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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. I wish I was bit more north for this one. Still worried about mixing here. Definitely going to miss the jackpot zone but still could get a solid hit. But man it's been forever since we had double digits here.
  2. Something that should probably be used for this event in a lot of areas is snow depth to see a more realistic depiction of what you may measure on ground. Kuchera and 10:1 maps aren't accounting for the compaction and melting from this very wet snow that will likely occur and are probably overinflated. Yes 8-10in may fall but may not reflect on ground after melting and compaction.
  3. Definitely worried about how north some hi res guidance is. Especially the hrrr/rap. It still has decent totals here but question snow quality especially in the latter part of the storm as low passes close or over. Hrrr/rap drag the mixing line north of me. Gfs/euro/nam keep it south. Tomorrow is the day to watch for trends. Hoping this doesn't start a north trend now. I think QC up to Chicago really going to cash in but a little nervous down here on I74 corridor.
  4. Yeah it definitely is. I wouldn’t want it anymore north than that. Hugs that mixing line right against me. Oof. My biggest worry is the marginal temps and ratios during day Sat. If rates are high enough it will help mitigate it somewhat but I do anticipate some level of melting and compaction. Hoping that warm nose can stay south enough to avoid a changeover. But that sfc low does get pretty north.
  5. Yeah I think lower ratios and temps may keep snow totals in check. If we had colder air would be different story
  6. 0z gfs seems to be wanting to speed up the system imo. Definitely moving out quicker than 18z and definitely faster than other models It wasn't too drastically different but definitely nervous on that trend starting
  7. Looking pretty solid for you. I80 north definitely has highest chance of seeing warning criteria. Slightly lower temperatures and higher ratios. A bit further from warm nose pushing north. As low passes by could get some wraparound and lake effect with n to ne flow off Lake Michigan. South of I80 could see warning criteria as well but more south you get there could be more issues with temps/snow ratios and lesser totals. But this looks like a decent spread the wealth event.
  8. Wish those double digits in Iowa were more se looks like they may get in on waa snow more and a bit of wraparound. Also may have slightly lower temps and higher ratios there.
  9. 18z euro more realistic with other models now and still a nice hit for a lot of subforum. I would be very happy with that outcome. Hopefully we don't start a drying trend though.
  10. You watch your mouth. Don't speak it into existence. Lol Low ratios and snow falling during day in marginal temps will definitely lead to a lot of compaction. Going to be heavy wet snow
  11. Love how the one hole in lower totals in literally over my county. Lol. Can't make that $hit up
  12. 18z euro continues the heartbreak here. Man I wish I was more north. Stupid waa
  13. A euro vs gfs showdown again Usually waa wins. Gfs evolution is just strange. Definitely need some sampling of this system to help models.
  14. Weird cuz gfs has low pretty north but it's precip type is pretty much keeping it all snow here
  15. Yeah unfortunately strong waa always wins out here. My ideals low track is south of I70 and hooking up through eastern IL or western IN
  16. Yeah pretty typical here. Usually getting screwed. I80 north always seems to be the jackpot. Not a fan of where I live. Lol. Hoping at least waa snows will be a good hit here.
  17. Definitely not a favorable track for us. Sucks to get a nice front thump to then have it eroded by nasty cold rain.
  18. Ugh Euro is north. Pretty much saw that coming. Hoping it can nudge back south but feel like this gunna end up an I80 north special. Shocker
  19. Definitely aggressive with the waa. Curious to see 12z euro
  20. You usually are sitting pretty good. Lol. Im forever riding the line I swear. I can't afford any north bumps.
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