you were going to ask me for a perfect scenario for a multi-day freezing drizzle event, this is pretty much it. Rare around these parts but so is the cold air
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Yeah, it's really the perfect recipe for a multi-day freezing rain event.
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Also tries hard to have mostly sleet N&W of 85 in the triad and triangle.
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It looks like the NAM is showing a multi-day ice event.
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Yep
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6z EPS is slightly colder for Saturday and would indicate an icy mess from Winston to N&W of 40/85 in Orange/Durham.
