Cyclone-68

The NWS removed the 30% for thunderstorms late tonight or tomorrow locally so that kinda sucks

I wonder if they go with a tornado watch?

I wonder how this would look on top of Mt Washington as it rolls thru tonight lol

That’s why it’s helpful to ask questions lol

If an EF3 hits a forest and nobody is around, does it make a sound?

Long time since I’ve seen that much lightning in eastern Canada

Not 100% sure but I think that happened within a mile of where I live now

Has there been any other occasion with a 10% hatched for tornadoes in New England?

Wiz to his credit mentioned this as a possibility just yesterday

This is interesting: Some of the high-res guidance is beginning to come around to the idea of showing convective development trailing back westward along a cold front with a weakening capping inversion into central VT/NH as soon as early overnight; but the timing and coverage of this activity still is pretty scattershot across the high-res suite. This could ultimately end up being a nowcast situation, but given this trend I couldn`t really justify NBM`s nil PoPs. Opted for up to 30% PoP along the MA/NH/VT border between 4-7 AM Wed, then slowly sagging southward through the day. If any storms develop, they would likely become strong to potentially severe quickly given the degree of instability aloft and pretty strong NW mid-level winds, with frequent lightning, hail and strong straight line winds all possible, potentially early in the day as well. Low confidence but potentially higher impact if storms can materialize.

At least someone get some video or pictures tomorrow of this up north if anyone can. I’m dyin’ down here

Haven’t our historical hurricanes been during slow and below average years? I need something to grab onto because the Atlantic is as barren as a 60 year old British midwife right now.

That would have been one hell of a day in the modern age

We did have a couple of big storms locally. I dunno. Maybe my expectations are too high. I think the 90’s spoiled me

Sept 1821 redux for the north? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/September_1821_New_England_tornado_outbreak

Uggh…This summer is almost as painful as most of last winter in regards to storms. Jesus…Even for a typical non severe summer it has been frustratingly quiet. Of course not the case W/S/N of us. Even saw some grow over the ocean east of us once. Ok. Rant over

This is interesting wording for NNE tomorrow: Given the degree of instability and strength of the flow, severe thunderstorm winds are likely (some significant). Large hail will also be possible with any storms. Additionally, forecast soundings show enough low-level curvature to support a tornado threat, including a strong tornado or two, with any sustained surface-based supercell.

So first N NE and then the Mid Atlantic a few days later with great SVR potential. Just great

Squall lines have become as rare as derechos and hurricanes around here

You called it two days ago so kudos for that edit: we got a day 5 mention for thunder at least.

Whoa…Storm chances really dried up this afternoon? Never mind severe, just a terrible summer for thunder around here at all so far

I want a Met to incorporate the word “hellacious” when doing their forecast

I’m happy we ended up with some rain. It looked for a little while (to me) we were going to get screwed and not in the fun way lol

I suspect that map is well overdone around here but I’d like to be wrong

Meh…I’m not feeling this one. That and we’ve barely had a drop while south of me people are getting beneficial rains. I’ve seen this too many times in the winter. Sharp cut off between the haves and have nots