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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    Latest HRRR beefed up totals everywhere. Good start to the 0z suite.
  2. LVblizzard
    Aside from the 18z HRRR and 12km NAM, all models in the evening suite have either held serve or gotten a little more amplified. Also, 21z RAP now gets 2” nearly to Scranton while the I-95 corridor sees 4-6”. Wonder what this means for the 0z runs…will we see a more robust system?
  3. LVblizzard
    Yeah I normally trust the higher res version more less than 48 hours out. The regular NAM often doesn’t make much sense with mesoscale features due to its lower resolution.
  4. LVblizzard
    Regular and 3km NAMs are very different north of 202. Quakertown gets just an inch on the regular NAM but close to 4" on the 3km. Pretty similar for I-95 though.
  5. LVblizzard
    18z HRRR is a big nothingburger north of the Lehigh Valley and also less robust near I-95. C-1" north of Blue Mountain, 1-3" for everyone else.
  6. LVblizzard
    Doubt it. 12z GFS finally got a clue and came on board, at least somewhat. 2-4” along I-95, 1” to the Lehigh Valley.
  7. LVblizzard
    LOL GFS…it’s crazy how much it just gets utterly lost in the 2-5 day range. Happens with every single storm it seems like.
  8. LVblizzard
    I went with 2-4” for the Lehigh Valley on my page. Not buying the GFS (which stubbornly held serve at 0z), it’s always lost in the short to medium range and doesn’t catch on until the day before.
  9. LVblizzard
    Drizzle here as the main slug of precip exits. Looks like we got about 1/2” of snow. I expected a grassy dusting at most so I’m happy with the slight overperformance. Now let’s hope Saturday night-Sunday becomes a nice plowable event.
  10. LVblizzard
    It’s doing that now in Allentown. We could end up with an inch here with the mix line way to the south.
  11. LVblizzard
    Same in Allentown now. This is overperforming a little bit. Steady snow which is sticking to the grass and my car. Looks like the R/S line is way south of here too with a snow report near Boyertown. I love these little surprise events.
  12. LVblizzard
    And just like that it’s all snow. Hopefully it can stay snow for awhile.
  13. LVblizzard
    I live essentially right on I-78, I can hear it from my place. It's currently a rain/snow mix. Not sticking and I doubt it will. Still nice to see something other than rain.
  14. LVblizzard
    Saturday night into Sunday is still looking halfway decent for a ground whitener and possibly a plowable event. Models are starting to converge on at least some snow.
  15. LVblizzard
    12z mesos coming in colder for tomorrow. Doesn’t really matter for Philly but for the LV/Poconos, one more tick colder and we could end up with a decent little surprise event.
  16. LVblizzard
    I don’t think anyone is calling for something big. We’d all enjoy a plowable 2-4” event.
  17. LVblizzard
    Euro too. Looks like they both want to really dig the s/w with that clipper. Definitely something to watch.
  18. LVblizzard
    Next Thurs-Fri is looking a little bit interesting. Doesn’t look like anything big but if the clipper takes the right track we could get a 2-4” or 3-6” event.
  19. LVblizzard
    Some flurries falling in Allentown. Mood flakes are always nice this time of year.
  20. LVblizzard
    We will get our chances. This is the kind of pattern that doesn’t have any obvious long range threats. Instead stuff will appear 4-5 days out.
  21. LVblizzard
    Some of the 0z mesos form scattered snow showers away from the main area of precip with the low sliding to our south. I wouldn’t be surprised to see some coatings around the area tomorrow evening.
  22. LVblizzard
    And even if the Friday and Tuesday storms miss we have a parade of clippers to look forward to for the next two weeks. Pretty active pattern for this time of year.
  23. LVblizzard
    Rain/sleet mix in Allentown. Maybe an inch on the ground.
  24. LVblizzard
    I did say on my page that route 22 would be the dividing line between lower and higher amounts. So far that seems to be working out pretty well.
  25. LVblizzard
    And back to mostly sleet again. CC radar is not picking this up…looking at it you’d think Allentown is clearly in a snow zone.
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