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cyclone77

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Everything posted by cyclone77

  1. cyclone77
    Better pace yourself, you got a long night of rippage ahead.
  2. cyclone77
    And we're hoping for some sloppy seconds from tonight's wave
  3. cyclone77
    Some wet flakes beginning to mix in here. It's a race against time here as it looks like the precip will only last till around midnight or so.
  4. cyclone77
    Pure light rain is falling here at the moment.
  5. cyclone77
    Yeah I remember when the FV3 and old GFS were running simultaneously. The FV3 was kind of fun to laugh at while still being able to use the somewhat usable GFS. Once the FV3 took over it was like a sober and trashed person exchanged positions in the front seats.
  6. cyclone77
    Lots of melting going on today, with a temp of 35 at the moment. Temps are about the same as yesterday, but for some reason it seems the snow is melting faster. Our 3" of new snow between the last few nights is mostly gone, but the original 4" of glacier remains, and should be much slower to melt than the newer snows were. Looks like a fresh dusting tonight, and that could be it for quite awhile as we head into another benign stretch.
  7. cyclone77
    Very nice. You're about 6" ahead of us. Best event of the winter will no doubt be the 5" snow followed by the mini-ice event.
  8. cyclone77
    1.5" overnight for a 2-day total of 3.0". What fell last night has already begun melting.
  9. cyclone77
    The GFS has been downright terrible, but the EC sucked pretty bad as well. Overall all model performance is pretty shitty as a whole. We really don't know what's going to happen until we're less than 24 hours from an event. From a forecast standpoint the best option is to pick the most lame outcome (similar to ALEK's approach) and you'll usually be right.
  10. cyclone77
    Snow has been pretty light so far this eve. Picked up 0.2" since the snow began shortly after sunset.
  11. cyclone77
    The bleeding continues with another tick east on the 18z Euro. Looks like we'll mostly be shut out with tomorrow night's event. Should have stuck with the original 2-4" call.
  12. cyclone77
    The old AVN model was better than this POS called GFS.
  13. cyclone77
    Think we've lost most of what fell last night/early this morning. Been in the mid 30s all day with off and on drizzle.
  14. cyclone77
    It's looking like the Dekalb/SchaumburgStormer area could be in line for the max totals. Possibly west side of Chicago if trends continue to bump east.
  15. cyclone77
    Lots of dripping and wet roads here with a temp at 35. The sky has brightened up as well, which is aiding the melting on paved surfaces, etc. Biggest question here is tomorrow night's grand finale spoke of energy. We're on the western edge of that, and the Euro has bumped a bit east with that. A few more ticks east and we'll miss out on the best of that. Still gonna ride the 4-7" for grand total for now.
  16. cyclone77
    Picked up 1.5" overnight/early morning, which is a bit more than I expected.
  17. cyclone77
    New Euro drops 0.7-0.8" of precip mainly in the form of snow on the QCA through late Sat. Even with <10:1 LSRs that would still yield over 5" of snow. Thinking the 2-4" call will bust low, and 4-7" would likely be the better call for the official total. Due to melting/compaction/lull periods the net accumulation will still likely be <4" however.
  18. cyclone77
    Some nice snow globe action with some nice enhanced blobs of snow returns moving through. Pushing an inch now and adding up nicely.
  19. cyclone77
    Some beefier returns have moved in over the past hour and has resulted in a good dusting. No problem sticking on paved surfaces with the temp at 30.
  20. cyclone77
    So far the snow is so light it's not accumulating, but just nw there's a more enhanced band that may be adding up a bit for those peeps.
  21. cyclone77
    First flakes (flurries) have arrived here. The road to 1ft begins.
  22. cyclone77
    Guess I should get ready for my 1ft of snow.
  23. cyclone77
    Sticking with 2-4" for the QCA. Looks like the window for the best rates will come later Friday into Friday evening.
  24. cyclone77
    Here the precip will start about 9hrs after it started there, and at night of course lol. I'm sure during the course of this 60hr precip window some of the snow will fall during the day.
  25. cyclone77
    Think I'll go 2-4" for this area for a first guess. More might actually fall but doubt it will physically add up to much more than that. Could be a situation where MLI reports a grand total of like 5.5", but to the public it will seem more like 3", etc. Kind of a lame system in that regard.
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