LongBeachSurfFreak

I’m starting to think that the record rains in the Midwest will have a feed back to a much wetter warm season pattern this year. 

7 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

I dunno radar kinda looks like shit. Most is drifting way north, and even the (admittedly absolutely horrific) hrrr shows most stuff staying to the north with the exeption of some popup showers.

I’m referring to the precip in western Pa which has a different trajectory. Hopefully when it arrives it’s just a few showers. 

1 minute ago, wishcast_hater said:

It’s all going North. Not much forecast for NYC today.

Radar truth says otherwise. We have seen the models off by a 100 miles. 

I’m routing for a dry day, I just don’t see how we escape that much precip incoming.

It’s going to pour today. The radar is fully lit up over PA.

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

72 and sunny no winds, this is the warmest it's been here since last Saturday when it was 83 here.

 

Perfect spring day (maybe a little more sun) took my gfs dog for a run in Hempstead Lake Park. 

7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

The SSWE thing is overhyped in general-I feel it works about 25% of the time for our part of the world

I think it’s more like 10%. Tends to dump cold into Eurasia. Seems like grasping for straws. 

At Jones Beady currently, dense fog and a brutal onshore wind. The ocean is a beautiful turquoise, as it often is the time of year with the water still so cold.

2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I'm 10-15 minutes from there.  I use three weather station data, 2 in Lynbrook, one in Valley Stream and one in Oceanside.

Yeah I’m one house from malverne on Franklin. I’m still getting to know the area. Grew up in wantagh, 4 years in Maryland for college and then 7 years in Long Beach. Definitely miss Long Beach for obvious reasons, but this area is super convenient to anywhere and it snows just a little bit more.

27 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I love 5 corners, where all the main roads meet lol.  It's still thundering here intermittently.  This is real spring weather, anything can happen at any time (aside from snow of course.)

 

Yeah we live close to each other. Good to keep honest on obs! 

28 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

There was a break and more heavy rain and thunder has moved in here in SW Nassau

Yep, just ran to 5 corners fitness, in between. Rolling thunder in the distance.

32 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

too early for planting either way, although I have a large cluster of daffodils in my back yard now (6 have already flowered.)

 

Depends on what. I would wait until after next week for even cold hardy veggies. This is specific for our area which radiates like crap. 

9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Around the 10th? We're going to need an exceptional airmass.  I would bet on not getting to freezing but maybe 35-36 or so.  That can happen a lot this time of year in a cold airmass.

 

It’s definitely possible. Still lots of snow across eastern Canada. CAA is the only way the park can approach freezing this time of year. 

Just now, Sundog said:

It's only possible on a technical level, but it's EXTREMELY unlikely. 

Fully agree, something like .000001 

I was just thinking of a way to make it happen.

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

 

I was just looking at the radar down there. It’s not often you see that many Tor warned super cells that close together. 

2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

I dont think that's even possible.

The worst drought we had was in 1965 I think

 

Of course it’s possible. If we have an exceptionally dry year and then we get one of those crazy heat domes they had in pac nw. That had 10,000 year temps in BC Canada. There were places that beat their all time records by 20 degrees. Europe has had some too just not as prolific. It’s only a matter of time.

58 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Well, a 100 mile shift is nothing at day 6…that’s nothing at day 2.  For the record, I hope the fantasy snow doesn’t happen, nobody needs or wants that now in April.  

Not surprised. The micro climate in midtown is pretty nuts. There are London Plane trees in Rockefeller center that do not lose all of there leaves some winters…

51 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

at 2 pm the clouds are finally here.  No more sun until Monday? =\

A truly severe drought, one that empty’s NYC’s reservoirs is one of the worst disaster scenarios I can think of.

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Winter in NYC is 1/1-1/15. 

Best post I have seen in years, literally just started laughing. For midtown Manhattan, right on the money.

51 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

NYC  

 

April 2, 2018:  5.5 inches of snow

The crazy part of that event, the snow accumulated more efficiently then during some of those big storms in March. (In the city) Shows that it can still happen this time of year with very cold 850s and rates.

Could be a big severe day in the mid west today.

52 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Would wind speeds naturally increase as a result of climate change 

Super weighted question. It’s a yes and no that’s very location specific. Locally I would expect average wind speeds to decrease as there will be less arctic air to create cold air advection. CAA often drives our longest periods of sustained winds. Even more locally for the coast, summer sea breezes will decrease as the ocean continues to warm. 
On the high end I would suspect our highest wind gusts to increase, with stronger thunderstorms and hurricanes. 

Had enough sun finally to warm things up a bit to near 70. Onshore flow is pretty strong now and temps dropping. That will prevent  severe storms from making it to the island, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see some thunderstorms. 

Stuck in the junk. Sun is trying to break through, though on in Lynbrook. 

5 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

Yesterday was very impressive. Seeing people ski in snow in VT to us being in the 70s/80s. Simply amazing. I would have loved to fly from LGA to BOS and back to see that crazy gradient 

F Boston, 35 and misery mist… No thanks, I’d fly to Burlington for 30 and snow anytime….

15 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Nope

 

Like clockwork almost every year. I have a snowboarding trip planned to VT so I’m ok with this until after that. 

Amazing temp difference at the beach. Up by the board walk, comfortable 60s. Down right next to the water fridged 40s. The wind had just the slightest south component. Still no backdoor western Nassua, but the westerly wind has died to calm.