LongBeachSurfFreak

Even with all the rain last several days, 2.79" for the month...again well below normal and not looking like much the rest of the way .

4.5” in 5 days here. Pretty much everything this month fell in 5 days


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Still pretty crappy at jones beach, just had some drizzle. Drone show approaching and hardly anyone in the park.


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A few hours of showers once or twice a week will not reverse this long term drought.

2.5” of rain here yesterday. Far from a few showers.


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Models ramping up now for this weekend. 1.5 to 3"

Might as well just need the drought, some moderate rain had the same effect when it’s 49 and raw as drizzle.


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Best thunderstorm in a few years in sw Nassua. Winds were sub severe but the rain an ctg lightning was extremely impressive. Over 2” here


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JFK dropped from 92 to 83 in minutes with a slight shift in wind direction. I have experienced this hundreds of times on the beach as the seabreeze fights an offshore flow. Sometime it can be as drastic as 20 degrees in seconds


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If it’ll be raw and nasty, might as well get the benefit of a good soaking. Hopefully it edges NE in the next day or two. 

Agreed. Better to get some protracted strataform rains then days of misery mist. Any storms and heavy rain today will likely just run off. Earliest I have ever seen brown lawns around here.


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Water is 48 in Seaside Park based on my Garmin watch and a little aquarium thermometer I stuck to my surfboard. Still in a 4mm wetsuit plus boots and gloves.

I went for a quick dip no wetsuit after going for a run on the beach Sunday. With the light onshore flow and full sun nearshore water temp was def mid to upper 50s. Water was carribean turquoise at west end 2.


Buoy 44065 currently 56.7

2026-05-19 03:50 pm S 19.4 23.3 3.6 5 4.1 S 30.01 - 60.6 56.7 58.5 - - -

Meanwhile 76 at JFK. Not sure why there is a heat advisory for southern queens. This is the exact scenario for which queens an Nassau were broken up into southern and northern. Should be a heat advisory for northern Nassau.


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Any guesses on how much precip we will receive  tomorrow region wide?

I’ll take the under city east. .1”-.25” strong onshore flow will do it thing.


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Today’s going to be a sneaky moderate abrose jet day. Some gusts near 40 along the south shore late this afternoon.


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Jones Beach water temp is still 52-53. That’ll put a hard stop on any temp climb on the south shore with that kind of S wind. Probably a full on Ambrose Jet day or two thrown in. Even here might be hard to get much above 80. 

The other day was nuts with gusts near 50mph for a few hours. The resulting sandstorm will keep people off the beach regardless. When the sand is dry and winds are over 40 you have to be insane to be on the beach.


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Free skin exfoliation promo at the beach. Peak gust of 47. Pretty significant uptick over the last hour

I was just talking with the head jones beach life gaurd and we were saying what miserable experience it would be if we were open. I can’t imagine what it’s like down there right now. These events are so localized that it could be gusting over 50 right on beach.


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JFK sustained 37 gusting to 48 now


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How is there no wind advisory.

These abrose jet events are very localized and sneaky. But it’s definitely gusting near 50mph in Lynbrook. My patios covered in leaves and small branches


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Farmingdale now gusting to 48mph.


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Seems like an abrose jet developing. Wind just went ballistic the last hour.


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2009-2010 was a much weaker modoki compared to the 2023-2024 full basin event and what 2026-2027 is projected to be.
Plus it occurred back in a much colder climate prior to the baseline temperature jumps in 2015-2016 and 2023-2024.
This is why places from DC to Philly haven’t experienced anything close to those snowfall totals since. 

I expect another baseline temperature jump this year. The amount of heat release in the pacific is going to be astronomical. The cpac hurricane and wpac typhoon seasons should be historic.


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Anyone else notice that the freeze a couple weeks back after 90 degree temps ended up damaging and killing some oak and japanese maple leaves that were leafing out
 
Brown and shriveled. Doesnt happen often. Just a cae of bad tining Google says they will releaf but with smaller leaves

No freeze here in Nassua. My early girl tomatoes which have been in since early April are taking off now.
One thing we do have is damage to broad leaf evergreens from the winter. Especially skip laurel and Japanese acuba. My red rocket crape mryrle which died back to the ground in 15 made it this year though and is finally starting to leaf out.


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Not sure if this qualifies as an abrose jet event. But it is definitely ripping on the south shore right now.


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.4” last night. Currently 46 and raw.


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30.9 at KFOK and 45 here in Lynbrook. Same island extreme differences in radiational cooling.


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Cleared 1.5” here. Ground is nice and saturated even through thick evergreen trees.


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Today ended up being a perfect spring day. Mid 60s when I went for a run earlier. As soon as the wind switched to SE the temp dropped but it’s still nice in the sun.


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Gunkfest. Hopefully tomorrow’s better but looks like we’re socked in for the weekend. We pay and pay dearly for last week. 

Well we are paying the price for last week. This is crappy weather for anytime of year but not abnormal for April. Hopefully the trend improves for may.


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