LongBeachSurfFreak

Weird reading the obs that I have done so well. I guess it’s the fact that I’m so close to the southern state, compared to where I grew up next to the bay. My boss didn’t approve overtime for snow of the upper west side, so I’m home for once. 

Somewhere between an inch and half inch in lynbrook and a 50/50 mix between snow an rain

Still snowing nicely in Lynbrook, just south of the southern state. Solid coating.

Light snow in lynbrook. My bosses decided I wasn’t needed for snow removal on the uws. I pray they are wrong 

2 hours ago, HVSnowLover said:

Yea last year north Bronx got like 5 inches when Central Park measured I think like 1 during the only snow event last year. I doubt that happens this time but NYC is big. 

Most of nyc is coastal and flat. Northern Manhattan and the Bronx is really a different climate zone 

18 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

It depends on location in NYC. 2-4” at CP is a decent bet. JFK is toast.

Exactly, I’m just south of the JWB at almost 200’ and have seen so many storms over the years surprise  compared to the rest of the city. In marginal setups upper Manhattan and the Bronx can surprise. 

8 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

And it's wrong, I live near the Park and I measured 1.5-1.75 (multiple locations) during one of the storms last year.

Exactly, I work at Barnard/Columbia and run snow removal for Barnard. I can’t think of a better person to accurately account for the park. (Granted I’m 1 mile Nw and a tiny bit higher; but we have had several over 1 inch events during that stretch, they may have been at night or quickly melted but I need to start a better log of snow removal 

11 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Many are calling for it like Snooki and Bluewave…

 

We hope they are correct 

Just need to follow nino climo. That’s been my plan since the fall. Plus the fact that our winters are becoming increasingly backloaded as we need to build sea ice in the Arctic.

Another dream crusher for the coast. I’ll be on snow removal overtime regardless on the uws. I have experienced this type of setup many times the last few years were we snow a few  inch’s here at 120th street and get a grassy coating on the south shore of the island. So I’ll go with that based on precedent.

I think as far as actual impact that next storm could be the real deal for the coast. We had major beach erosion during the fall. And the last storm really dug deep. Lido beach is a 8 foot cliff currently, and another major hit could be serious. 

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15 hours ago, gravitylover said:

Yeah but the random biggies in between stretches of ice and mud isn't what to move for. 

True, if you really love snow on a level that it dictates your life I would pick Valdez Alaska above 5000’. You’re going to average close to 1000” a year. That’s the ultimate sweet spot. 

10 hours ago, tmagan said:

In about a week, we should be able to get into second place for all time streaks without a calendar day of three inches of snow.

The park definitely had an inch during the early March storm last year. It just wasn’t measured properly. Not that it matters, it’s been a garbage streak. 

23 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

IMO the only way to ensure that you see consistently snowy winters over the next few decades will be to head to higher altitude away from the ocean influences. I think that somewhere above 7k feet and north of about I70 ought to do it. That obviously takes the east coast off the table. 

You can still score really well in the greens of Vermont above 2,000” were real estate and amenity’s exist. I mean they had a 40”+ storm last year and the snow banks were mind boggling due to the tremendous water content. And then of course there’s the good old tug hill, but that’s about as isolated as it gets. So if I were to choose a spot that’s only a few hours from Boston and 4ish from nyc it’s the southern greens. 

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

SNE took all the snow even from thr NW crew. Yes they will still get snow but the majority is going to fall in SNE 

There’s absolutely nothing unusual about that. There’s a reason Boston averages nearly double NYC and NYC averages nearly double DCA. The airmass is just too marginal. I have been saying for months this winter is 1/15-2/15 

4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

It's not just about snow. I love weather. I'm much more interested in the system next week. 

Very powerful system likely.

Yeah, I agree, I’ll take a beast of a nor’easters (potentially the strongest in a decade) over the 1” of slush this weekend..

30 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

 

My thing had always been, Alaskas gain is our pain, and vice versa. When they are roasting -epo we score. We need that to change big time or we are already in life support. I don’t think we completely strike out like last year but it’s an uphill battle. 

Merry Christmas, to my weather extended family. Been on this board since 2011, that’s a long time. Hope everyone had a nice day irregardless of religion. Pretty typical Christmas weather these days. To think it was -01 for my first Christmas…

45 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

December is a fall month now 

That’s exactly it. It’s what November was pre 1990. I would even stretch to there were Octobers in the mid 1800s that were comparable to what December is now.  The entire global system is so out of wack that, extremes can and still do happen, so it’s not like we aren’t going to see major snow storms anymore. We just need things to go our way. Which as of right now, they most certainly aren’t. 

That super long fetch originating all the way down in the Caribbean did its job with some of the highest wave high we have seen since sandy. Had tides lined up this would have been a major disaster. Even still, I witnessed some severe erosion. Especially at lido beach in long beach where a 8’ cliff snow exists for beach access. I have the vids but they will not posts 

4 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

WOW. 26 feet at the Islip Buoy. That is borderline unheard of. 

Yeah. If you saw my posts from a few days ago, it’s the fetch starting all the way down in the Caribbean. Largest fetch I have ever seen on the east coast, so despite winds not being incredible, the distance did its job. 

Largest surf since sandy, is going to cause major beach erosion as we approach high tide. I’m heading down to take pics and videos. 

Starting to roar. The offshore waves heights are mind boggling. Pushing 30 feet south of us which means with continued fetch we could be over 30 feet in the morning. Once a decade fetch event occurring. Major beach wash overs coming. 

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This one has that look of one that’s going to really go Hammertime 

Yup, I just posted in the NYC thread, everyone thought Isias was meh, until it went full ballistic. Just like now, you could see the obs down south. This one’s going to bite, hard.

2 hours ago, OceanStWx said:

More often than not, the raw gust output runs hot. Despite the scale being in knots, you're probably better off considering that to be mph, which is a 15% reduction.

Obs from the Carolina’s, say this is real. Very impressive for a non tropical event down there. And the seas are just nuts, with a huge fetch. 27’ at 14 seconds off South Carolina doesn’t happen often. 

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Been kind of meh so far

The same thing happened with Isias. It was meh, until it went ballistic. Looking at the obs down south, we should see something similar wind wise. 

53 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

60 kt gusts are now as far north as Diamond Shoals off Cape hatteras. (60 kt = 67-68 mph)

 

Seriously impressive observations coming out of that area. If that makes it up here this is going to be a very high impact event. Seas peaked at 33’ during sandy at 44065 Ny harbor buoy. Seeing high 20’s in the Carolina’s is very impressive.