Jump to content

cyclone77

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    18,308

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by cyclone77

  1. cyclone77
    The latest Euro erased the snow for northern IL, so it has moved towards the HRRR/NAMs. GFS/RGEM continue to indicate very light accumulation potential for now.
  2. cyclone77
    NAMs and HRRR still pretty dry for tomorrow night over northern IL. Still over 24hrs out, but you'd think the models would start to align a little more in the next run or two.
  3. cyclone77
    Looks like southeast Michigan gets the most.
  4. cyclone77
    FWIW the HRRR and 3km NAM both look unimpressed, not developing much of anything. RGEM/GFS/Euro say otherwise. Gonna have to see which camp blinks first lol.
  5. cyclone77
    Much of the guidance is developing some wet snow over northern IL tomorrow night. Depending on which model you look at a dusting to perhaps an inch may fall which would finally get quite a few locations on the board for their first measurable snowfall of the season.
  6. cyclone77
    Getting 60mph winds here now, highest winds of the event. Visibility is actually down to a few miles from all the dust blowing in from out west.
  7. cyclone77
    The high of 75 at MLI beat the old record of 57 by 18 degrees lol. Also, they are still 63 at midnight, just as CAA has commenced, but still good enough for another record high beating 60 degrees from 1939.
  8. cyclone77
    Wow, Redwood Falls MN reporting 78mph winds with heavy snow 1/4 mile vis. They were in the 50s a few hours ago. Marshalltown IA ASOS gusted to 81mph about an hour ago. This is the most impressive synoptic wind event I've ever seen in my years, for the midwest. I was thinking the Nov 98 event was tops, but this one definitely takes it.
  9. cyclone77
    Wind with the line of rain showers that just came through was actually lighter than the 50-55mph southerlies before it lol. Kind of a letdown, but glad in a way. Already got enough sticks and branches to pick up tomorrow. Picked up 0.04" of rain.
  10. cyclone77
    Winds pushing 55mph here over past few mins. Still a bit till line gets here.
  11. cyclone77
    Ottumwa ASOS just gusted to 82mph. Gusts pushing 50mph here now.
  12. cyclone77
    New all-time December record at MLI of 75 which shatters the old 71 record from Dec 4 1998. Hit 73 here. Incredible out there today.
  13. cyclone77
    Record high for the day at MLI already broken. Old record was 59, and it's already 62 there. All-time record already only 9 degrees away from tying.
  14. cyclone77
    New Euro less ominous than previous runs for the DVN area. 50-55mph wind gusts for most of the cwa, with the highest gusts to near 60 out in the northwest cwa. Perhaps a shift more towards what the high-res models have been advertising all along, a further northwest position of higher winds. The enthusiast part of me wants the GFS 70mph+ winds to verify, but the homeowner part of me is kind of hoping the high-res/new Euro model solutions pan out lol.
  15. cyclone77
    Insanity. 8" of snow on the ground with 5% tornado probs. Not to keep ripping on Broyles but wonder what he thinks of this outlook lmao.
  16. cyclone77
    That is insane. We've had many 60+mph gradient wind events over the years. The event in November 98 was probably the most impressive one that I've experienced, and there were gusts pushing 70mph with that. If we can get above 70mph with this that's extremely impressive. The GFS is downright scary to be sure. High-res models continue to be less ominous, with the highest winds generally staying well northwest of the DVN/LOT cwas other than the brief window with the precip/fropa.
  17. cyclone77
    18z GFS very ominous tomorrow evening into early overnight for the parts of DVN/MKX/LOT regions. Shows 70-76mph gusts from eastern Iowa through parts of northern IL into far southeast WI. Fully expecting power to be going out tomorrow night here.
  18. cyclone77
    Pretty cool to see 5% tor probs in the area where over a foot of snow fell a few days ago. Still solid snow cover on the ground there too.
  19. cyclone77
    Broyles forecasts 325 out of 365 day3-8 SPC outlooks per year.
  20. cyclone77
    18z Euro with 65mph+ gusts over the northwest DVN cwa Wed eve now. The Euro gust forecasts are usually a slight bit on the conservative side in most cases from what I've seen, so it would indicate potential 70 mph winds if the 18z works out. The high-res models move the highest winds further north as the low center is modeled further north. The 3km NAM goes nuts and drops the surface low below 970mb as it heads into Canada Wed night lol.
  21. cyclone77
    Just jaw dropping wind forecasts showing up on the models. Euro has a pocket of 70-80mph surface wind gusts moving from northern KS into Iowa Wednesday afternoon/eve. If those areas escape precip earlier in the day there's gonna be a hell of a dust storm out in open areas I'd imagine.
  22. cyclone77
    Haha Broyles overruled.
  23. cyclone77
    The Euro is forecasting craziness behind the front out in southwestern Iowa later Wednesday afternoon. Dews crash from near 60 down to near 10 degrees, with 60-70mph gradient winds. Gonna be a wild late afternoon/early evening from Omaha to Des Moines.
  24. cyclone77
    Apparently Broyles not too impressed with Wed lol.
  25. cyclone77
    DVN has 71 in the point for Wed which would tie the all time high for December at MLI. Dewpoints look like they'll be AOA 60 degrees as well, which makes reaching that temp even more impressive. Wednesday evening is looking pretty wild with whipping south winds possibly up to 50 mph with temps/dews holding in the mid-upper 60s until at least midnight. Out in central/western Iowa the Euro is advertising 60-65 mph gradient winds early to mid evening behind the cold front.
×
×
  • Create New...