PrinceFrederickWx

2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

If this one doesn’t pan out I may buy my tickets to Spain 2026 pretty quickly. Australia 2028 also isn’t bad.

I’d love to go to the Sydney one… I really want to see the southern hemisphere night sky too. I’m not sure my kids and I could endure the long plane flight though. 

La Nina + record Atlantic warmth = most named storms and highest ACE on record.

Bonus: cat 5 up the Bay in Sept. 

Bookmark this post. 

On 3/14/2024 at 11:13 PM, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Here’s another theoretical question: if you had to choose between clear skies partial or complete cloudy totality, which do you pick?

I'm really having this debate in my head now given the forecast IMBY vs. Ohio.

We're probably going anyway, just so we can yell at the clouds all day like the old man in the Simpsons lol

0.84" today, 1.57" for the month.

This one's been a meh IMBY the last few days (which is fine with me): 0.62" yesterday and 0.11" the day before. Drizzling now too.

5 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Heck...I almost wonder if the GFS-like solution is correct in the end, if it would actually be better if that system can speed up quite a bit and clear the area around the lower Lakes by Monday (and weaken it more), rather than being over that region on that day.  It almost looked like the GFS was accelerating it a bit, in fact.

I was wondering about this too… it might look worse before it looks better if the GFS keeps accelerating the system.

6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Not looking forward to making the call on Sunday. Room for things to change back but things looked much better a few days ago. Karma for rooting for Texas’ downfall lol.

We want everyone to throw in the towel and cancel, then have a positive bust with sunny skies. Less traffic this way. 

Are we having eclipse reapings like we do for winters around here? 

13 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I’m becoming more interested in NW Pennsylvania or SWNY as opposed to Ohio as my eclipse destination. Haven’t been to that part of the state and have never seen one of the Great Lakes. Maybe make it a 2-for-1er.

I would definitely recommend seeing Niagara Falls, I liked that area of New York!

Now if I had the money and time (neither of which I have), I would go to Egypt for the 2027 one. 

33 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

I'm not in a position to have various disparate locations to go to if needed, on very short notice. 

Same here. We're just going to the house we have booked in Ohio and rolling the dice at this point. It'll still get dark and we've never been to Ohio, so it'll be a fun trip at least seeing a new state. 

My spot in Ohio's looking good... only ten days away, let's lock it up! 

6.84” for the month, which is now the rainiest March IMBY since I moved here.

20 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

As mentioned before here and in the article, the decrease in nights with freezing temps is just astounding.  32 such nights this year and 36 last year - I mean that's less than 1/3 of nights all winter seeing freezing temps and a two year total that's closer to what we'd expect in ONE winter.

Yep this is what I keep ranting about, it just never cools off at night anymore. It’s becoming almost impossible to even get a hard freeze IMBY. I mowed part of the yard every month this winter except January.

Another thing I’ve noticed just in the 11 years I’ve been here: the Daffodil bloom date has now solidly moved into February IMBY. It used to be March when we first moved in.

WBAL has a good play-by-play of the bridge video, looks like the last two passenger cars exited with just 30 seconds left to impact: https://www.wbaltv.com/article/baltimore-key-bridge-collapse-second-by-second-breakdown/60309992

Hopefully the back end gets out of Ohio in the next panel lol

2.26” total

I’m thinking this year will be another code red summer smokeout. July will be the hottest ever, followed by a record-breaking hurricane season that features a major up the bay around September. Winter will be preemptively canceled in October, which then guarantees a 95/96 redux. 
 

I wonder how well this post will age. 

Wow the wildfire smoke smell is suddenly bad here when I just went out, as bad as last summer for sure. 

https://www.weather.gov/iln/20240408_Eclipse
 

…So you’re saying there’s a chance 

4 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Not sure I want it to be simple...but just to make some kind of sense! I'm still not 100% past irony of the whole warmer planet but cooler ENSO thing, but at least when you mention trade wind things makes that make more sense to this layman (wind blowing on water making it cooler=something that makes sense)

But to your point about the transient cold shots being common...so you're in the thinking that it's not happening more than it used to, but it just feels that way?

The transient cold shots are normal. What’s not normal is effortlessly running the temp up to 80 degrees on any random winter day in between.

Here’s another theoretical question: if you had to choose between clear skies partial or complete cloudy totality, which do you pick?

8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Ah, then you are ahead of me. Wouldn’t worry too much, though it probably won’t be a fun drive!

Might be ignorance, but I really like to think I’d be okay driving the day of in the early morning hours. Guess maybe I’ll find out!

You might actually be better off. Problem is, everyone I know who's going to OH/PA is planning on driving up there right at the same time as me (the day before in the morning). That's not a good sign lol

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I think the only way to go is to leave the night before if you are driving to OH/PA. Even that might be tricky, but hoping it’s plausible. Morning of probably will be more frustrating than it’s worth even if you get there, lol

We were planning on leaving the morning before (April 7) but even that seems sketchy at this point.

2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

My hope with driving is that if I leave at midnight, drive with a partner who can drive back at like 10pm and trade sleeping hours, and just fully commit to a lost day, the driving will be OK. Avoiding daylight hours. Maybe optimistic still lol.

I'm getting really concerned about the projected number of people going into OH and PA. It's a 6 hour drive for us even without traffic. Not sure what we're gonna do if we wake up the morning of the 7th and see it estimating the drive to be like 14 hours, so I'm working on a backup plan lol

There's like almost zero flights available now into CLE or anywhere in the path.

22 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

With the earth's axis tilting up for summer, wouldn't that imply a south trend? I don't think the model guidance will be honing on this until it gets closer to the event? /s

Yeah on second thought, south trend was a thing during the winter- right where we want it this far out. 

On a serious note, I have a bunch of worries... clouds, traffic, etc... hopefully it works out! We've got glasses from Lunt, plus I made shoebox viewers. 

We were originally supposed to stay in Chagrin Falls, OH, but the owner canceled on us last year cause he was selling the property. So now we’re booked in Bristolville, OH. I’ll get fringed in a last minute north trend.