PrinceFrederickWx

One thing we do well here is cold rain- my rain gauge totals just from the last three rainstorms: 1/12- 1.04 inches 1/18 - 1.55 inches 1/23- 1.56 inches I've probably gotten more rain this month than the entire spring and summer combined... like I really need it now! lol TWC forecast has our region as 1-3 inches, LWX has Calvert and St Mary's as 2-3 but Charles has 1-2. They took the winter storm watch away from Charles but left it up for Calvert and St Mary's... idk why.

To everyone who's just joined us- welcome aboard!

I've actually been following over on Accuweather forums more... the latest NAM looked terrible for us down here but the GFS looks better (to me, at least). btw I haven't forgotten about this thread. There was someone else I know on here that's from my area but he seems to have disappeared. There's some I know in real life that might sign up, idk

Nice little first event for me here, I got about 0.5" of snow with a little sleet/ice mixed in. Stuck to all the roads and sidewalks too. Looks like some areas in St. Mary's got an inch according to NWS posted obs.

This is for Charles, Calvert and St. Mary's Counties. Southern areas of PG and AA Counties can be in it too. Post forecasts, OBS, banter, etc. Anyway... I'm liking the look of tomorrow's system, looks like it could be a southern MD special like 1/29 last year. NWS has me for 1/2 inch overnight and up to an inch tomorrow. I think winter weather advisories may get posted down here. If it works out, it'll be nice to see some accumulating snow finally after last week's shutout.

Well this sure ain't happening now lol

Nah 2/5-6/10 was way better- more snow and watching everyone get shafted in NYC and SNE was hilarious. The one time (and probably the only time) where the mid-atlantic were the snow kings.

I did some math and calculated that BWI needs to have an average monthly temp of 34.9 (-1.8 departure) to stay in the top 10 coldest. This would actually be a tie for 8th as spots 8-10 are all tied (1875, 1886 and 1907). We are currently at +1.6, but its still possible, especially if later in the month does turn cold. If it happens, this would be the coldest calendar year since 1967.

Nov. 2014 tied for 16th coldest at 43.4 degrees, along with 1875 and 1954. 2014 finished just 0.2 degrees colder than 2013 (which ranked 19th coldest) but 0.5 degrees warmer than 2012 (which ranked 11th coldest). Its fairly impressive (to me, least) that we've had three top 20 coldest Novembers in a row. The prospect of having the longest period of consecutive Novembers without snow also didn't happen, with the 0.3 inches on the 26th. But... we're now back in the running for top 10 coldest calendar year. This was tied for the 7th coldest Jan 1 - Nov 30 period ever at BWI.

I'm not sure what they mean by "THE 8TH CONSECUTIVE DAY WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW 50 AT BOTH SITES" ...it was 52 at BWI on Thursday.

So the two record lowest maxes failed, but BWI did break the record low. I'm thinking more and more that we have a chance to break a lowest max tomorrow, 11/21. Record is 31 and forecast is for 32 We're still in the running for a top 10 coldest November; however, I'm not sure how much Sun-Tues is going to wreck it. The negative departures weren't as good as I expected due to the midnight highs.

Record low was broken for today (19 degrees this morning). Lowest max should probably be broken today too.

Here's what I'm tracking for BWI: Record lowest max (31) for tomorrow, 11/18 Record low (20) and record lowest max (35) for 11/19 Top 10 coldest Nov. on record Top 10 coldest calendar year on record

Despite Sept. finishing 0.9 degrees above average, the period from Jan 1-Sept 30 was tied for 8th coldest at BWI.

4th coldest August and tied for 7th coldest Jan. 1 - Aug. 31 period at BWI.

Its looking like this Aug. will rank somewhere between 2nd and 4th coldest at BWI. I was surprised to find that there was actually one time at BWI where Sept. was hotter than Aug. (1921) and one time where they were equal (1881). I mention this because I wonder if it will happen this year with the way the longer range forecasts are looking. Although in both the previous cases, it wasn't because Aug. was so cold (like this year) but rather because Sept. was so hot. 1881 was the hottest Sept. ever and 1921 was the 4th hottest.

BWI has not had a single above average day this month yet. Coldest August on record watch (currently in 4th place).

6.14 inches of rain for BWI so far, making it the 2nd rainiest day so far. Previous 2nd place holder was 9/30/2010 with 6.02 inches. The all time recordholder is 7.62 inches on 8/23/1933

I'm all in for tracking cold records on my webpage now (never thought I'd be saying that in this region). I think we're going negative for August so a top 10 coldest year is still alive...

Interesting is the disparity in temps between BWI and DCA this year. Normal (1981-2010) for calendar year is 55.1 at BWI and 58.2 at DCA, so BWI on average has been about 3.1 degrees colder. Top five years are below. 1981 - 4.4 degrees colder at BWI 2014 (so far) - 4.3 1980 - 4.2 1959 - 4.2 1973 - 3.6 So its a very good chance that this will end up being the year where the average temps at BWI and DCA were the farthest apart ever.

It seems like we were in a historically warm pattern (with occasional negative departures) from March 2010 to January 2013. Starting in Feb 2013 its been the other way around. I have no idea why though. It doesn't seem like its stopping anytime soon either.

July 2014 at BWI broke or tied more record lows than any other July (5 total), but still only finished tied for 17th coldest (along with 1904 and 2003). By comparison, the other recent cool July everyone remembers (2009), finished tied for 10th coldest, but only broke one record low. The period from Jan-July 2014 was tied for the 10th coldest Jan-Jul period ever at BWI, along with 1888 and 1912.

Same here- such a cool July and yet it still managed to burn up my lawn. I think BWI is gonna break another record low tomorrow morning. Forecasted low is 56, which is also the record for tomorrow.

BWI tied the record low this morning (59 degrees). 4th time this month now that a record low was either broken or tied.

BWI set its 3rd record low for the month this morning (57 degrees). Previous record was 59, set in 2008.