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cyclone77

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Everything posted by cyclone77

  1. As expected the HRRR from yesterday was way too warm that far north. If we could have had slightly better WAA today ahead of the front this could have been a nice little thunder event at least.
  2. Absolute miserable day here with off and on rain and temps in the mid 30s. Picked up 0.23".
  3. Had a thin glaze from freezing rain early this morning. Just regular rain now though as we've warmed above freezing. About 30 miles to the north in Milledgeville there's a report of 1.3" of snow.
  4. HRRR builds enough cape (200-400J/kg) to fire off some thunderstorms over the east half of IA into western IL tomorrow afternoon/eve. Temps are about 10 degrees warmer than other guidance shows, so chances of that happening are very low. If the HRRR were somehow right there would actually be a low-end risk for severe out in that area given decent shear profiles.
  5. Yeah here as well. Two weeks from today it will be met spring. I'm ready for some thunder.
  6. The ICON is about as worthless as tits on a rattlesnake, or a screen door on a submarine.
  7. -11 here. Across the river at Clinton they are at -14. Black River Falls WI down to -33. EDIT: Just hit -12 here.
  8. Already at -5 here, which is the coldest of the season so far, and the 2nd below zero day of the season. Black River Falls WI is down to -24.
  9. Lots of snow blowing in from the open fields to the west today. Some pretty deep drifts back by the tree line. Definitely feels like deep winter out there today.
  10. 3.1" as of midnight. Still snowing but rates outside the enhanced bands are very weak. Would love for the trees to be this caked with snow tomorrow morning for some excellent pics, but the winds will have removed most of it by then. Arctic front about a half hour away.
  11. Yeah I went out a little while ago and removed most of the snow. Figured I'd get it off now before it freezes up some, as there is a decent amount of water in it. Very peaceful out there with the snow gently raining down, with zero wind. Very quiet out as well.
  12. Up to 2.8". Measuring is quite easy, as the snow has been coming straight down the whole time. Very large flakes again with another enhanced band moving through.
  13. Yeah we've gotten lucky with two real nice enhanced bands. Those both added up quickly. Snow pack is really lumpy looking from all the large flakes.
  14. Half dollar sized flakes with this latest enhanced band. Very impressive. A little over 2" now. The trees really caked up now with lots of snow.
  15. A very nice enhanced band overhead now and it's raining down very large flakes.
  16. 55 degree difference in wind chill right now between Des Moines and Estherville IA. Des Moines chill is +27, while Estherville is way down at -28! Not all that far of a distance apart relatively speaking.
  17. Looks like about an inch or so, so far. Snow pouring down nicely with medium sized flakes. Like many of you I was surprised at how quickly the snow started sticking on paved areas. Roads were quite greasy on the drive home a short while ago. The trees are all caked up with the wet snow as well.
  18. Some pretty nasty wind chills up in North Dakota/northwest MN this morning. At Grand Forks ND they have a temp of -9, with winds gusting to 52mph. Wind chill there is -40.
  19. If we got 2.5" out of this I would consider that a major win. Especially if the first flakes can manage to fall before sundown lol. Gut feeling is we get <1" though.
  20. Yeah I feel like a cat endlessly chasing after some kind of toy. For a bit you can tell it feels kind of stupid for continuously chasing it, but then quickly resumes chasing after it.
  21. This is gonna be one for the ages. I for one feel quite privileged to be able to observe the ferocious winter onslaught that is forthcoming.
  22. We'll always have Halloween 2019 lol.
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