nwohweather

On 12/9/2023 at 8:37 PM, hardypalmguy said:

Keep what we have going for next 90 days. Definitely won’t complain.

In all seriousness a strong El Nino typically leads to this type of pattern. Look at how wet it's been over the South in the past few weeks. At this point I expect our golf courses to be open into Christmas around here, I've even noticed some longer than usual grass in our yard

hey man i hope you're taking advantage of the 50s to near 60 next three days over there. 

21 minutes ago, Chinook said:

Dude I saw so much snow out in Colorado, I don't even care. It's possible I'm still shoveling from 2021. I went to say goodbye to Cameron Pass in June 2022 and I made a couple of snowballs. But then again, Toledo had verifiable ground blizzard conditions a year ago... in one of the least snowy years ever. Actually it's nice to see green grass in every neighborhood without dozens of sprinklers on every lawn.

Isn't that around 12,000 feet in elevation? 

1 hour ago, andyhb said:

Apparently the Robinson IL/Sullivan IN tornado from this event is being re-evaluated by NWS Lincoln, partly due to flooding that prevented surveys of certain portions of the track. Wonder if we get an upgrade to EF4 here.

Mildly off topic but did the Mayfield, KY tornado ever get re-evaluated? How that was below an EF5 is beyond me

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

It was a nuisance mist with some wet snowflakes.

 

A misty drizzly 37° day in early Dec has no more bearing on this winter than the 25° and fluffy snow did a week ago.

I’m more concerned with the fact that a certain type of storm system that usually brings a very cool airmass behind it completely lacked one. Not a great sign

4 minutes ago, Lightning said:

Why?  12/5 average highs for DTW are 40F.  I think there are a lot of unrealistic expectations for December.

Because it didn't bring much cold air with it

7 minutes ago, geddyweather said:

Might have to turn this into a late season SVR thread if the trend keeps up...

Seriously though. Went from snowmaker potential to nearly 60 degree dews getting advected in. Go figure.

It's December and in the words of Horace Greeley, "Go west young man". While Toledo has certainly cashed in before on early season storms, looking at the maps @Chinookhas on his website of past snowstorms the one common thread has been an airmass where temps are 10 degrees and below with a Miller C type track. Those two things happen and there's definitely a chance

Yikes, a rainy clipper in December. Not a good sign for snow this year in the Lower GL

Pretty much a blizzard on the models at this time. A 980 MB low with a 1020 MB high right above it? Could have a serious mid December storm here, with maybe even a nice severe event to the south and east to boot

Nice little shot for mid Michigan here tomorrow. I'd bet on cementitious 1-3" north of the Detroit burbs

2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

that makes zero sense.

Always happens this time of year. Models want to run it flatter and more progressive, then as we get closer the storm trends considerably more north. 
 

Definitely would like the snow chances better for Michigan if this were more of a night time event, between the strong WAA and daytime it’ll be tough to accumulate 

16 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Creeping northward… 

It’s November. You’re always going to have a serious NW shift once sampling occurs

Finally snowing here
 

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

these are, I believe, the confirmed tornadoes today

What station is that?

I just can't help but think that dry/warm conditions in November are going to lead to wet/cool conditions as we swing into DJF. Overall though I think we have to admit the CONUS has not been overly volatile compared to stretches we've seen in the 21st century which probably is not a terrible thing considering the prolific tornado seasons & winters that we've been hit with in the past 23 years

It's been a pretty quiet second severe season compared to the last few years (looking at you 2021). If a supercell can avoid all the crowding later this afternoon there's definitely the threat of a strong tornado. Some solid ingredients in play across LA

49 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Lmao. The Great Lakes will never be able to support palms naturally. 

Not with that attitude. I'm trying to help with my pickup truck but these emissions anymore are too low

5 hours ago, weatherbo said:

Warm day temp-wise, hit 49 (.5" rain).  Afternoon showers will change to snow later this evening with an unsettled and cool pattern following for close to the next week but no real snow.  This time last year, had already received 2 feet.

Edit to add: A fisher got into the coop last night and killed 8 hens, my rooster, and wounded 3 more so badly I had to shoot them.  Been a bad day.

A what? Like an osprey?

Not a bad season all in all with 7 hurricanes & 3 big dogs (especially Lee). One thing I find very interesting is that while it seems the ability for hurricanes to rapidly intensify is increasing, it appears that it's becoming harder for anything not in the GOM to hit the US. In a warming world where we're probably seeing more "storminess" you've got more opportunities to deflect systems coming from the Atlantic.

Hoping we can see some rain this week. NW Ohio may be running a pretty stark drought as we dive into Winter

9 hours ago, hardypalmguy said:

Talk about some hardy palms

Looks like a weak clipper rolling through this week. Very interesting to say the least 

Is it too late to bet? 

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