LongBeachSurfFreak

4 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

Much rather have sand. Salt is terrible for vehicles, causes indirect accidents with deer and is not eco friendly

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk
 

It’s pretty obvious what salt does to white pines, the most important tree to the Maine timber economy. 

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

even the annuals start to fizzle out due to declining sun hours and sun angle

That’s exactly it. Solar insulation is too low for true tropicals. Meanwhile native plants are still doing excellent. Tonight should give the tropicals a nice beating in the city, but not enough to completely freeze them solid like in past years. 

3 hours ago, Dark Star said:

Is it possible they already had a killing frost?  Then again, it seems warmer the farther north you go sometimes, lately?

Urban heat island is much more pronounced, in the NY metro than further south which is the catalyst. 

5 hours ago, Bhs1975 said:

The disasters will become so catastrophic and numerous that funds will run out for recovery and folks will mass migrate to less affected areas which will collapse the system. Humans will become nomadic again.

Ummmmm k…. I’m a huge, huge climate change guy. But I think there are still solutions. My favorite being fusion technology. We could pretty much fix everything with endless lean energy.

1 hour ago, Random Chaos said:

I agree, but one of the coverage issues is the lack of information out of there. Even 1.5 days after the hurricane hit we are getting only a very few videos and pictures from the location. All the roads to there are inaccessible. And because of the short warning, media and storm chasers didn't have time to pre-stage near the landfall location. Until media is able to actually get access, I wouldn't judge too harshly the lack of coverage. If, once media can get access, lack of coverage continues, then I too will be appalled.

Based on our, immediate gratification news culture it will be too late. This is a once in a generation event. A major modern city basically set back to the Stone Age. This has major long term implications. 

I’m actually shocked and appalled by the lack of coverage of this, soon to be, humanitarian crisis. This was the big one, for Mexico.

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

If Andrew had hit in 2023…

Had Andrew been 20 miles further north we likely would see this kind of damage in Miami. It will happen one day, it’s just a matter of when. No building codes exist for 200+mph winds, and debri. 

3 hours ago, Floydbuster said:

I agree! I wouldn't be surprised if Tammy makes a run at Category 3 strength. 

Easily a cat 3 currently. Finding just an enough of a gap in shear.  

5 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

Crazy.

 

Some of the best RI ever seen. And on our end, Tammy also, went ballistic…. We are entering a new era. 

25 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Euro has everyone below frz next Thursday morning

Entirely possible given the date. I’ll be following closely, because the first freeze means allot of moving plants!

16 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Wow, somehow Otis has rapidly strengthened into a major. FL winds to 110 kts and unflagged SFMR values near 100 kts. Absolutely insane high end season going on over in the EPAC

El Niño, and CC. Sign of things to come…

3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Wolfie in the New England forum says it's just a warm-up.

When record all time highs get broken that's just a warm-up I guess. 

He’s a major climate change denier. Let’s go 90s! 

Winds are absolutely cranking on the island right now, gotta be close to 40mph gusts. 

1 hour ago, Windspeed said:

A rare case of low shear over the NIO with the TC positioned perfectly under vast anticyclonic flow aloft. This may very well become a Category 4 on Sunday local time there. Expected to make landfall near the Yemen-Oman border and most likely major flooding for both countries.

Those cloud tops! Sign of things to come in the future. Hyper canes, when OHC crosses 200kj

Pouring here in lynbrook. Sucks because I’m supposed to do a project with my side business this weekend. Im going to have to work twice as hard tomorrow. Weekend curse continues 

43 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nice to see these cold shots

Courtesy of Orh

Let’s get past December 1st. Then we start talking. We have had some serious fall cold shots the last few years followed by awful winters 

21 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

yeah that was terrible outside of one big storm that ended as some rain here...

I vividly remember that storm, I was out shoveling snow for money with my friends and it started pouring. We were all soaked shoveling slush and near hypothermic. 95/96 I only really remember the blizzard as there were so many other events it’s all a blur. I miss Alberta clippers too, especially cold ones with 3 or 4” of powder. I think those are a thing of the past. 

44 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

They’re actually predicting below average snow in the Northeast? 

The JB influence is waining…

its not a bad forecast in my opinion.

13 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

Already feeling those hints of frustration creeping in. It’s not a rational thing, it’s October, more PTSD. 

Not expecting a blockbuster winter but would like to see something approaching average for many of us. But if I have to look at maps of troughs dumping to Baja all winter again I’m going to run and jump into the nearest lava lake. I’m sure we’ll see periods with mixed Niño forcing, but still. 

I think the El Niño will be strong enough to reshuffle the pattern. Anything is better than what we have been seeing along the coast. Ninos come with an amped up southern stream, so we just need to time some cold and we can score. But I agree a wall to wall cold, blockbuster winter is almost impossible during a strong nino. 

Some mod/hvy rain on the uws currently. Starting to get some ponding on campus. Family weekend and I’m on OT chilling in my shop, so I’m ok with this one. 

7 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

But you just say 96 everyone knows what you mean...well at least we do. I don't need to remember it as Blizzard Bert or winter storm calliope

Yeah true. It used to be the same for hurricanes, like 38, which is the king. Anyone from this area with basic weather history knows what your talking about when you say 38.

2 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

The -PDO tempers my optimism for us, it means even though we have a strong Nino it will try to act like a Nina at times, but hopefully we can at least approach normal snow. We probably go above average temps which isn’t saying much, but Decembers in most Nino years particularly strong one’s torch. If we get one or two big events, I’ll be more than happy to settle on that. Hell I’ll be thrilled with any over 6” event. 

Exactly. Anything over 6” is a win. One thing is certain, we will see an active southern stream and resulting storminess, with the potential for multiple strong nor’easters. We just need to line up the cold. I’m feeling somewhat optimistic we at least see some snow. 

2 hours ago, the_other_guy said:

I stopped watching them and going to their site after they started this. Sensationalist bs for the social media masses

I agree, however I could see using names for blizzards on the level of 78, 96, 03, 05, 15, 16. 

4 hours ago, jm1220 said:

I can see all the Ray Donovan memes when that’s the Nino STJ juiced monster that buries the megalopolis. 

 

I think I want that more the anyone. Let’s go! At least we have a shot of breaking the shot winter pattern we have been stuck in. 

Text book RI. Major devastating wind event for PV. The track just to the south should empty the whole bay. This was a good chase cane!