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cyclone77

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Everything posted by cyclone77

  1. Liking the chances for a good 3-5" of snow with nice rates for here/QC area. The thermal ridge with the mixed precip types may compact/melt some of what falls, but vigorous CAA kicks in Sat morning and will stop that. Looks like some 50mph wind gust potential on Sat in the midst of that strong CAA.
  2. Looks like DVN hoisted a winter storm watch for the whole cwa. Should rip pretty good Fri afternoon/early eve before the pingers take over.
  3. There's gonna be a lot of frozen dog turds to kick around.
  4. A high-end event to be sure relative to this year. Breaching the 1" barrier is equivalent to a warning criteria event in most years.
  5. DVN has 100% snow in the point for here. Interesting. Friday Snow, mainly after 7am. High near 32. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Friday Night Snow. Low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Saturday Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 34. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
  6. This feels like an Arkansas winter. Hopefully that means we'll get a late Jan/February tornado outbreak to top it off.
  7. A 4" event would be top tier this season. Take what we can get lol.
  8. Our massive 1" snowpack took a hit overnight as temps ascended into the mid 30s. Now just some white patches scattered about the brown landscape.
  9. Yep, this is gonna be a good one. So nice to see a spread the wealth type system again on the models. Liking the probs for a sig event for the DVN/LOT cwas.
  10. Had about a 2 minute period of flurries here around 8pm.
  11. If models from the beginning were showing what actually transpired this would have been a 4 page thread instead of 41 pages.
  12. I actually have a decent feeling about this system, although maybe that's because I'm getting over a bout of bad food poisoning.
  13. Snow winding down. Looks like about an inch. On a positive note it was nice to see some daytime snow.
  14. Freezing drizzle most of the day, with a few spits of snowflakes now and again. Light snow moved in about an hour ago. Looks like a good dusting so far.
  15. Ohare gusting to 48mph, and MKE gusting to 52mph as of 5am. Guessing even higher gusts right on the shoreline. Revising my first call of 2-5" for here/QC down to 1-3". Picked up 0.74" of rain for the event total. Significantly less than what models had forecast for days.
  16. Excellent, that would be just what we all need lol.
  17. Yeah it's been nice finally having something to track.
  18. Hopefully we can get a system to track sometime soon that has a snow band that's wider than 50 miles. This sub desperately needs a share the wealth system.
  19. Nightmare scenario for this area. Narrow miss just northwest tonight, and mostly a miss southeast tomorrow. EDIT: GFS basically shows the same.
  20. 0.56" rain so far. Temp has been holding at 32 for awhile now. Just stepped outside, very little glazing at ground level. Only some minor glazing in the trees, etc. Still sleetless.
  21. Looking at the 3km NAM, I'm not a big fan of the big wall of convection from the gulf up to Indiana tomorrow, with the deformation zone sort of detached and hanging back to the west. Hoping the models aren't overdoing the 2nd wave, as it looks like it may be quite moisture starved. Think we've seen this sort of scenario before where the detached deformation zone really underperforms. Hope that isn't the case with this system..
  22. That's good. Sounds like you guys will be going over to snow soon.
  23. Pretty marginal conditions, with the temp still hovering at 32. Don't think the glazing will be very efficient unless the temp drops a few more degrees. High rates are slowing it down as well. I'm actually not worried at all about losing power, etc. New triple R shows about 1/4" precip falling as all snow after 22z tomorrow for here/QC. Looks like most of the snow will fall after dark per usual.
  24. Yeah been freezing for a little while now. No sleet yet.
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