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Posts posted by PrinceFrederickWx
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3 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:
Are you willing to step away--like all the way away--from this site and tracking for a day or two? I think it will help (sure helped me last year).
At some point between last winter and the Canadian wildfires I transitioned into full-on climate doomer. I keep checking in the hopes we at least get a MECS to prove my worst fears wrong, in the short term at least…
I have four young kids and it scares me what this planet is going to look like by the time they grow up.
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20 minutes ago, caviman2201 said:
I feel like Walter in Money Pit when he finally loses the last little glimmer of hope and just starts laughing maniacally
I already posted this on the previous page lol
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The real question is: what happens if we somehow get completely shut out again this winter? That would even be worse than my dire winter forecast. What will the conversation be like going forward? Would anyone ever forecast above average snow again? Would we still have “deniers?”
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The window is rapidly closing on the climo+ snow forecasts if we can’t get anything meaningful in the next 7-10 days…
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18z GFS:
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9 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:
Good guess. Early March 2015
That’s a beautiful shot!
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1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said:
When and where was this taken? I’m going to take a wild guess: Sandy Point, February 2015?
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5 hours ago, AlexD1990 said:
They're all happy about the GFS run and I'm over here like...ugh.,
This GFS run is even worse for us. I’d prefer the Euro solution but of course they all don’t.
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4 hours ago, dailylurker said:
2016 sucked lol. We had 4 days of cold. A freak snow that melted 36 hours later with temps in the 60's. That was it for that winter. Sure.. better then the garbage lately, but hardly a good winter. 2014-15 was the last winter we had basically.
15-16 was way better in SoMD than 14-15. We had another WSW on President's Day (some areas got more from that than the HECS), then another borderline WSW event in early March, and even an accumulating event in April. 14-15 was only really good if you were in the northern tier.
Of course both winters look amazing compared to the last two years here, so I'd take either of them at this point LOL
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45 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:
M80 mph Bay Bridge.
I read this wrong and thought it was raining firecrackers on the Bay Bridge (no obs with this system would surprise me at this point).
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0.84" so far and the winds have definitely performed IMBY
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Make sure you all buy in early (and be ready to sell at Happy Hour) for next Tuesday’s pump-and-dump.
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9 hours ago, North Balti Zen said:
Dear lord, I am turning into @mattie g in real time. It's windy RAIN for petesake.
I can't comment on other counties but I can understand Calvert closing early. If our high wind warning forecast were to verify, it would likely be the worst winds since since March 2018 (which schools also closed for). That caused a LOT of damage in this county, and there wasn't wasn't even any rain with it. Tropical storm conditions are essentially being forecast IMBY, but without an actual tropical storm.
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4 minutes ago, yoda said:
High Wind Warning up for Calvert and St. Mary's counties
Flood watch and coastal flood watch up for us too. Tropical tracking in January- who had that on their winter bingo card? LOL
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The GFS should just stop at 240 every run and play a Rick Astley video instead of running to 384.
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2 hours ago, RevWarReenactor said:
Does anyone remember when it was Xmas and the LR thread was saying "get ready for early January pattern change and snow chances are coming Jan 3rd"!!
Start back in the November long range thread, read through all the comments chronologically while playing this in the background:
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Warm wet / cold dry and an Ohio Valley HECS on the GFS. I’m dialing option 2 on my original hotline.
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Reading the long range thread
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Placing your bets in the long range look:
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Weenies in the long range thread:
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16 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:
Imagine if this storm does a double rug-pull lmao
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Imagine if this storm does a double rug-pull lmao
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Panic Room - Winter 23/24 Edition
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
I’ve been wondering about this a lot. Could it be that our new normal gives us more Miller B’s, etc., or otherwise a pattern that leaves NYC permanently higher while the Mid-Atlantic trends lower? Will some areas in the northeast be permanently better off? Or are they just now in the feast-or-famine stage, which will eventually transition to all famine (like we seem to be doing)?