weatherpruf

I don't even keep track of the heat. I don't go outdoors until late August when it starts to break. Seriously, I stay inside. With the AC blasting.

I famously told my colleagues it was going out to sea....

Which one? Only the last one gave me anything to talk about, somewhere around 8-12. The others were nothing, and 3-4.

Nice to know I was in the same dry slot for the rain as I usually am for the snow. I am sick of this rain already. I have a dog that will not go out in the rain. Ya'll know what that means.....and he gets quite indignant when I bring it up. Snarls, growls, bears teeth and all....

My township recorded 54 inches that year, with 3/2 being the last, but what a blast, literally, sleeted so hard it sounded like a sandblaster, Picked up 3-5 of slushy, back breaking sleet in that one.

There have now been several storms over the last few years where an apocalypse was predicted but we wound up with 4-8 in large portions of this subforum. It is tedious. Off the top of my head, Jan 2015, March 2017, March 2018. Forecasting snow amounts in some of these situations, I have learned, is dicey. Jan 2016 delivered though. Thing is, I had only seen one storm of such magnitude in my life in 1996, and I was 33 yrs old then. I've seen several of them since.

Explain, as that looks on the not too cold side to me....

Even the 2/26 storm hit the northern folks, but we walked away with 8 here. Not bad, but not the double digits posted further north. It was much the same last winter, too far west for the Jan storm ( got about 6-7 ) a little south for the first two March storms and a little north for the final March storm ( but almost got a foot ) and did get a bonus April event of 3-6 that was a nice cap.

For me, every storm underperformed. The worst being 2/6 ( because I was still progged to get8-12, got 3 ) Dec 2009 I got 10, 2/11 I got around10, 2/26 I got 8. Not bad but seriously less than people 30 mins from me...wouldn't mind having some of those events this year.

Well it hasn't really started yet....( ya know what I mean )

You couldn't even buy table salt around here for a week or so. No sand, no kitty litter, nothin. And Home Depot was not on every corner yet. God I miss those kinda winters...

93-94. Not as much total snow as 96, but plenty of storms. And a couple of rare ice events to boot, and a massive sleet event in March. Plus the two mini blizzards in Feb. And I did all this with a stinkin shovel...

There was nothing at all just west of the city in NJ in the April storm.

Pouring here too, but no pinging. Really cold and nasty out.

Yeah, a reminder it can get real cold and still not snow. I believe both the VD storm and the March storm had trouble with a warm nose of air off the coast, costing us any serious accumulations. Of course travel was still treacherous and we got school closures as a result, and if IIRC a massive rainstorm later that was so bad we had to use a snow day. I can remember Henry Margusity quoting my report of massive sleet during the March storm.

But they were pathetic storms for our area in terms of accumulations. The whole winter stunk.

Don't be so hard on yourself. No one is that stellar at this.

You are one of the posters here who I pay close attention to. Thanks for that explanation. A 2010 track of storms still gives us possibilities, just not bullseye ones. Better than what we have now.

And that Feb 2010 event managed to skirt my area too, with an official recording of 8 inches. In fact, not one storm that entire winter delivered much more than that. But to tell the truth, those kinds of events are my favorite. I don't need two feet of snow to enjoy it.

97-98 was pretty much like this all winter. Had an inch or so in March I think.

Question...how frequent are El ninos? Seems like we just had one not too long ago.

Really, it has only been actual calendar winter for a few days....way too early to call it quits. If Jan looks the same I'd say things are going to go south, but if IIRC didn't the Feb 2006 blizzard follow a crap pattern? So you never really know.

We do go through this every year, except in years when it snows in Dec. We all know that an early Oct. or Nov snow doesn't mean much ( and they are statistically rare ) but snow less Decembers get everyone nervous. But we had two recent years IIRC, 2015 ad 2016, that delivered after Dec, though 2016 was a one hit wonder.

We got into a big rowe last year about March really not being a good time of year for most in the NYC/Middlesex Co NJ for big snows. The record speaks for itself, and while there are many notable events, very few surpassed 10 inches. There are people who got absolutely offended at this, but it's true for a large area. There are some areas in the Bronx that have done better, but not Central Park IIRC. We want the conditions from Dec to about the last week of Feb for the best snow results; I 'll bet on a big snow in Dec over March any day. In general though, this year reminds of early 90's winters ( 94 excepted, which was a shock to the system for those of us who grew up in the 70's-80's ).

Not all of us did so hot last March, only the last storm delivered for my region and only after hours and hours of barely a few inches; only by evening did it get going and I believe we were still shy of a foot. We did get an April event that kinda made up for the March events. Snowless Decembers like this were common in the 80's and 90's, and they were usually followed by paltry snow events for the rest of the winter. So when I see this I tend to think it will revert to those kids of winters. However, after Jan 2016, I believe all bets are off. Anything can happen, but usually some of the folks on here can see it coming beforehand, the PB's, Blue Waves, NJwx among others, even Anthony, who can sniff out a snow storm in July, when they start getting excited, I know something is in the wind. And when Forky jumps aboard, I start up the snow blowers....