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BullCityWx

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Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. BullCityWx
    I mean if the RGEM or ICON is right, this is a generational ice event.
  2. BullCityWx
    This has every bit the potential of being as bad as 2002, maybe worse because you won’t lose QPF to snow and sleet.
  3. BullCityWx
    You’re right, the equivalent of a 384 hour GFS map.
  4. BullCityWx
    .17 at the airport, probably warning criteria for 540N. Nothing more than a trace south and east of 40.
  5. BullCityWx
    Euro drops the least amount of ice here and it's still basically double warning criteria.
  6. BullCityWx
    This run of the euro pushes the ice down into the western suburbs of charlotte.
  7. BullCityWx
    From the Canadian and my back yard
  8. BullCityWx
  9. BullCityWx
    Totally agree. Unless we correct by 7-8 degrees most places, any sleet at all is totally off the table.
  10. BullCityWx
    You should look into North Durham County.
  11. BullCityWx
    The RDPS(think RGEM HRRR) is super cold at the surface. As cold or colder than the RGEM.
  12. BullCityWx
  13. BullCityWx
    and conversely, I assume our watch currently is for N of 40 in Durham maybe even N of 85.
  14. BullCityWx
    "Well, maybe the para wont be as bad"
  15. BullCityWx
    NCZ008>010-023>025-170400- /O.EXA.KRAH.WS.A.0002.210218T0500Z-210219T0500Z/ Granville-Vance-Warren-Alamance-Orange-Durham- Including the cities of Oxford, Creedmoor, Henderson, Kittrell, Warrenton, Norlina, Burlington, Graham, Mebane, Hillsborough, Chapel Hill, Carrboro, Durham, and Rougemont 1046 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Significant icing possible. Total ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of central North Carolina. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through Thursday evening. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
  16. BullCityWx
    Winter Storm watch expanded to now include everybody N&W of 40/85 and then after the split, N of 85. Nothing for Wake or Chatham or east.
  17. BullCityWx
    ouch.
  18. BullCityWx
    The weird thing is we are absolutely on fire at 850MB, despite the trends. We're talking about +11C at 850 on the NAM. The other models are much colder but it does give me pause to think about maintaining a freezing rain event with such a warm nose. 2002 never got warmer than +4C over the Charlotte area.
  19. BullCityWx
    NBM has .3 totals for Caswell/Northern Orange/Far N Durham/Person counties.
  20. BullCityWx
    NBM has me at .22 which is just short of a warning at 6z. At 12z, we're up to .27 which is warning criteria.
  21. BullCityWx
  22. BullCityWx
  23. BullCityWx
    6z 12k NAM went up to .55 ice.
  24. BullCityWx
    There’s no wonder why IP shows up for places like Reidsville and Yanceyville.
  25. BullCityWx
    3K and 12K for comparisons sake.
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