RodneyS

5 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

The person who has the lowest absolute value departures at all four airports is the winner. The first post in this thread has a link that explains it in more detail.

This doesn't change the top of the leaderboard, but apparently RIC managed to get 0.1 today, to bring the seasonal total to 4.4.

41 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Update:

BWI: 6.1"

DCA: 3.5"

IAD: 8.3"

RIC: 4.3"

@Clueless still leads. 

@MillvilleWx is now stuck rooting for a suppressed storm for RIC 

@Rhino16 somehow has to get an event that jackpots... DCA 

I think Rhino16 is now a slight favorite, but MillvilleWx is eliminated.  The latter has negative departures in three locations, and so can't pick up there.  While he can pick up 1.8 on Clueless in Richmond, he trails by 3.1.

1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

You also have to count the leader’s numbers getting worse too by the same amount, so it can get tricky, but yeah, it looks like they’re eliminated. 

Right.  The key is when someone already has a negative departure any additional snow increases that departure, whereas if someone has a positive departure any additional snow decreases that departure up to the point the departure is eliminated.  So, for example, if Contestant A has a negative departure at all four locations whereas Contestant B has a positive departure of at least an inch at all four locations, a 1-inch snowfall at each location results in a loss for Contestant A of four points and a gain for Contestant B of four points -- an eight-point swing in Contestant B's favor.

11 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Updated:

BWI: 5.9"

DCA: 2.6"

IAD: 5.6"

RIC: 4.2"

@NoVaWx maintains the lead. I believe @RickinBaltimore and @biodhokie have also been mathematically eliminated now, but I'm not 100% sure on that.

You're correct about @RickinBaltimore and @biodhokie.  The former trails by 2.6 and can pick up only 1.6 (if he gains the maximum at DCA), and the latter trails by 4.3 and can pick up only 2.2  (1.2 at BWI and 1.0 at DCA).

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ____ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

-0.4     -0.3     -0.1       -1.9     0.8      1.6          -0.3     1.1     -0.4 

2 hours ago, North Balti Zen said:

Rodney is this thread's reaper. He's well paid to keep it brutally real. 

Blame @PrinceFrederickWx.  He asked about five-year DCA snow totals, which I had not previously tracked.  By the way, the IAD 5-year minimum was set way back during the 1972-73 through 1976-77 snow seasons, at 58.6 inches. The last four years at IAD have totaled 48.6 inches, and so under 10 inches this year there will break the record. 
 

On 1/9/2021 at 11:05 PM, snowfan said:

Might as well set some new marks for DCA this year. It could be the first time they’ve ever had back 2 back winters with less than an inch of snow. Probably unlikely. And, with less than 10 inches, it would be the first ever 5 yr stretch with at least 4 years having less than 10 inches. I’d wager chances of this happening are good.

The 5-year minimum DC snow total was set during the 1997-98 through 2001-02 snow seasons at 37.7 inches.  The last four snow seasons at DCA have totaled 28.7 inches, and so 8.9 inches or fewer this season would break that record.  The minimum two-season DC snow total was set during the 2011-12 through 2012-13 snow seasons at 5.1 inches.  So, with last season's 0.6 inch total at DCA, 4.4 inches this season would break that record. 

12 hours ago, wxdude64 said:

Thanks to you for putting the time in to allow us to play. I'll try to ride the roller coaster back to the top this year lol!

Yes, thanks very much for all the time that you spend on this each year, Roger. 

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

1.4      1.5       2.7        2.7      1.0     -0.3       1.4       0.5      2.0

On 11/30/2020 at 4:14 PM, RodneyS said:

I just posted this to the Capital Weather Gang webpage:

I think the bigger news about today's precipitation at DCA is that it pushed the 3-year total, 2018-2020, to 161 inches, with one month remaining to add to that record amount in official DC precipitation history, which began in January 1871. That total eclipsed the previous DC 3-year record of 160.64 inches, set 142 years ago, 1876-1878.  Moreover, the current decade, 2011-2020, has averaged 44.0 inches per year, which is DC's second wettest of 15, behind only 1881-1890, which averaged 47.1 inches.  The previous second wettest decade was 1931-40, which averaged 43.8 inches.  In contrast,  1961-1970 was the driest DC decade, averaging 36.5 inches.  See https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/11/30/dc-area-forecast-stormy-warm-windy-today-before-chillier-weather-settles

2020 precipitation at DCA finished at 57.34 inches, 7th highest in DC history. That pushed the record-breaking 3-year total to 165.96 inches and the 2011-2020 decade yearly average to 44.51 inches.  The most notable aspect of 2020 DCA precipitation was the second half total of 36.73 inches, which exceeded every past second half except 2018, which was 41.10 inches.   

1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

BWI tied for 3rd hottest November (along with 1985 and 1946) at 52.4 degrees. Only 1948 and 1931 were hotter at 53.0 and 54.7 degrees, respectively.

And DCA tied for the 4th hottest November (along with 1985) at 54.3 degrees. 2001 is # 1, at 54.8, and 1975 and 1979 are tied for 2nd at 54.4. 

I just posted this to the Capital Weather Gang webpage:

I think the bigger news about today's precipitation at DCA is that it pushed the 3-year total, 2018-2020, to 161 inches, with one month remaining to add to that record amount in official DC precipitation history, which began in January 1871. That total eclipsed the previous DC 3-year record of 160.64 inches, set 142 years ago, 1876-1878.  Moreover, the current decade, 2011-2020, has averaged 44.0 inches per year, which is DC's second wettest of 15, behind only 1881-1890, which averaged 47.1 inches.  The previous second wettest decade was 1931-40, which averaged 43.8 inches.  In contrast,  1961-1970 was the driest DC decade, averaging 36.5 inches.  See https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/11/30/dc-area-forecast-stormy-warm-windy-today-before-chillier-weather-settles

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

 0.1      0.9      1.7       2.3      0.0     2.1         -0.6      0.9      0.5

BWI:  6.7

DCA: 4.4

IAD:  7.6

RIC:  8.0

SBY: 5.5

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

0.7      0.3       0.6       2.5      2.0     0.9         0.3      1.0       1.1

Snowfall 

DCA: 4.4"

NYC: 8.5"

 BOS: 20.0"

 ORD: 31.6"

 DTW: 38.0"

BUF: 78.9"

DEN: 55.5"

 BTV: 66.6"

 SEA: 5.1"

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

 0.2      0.4      1.0       0.9      0.0     0.7         1.8       2.0      1.5

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

 1.0       1.3      2.0       1.5     0.1     1.2         1.4      3.0      3.6

On 8/16/2018 at 9:36 PM, RodneyS said:

The beat goes on.  This year, DCA recorded 0.36 inches of precipitation on August 12th and nothing on August 15th.  So, the updated totals, 1871-2018, are: 

August 12:  43.43 inches total; 21 days with a trace, 54 days with measurable, 12 days with at least an inch, 5 days with 2+ inches.

August 15:  12.45 inches total; 16 days with a trace, 47 days with measurable, 5 days with at least an inch, no days with 2+ inches.

 

Time for an update.  Not much has happened to change the picture during the last two years. In 2019, August 12th had no precipitation at DCA, whereas August 15th had 0.20 inches.  This year, August 12th had 0.26, whereas August 15th had 0.21.  So the updated 150-year totals for DC, 1871-2020, are: 

August 12:  43.69 inches total; 21 days with a trace, 55 days with measurable, 12 days with at least an inch, 5 days with 2+ inches.

August 15:  12.86 inches total; 16 days with a trace, 49 days with measurable, 5 days with at least an inch, no days with 2+ inches.

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

 0.9       1.3      2.2        0.9     0.0     -0.4        1.5      2.7      0.3

On 7/30/2020 at 7:40 PM, wxdude64 said:

So...Roanoke finally had a below 90 high today (89 lol), so that stops the streak at 29 consecutive 90 or above days. That is the new record, breaking 1966's 22 days in a row by a good bit.

DCA recorded 28 90-degree-plus days this month, breaking the DC record of 25 set in July 2011.  However, the longest streak at 20 days fell one-day short of the 1980 and 1988 record streaks of 21 days.  Also, the July 2020 average temperature of 83.9 at DCA fell short of the July 2011 record average monthly temperature of 84.8, as well as the July 2012 average of 84.0.

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

1.8      2.2      1.2        2.8      -0.8    1.2          3.1      0.7     -0.8  

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

1.1      0.7      1.3        1.9      0.6     1.0        3.9       2.2      -0.5 

99       98       97         96       99      103       98       118      93

13 hours ago, wxdude64 said:

1917 must have been a doozy! I (and all the CO-Ops within 30 miles) are running -8.5 to -10 for the month to date and the stations that have been around a while have 1917 one to 2.5 degrees colder!! Crazy.

Based on the metric I was using, 1917 wasn't quite as cold as this year in DC, with an average maximum temperature of 63.8 during April 14-May 13.  However, May 1917 maximums averaged only 68.8, 4th coldest of all time. And the overall average May 1917 temperature was only 59.6, just 0.4 degrees above the all-time coldest DC May, which was 1907.

On 4/28/2020 at 6:02 PM, RodneyS said:

I just posted this on the Capital Weather Gang webpage, in response to Ian Livingston's article at https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/04/28/pm-update-some-more-showers-tonight-much-warmer-wednesday

Today marked the 15th consecutive day at DCA without a 70+ degree reading.  The only other April 14-28 period where that happened in DC weather history was 1875.  However, as Ian notes, the current run appears over, as tomorrow is forecast to be at least 70.  In 1875, the run ended one day later, on April 30th, with a reading of 72.  Still, there is a big difference between these two Aprils.  April 1875 averaged only 48.0 degrees, the second coldest April in DC history, whereas this April has averaged 54.8 so far, only slightly below the 1871-2019 historical April average of 55.3.  By the way, 1874 was the coldest April in DC history, at 47.1, and the only April day that reached 70+ that year was the 15th, at 72 degrees.

 In response to a comment on the Capital Weather Gang webpage arguing that we had a normal Spring, I posted this reply at https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/05/13/warm-weather-arrive-abruptly-east-this-week-may-just-be-tease-some: I wouldn't exactly call this Spring normal, particularly for the last 30 days.  The maximum temperature at DCA during April 14-May 13 averaged 63.6 degrees, the 6th coldest all-time in DC for that period and the coldest since 1882, which averaged 62.2.  The coldest all-time was 1875, which averaged 60.8; and the warmest was 1985, which averaged 79.0.

On 4/28/2020 at 6:02 PM, RodneyS said:

I just posted this on the Capital Weather Gang webpage, in response to Ian Livingston's article at https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/04/28/pm-update-some-more-showers-tonight-much-warmer-wednesday

Today marked the 15th consecutive day at DCA without a 70+ degree reading.  The only other April 14-28 period where that happened in DC weather history was 1875.  However, as Ian notes, the current run appears over, as tomorrow is forecast to be at least 70.  In 1875, the run ended one day later, on April 30th, with a reading of 72.  Still, there is a big difference between these two Aprils.  April 1875 averaged only 48.0 degrees, the second coldest April in DC history, whereas this April has averaged 54.8 so far, only slightly below the 1871-2019 historical April average of 55.3.  By the way, 1874 was the coldest April in DC history, at 47.1, and the only April day that reached 70+ that year was the 15th, at 72 degrees.

April 2020 at DCA averaged 55.3 degrees -- the same as the 1871-2019 historical average.  However, precipitation at 6.30 inches was double the DC April historical average of 3.15 inches.  In fact, it was the 7th rainiest April in DC history, with the rainiest being 9.13 inches in 1889.