cyclone77
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Everything posted by cyclone77
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As we near midnight we have widespread 70s with decent humidity as far north as Oklahoma, and -20s and -30s just north of the US/Canadian border. You can definitely see why we have such a powerful synoptic setup in the making.
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If I was in the ice storm zone I'd have the cams set up to do some time lapse action. Catch those trees slowly drooping/breaking. Would be a pretty sweet time lapse to be sure.
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Ice misses by about 20 miles from here according to that. That probably means we should nestle right in the 33-34 degree range during the event. Definitely gonna be a miserable day tomorrow lol.
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Winter 2022/23 Medium/Long Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
March gonna come in like a Lion and go out like a Viking? -
Kinda wish NCEP would fire up the old AVN model. Would bet money it was more accurate than the GFS has been the past several years.
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Winter 2022/23 Medium/Long Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
12z Euro had a 969mb low going through Iowa next weekend, with it being primarily a rainer for most of the sub. Even though from a snow standpoint this winter has been beyond abysmal, at least it has been active for the most part. -
He's been too busy manipulating the space heaters into different positions around the palms to keep them evenly heated.
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It will be more of a runny rain in CR as opposed to a freezing rain.
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That graphic that showed a 90% chance at 18" there kind of cracked me up. A 90% chance at a 4" for northern IL would be like winning the lottery at this point lol.
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That's def a bump south over n IL.
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The models seem unusually consistent so far in the placement of the heavy snow swath from MN to MI. Why can't they be like that for us poor folks further south?
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Looking like a 34 degree rainer for the QCA. Wish we could fast forward to May.
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You can tell Hoosier's excited for this system lol
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If we're not gonna get warm enough for storms I'll take a raging sleet storm. At least it'd be interesting.
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Take it to the bank and cash it, this is money right here.
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After yesterday's snow, Dubuque has 20.9" more snow this season than MLI. Pretty stark contrast between the northern DVN cwa and the central portion.
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DVN slow to issue their final tally for MLI/DVN. Guessing due to their warning busting badly, again. Was under a warning here as well, but failed to reach even a 3"/advisory level event.
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Pretty sad lol. We need Geos to move back pronto
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Final band did better than I thought, picked up 1.3 more inches bringing us to 2.5" for storm. Down to just very light now so prob about it. EDIT: MLI/DVN had 1.8/3.8 at 6pm. Both probably picked up a few tenths since before it shut off.
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Hopefully it tracks far enough north to get us into the warm sector for some 'vection. Don't need anymore 1-2" slushers.
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DVN is sitting in the middle of the enhanced band and their vis is 2.5 miles, MLI at 1.5 miles. Definitely nice to look at though, just not very efficient accumulator.
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It's finally all snow, which is good lol. Nice snow globe action with large, slowly falling flakes. Looks nice but vis reduction/rates pretty meh. May make a run at 2" for total, but the band is pretty transient.
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Picked up 1.2" here. Have had quite a bit of sleet and freezing rain mixing in, and the heavier precip was pretty showery throughout the event. Should have stuck with my original forecast lol.
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Hello dry slot my old friend.
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Yeah things have bumped back northwest a bit with this evening's runs. That's what I get for being optimistic lol. Guess I'll just go with 1-5". With how things have gone the past few seasons we'll probably gonna be on the low end of that. On the bright side we're not missing out on anything noteworthy. No big dogs for anyone this season, except up in MSP, or by a big lake.
