LongBeachSurfFreak

The nyc joke continues. I think this wet period pretty much proved the wet vegetation theory. I wonder when Upton throws in the towel and officially stops using that site as the official one for nyc climate

I would expect snow threats to continue the NW trend this winter like we saw last winter. This seems to be an on going situation rather then a short term trend.

Absolutely nothing south of Merrick road in Wantagh. I definitely remember a few setups like this where the sunrise highway is the dividing line. I remember on specifically when I was a kid where there was major flash flooding north of the Southern state and nothing south of there. I remember driving home from? With my mother and almost getting stuck multiple times only the get to the SS and the rain just shut off.

Not a drop in south Wantagh at my house. Beautiful sunny sky’s here at Jones beach. We have closed intermittently for lightning

The buoys off Long Island have been hitting 80 each afternoon. Unfortunately if you like canes in the north east that’s just surface water. So it will quickly mix with cooler water with the arrival of forerunner swells. Our best bet at a major has and always will be a track just like 38. A big Cape Verde cat 4/5 NE of the Bahamas that gets sling shot straight north between two highs so weakening is minimal. You need that straight north track to avoid the OBX. Any land interaction will cause the core to fall apart. You really need that intact core to produce major winds as far north as us. The strongest winds during 38 on LI only lasted about 30 minutes so that’s right in line with what you would expect with an intact core.

That convection off the jersey shore has the exact look of the Islip deluge. Had that been over land somone would have double digit totals!

We have had an incredible amount of rain here in NE pa. Started with torrential convection with lots of thunder and lighting this morning. Now it’s been non stop moderate strataform rains. Looks like Wantagh really missed most of the convection this morning with much heavier amounts to the east and west. We have done extremely well so far this month so missing out isn’t a big deal.

The nyc 86 is a joke. It really annoys me as you guys know. Another nice cool night at 1900’ in Pa. very happy to escape the dewsaster.

Not really, I just checked all the nyc mesos. Bk with .10”. Not exactly a big thunderstorm event

I disagree. The radar is pretty dead right now. What what would be the mechanism for these storms?

Not much in the way of storms so far today. By this time yesterday things were lighting up!

Tomorrow should be better. It’s been horrendous working outside. My design project also experienced damage yesterday as the extremely intense rainfall washed out allot of topsoil.

Amazing, I haven’t seen street flooding like that since the Wantagh special. Basements are probably screwed in your neighborhood

I’m too far away at 120th and broadway to get solid video. But somone is having a once in a life time lighting show right now

Watching from the 23rd floor facing east some of the most insane lighting I have ever seen

Storm completely skipped over me on the uws!! but the lighting over Brooklyn is nuts

I was just thinking about the tripol of cold warm cold in the Atlantic. That should cause increased baroclynicity. It’s probably partly responsible for the increase in strong nor’easters we have been experiencing. And this should continue into the near future. Great time to be alive for snow lovers!!!

It’s more related to a period of light onshore winds less then 15 knots and full sun. Although overall it’s some time around mid August. Stronger winds or even light offshores and you will upwell cooler water. That’s why I laugh when people say “watch out for tropical threats” In our area because of warm buoy reading. All you need is the swells in front of a storm to turnover the water column and water temps will drop 10 degrees or more

The 1” at the Wantagh meso fell in about 20 minutes. While brief, some of the heaviest rates I have ever seen.

Just had some incredible rainfall rates. Lasted for 5 minutes though

That would fit the trends nicely Upton went with a flood watch for the island too. Well see

Absolutely zero at Jones beach not even a single drop. Seems late in the year for such pronounced marine influence. Waters are plenty warm

Thoughts on if this makes it to the island? Just heard thunder at Jones beach

Not one drop in Wantagh. Hopefully that’s about to change

Interesting cloud pattern this morning on the island with clouds forming right over my house and racing north. Full sun at the beach