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cyclone77

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Everything posted by cyclone77

  1. cyclone77
    Best bet for the northern IL play to work out is for the morning convection to blast through quickly/faster than current model forecasts, and then the rapidly overspreading mid-level lapse rate plume could recharge that area pretty quickly by mid-afternoon. No question there's gonna be a large amount of morning convection, but if we can get it to blast out of the area by midday there may be enough time to recharge.
  2. cyclone77
    Lots of ongoing morning convection on the models over Iowa/northern MO and into northwest IL. Likely to push the best chances for afternoon main show south and east of the DVN cwa.
  3. cyclone77
    Picked up 0.05" of decaying Iowa leftovers.
  4. cyclone77
    Bad timing for this event for this area. Most of the stuff will have crapped the bed before reaching here later tonight. Next shot at decent rains will come Monday.
  5. cyclone77
    Illinois is the new Oklahoma.
  6. cyclone77
    First thing they think is probably damn that windex!
  7. cyclone77
    Hard freeze with 28 here this am.
  8. cyclone77
    Can definitely tell where the heavy rains have resided over the past several weeks by this map.
  9. cyclone77
    31 here this morning. Looking like 26-28 tonight. Most of the trees have leafed out, some quite a bit. Not sure how bad this hard freeze will be on them.
  10. cyclone77
    What a difference a day makes. At this time yesterday it was already 70/62 with a ripping southeast wind. Today at the same time it's 39 with a wind chill of 27.
  11. cyclone77
    Wow, it's like a whole different world up there. Nice vid. Finished with 0.78" rain for the day here. That brings April up to a healthy 6.68", and 7.09" since March 31st.
  12. cyclone77
    The lightning has been pretty wicked the past hour or so back here in the trailing anvil rain. Lots of multiple repeating ultra bright flashes, followed by super long rumbles of thunder occasionally shaking the house.
  13. cyclone77
    That is a huge tornado warning polygon south of Kankakee.
  14. cyclone77
    Torrential downpour put out 1/3 inch in less than 3 minutes. Just absolutely puked rain. Didn't get too much wind, zero hail. 0.56" and counting, but mostly over.
  15. cyclone77
    Luckily for this area the storms are outflow dominant and pretty wimpy in the part of the line coming through here now. Dodged a bullet.
  16. cyclone77
    DVN gusting to 67mph. Thunder is getting louder here.
  17. cyclone77
    Got the lawn's first haircut done this afternoon. Now let's do this.
  18. cyclone77
    We're either drowing or droughting. Not much in between it seems lately.
  19. cyclone77
    Another 0.66" this evening brings the total for today to 1.32", and 5.56" for April. Have had 5.97" since the last day of March. EDIT: Another 0.34" overnight brings April to 5.90".
  20. cyclone77
    A couple of bird fart tors may have dropped southwest of the QC over the past half hour.
  21. cyclone77
    Not surprised that there's a tornado warning north of Dixon. Those showers moved over here an hour or so ago and even when they were weak you could see everything had nice blocky bases. LCLs are pretty low in northern IL as well.
  22. cyclone77
    Managed to scrounge up 0.54" from the early morning elevated leftovers. Brings April up to 4.78". Today/this evening has been looking like our best shot for heavy rains all along, and still looks that way.
  23. cyclone77
    lol at SPC maintaining 10% tor probs in this area with the 8pm update while simultaneously the nader watch got dropped.
  24. cyclone77
    Snoozefest for QCA as expected. May get some late night sloppy seconds as llj ramps up.
  25. cyclone77
    QC area and here will likely be saved by the cap.
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