PrinceFrederickWx

The window is rapidly closing on the climo+ snow forecasts if we can’t get anything meaningful in the next 7-10 days…

18z GFS:

That’s a beautiful shot!

When and where was this taken? I’m going to take a wild guess: Sandy Point, February 2015?

This GFS run is even worse for us. I’d prefer the Euro solution but of course they all don’t.

IMBY:

15-16 was way better in SoMD than 14-15. We had another WSW on President's Day (some areas got more from that than the HECS), then another borderline WSW event in early March, and even an accumulating event in April. 14-15 was only really good if you were in the northern tier. Of course both winters look amazing compared to the last two years here, so I'd take either of them at this point LOL

I read this wrong and thought it was raining firecrackers on the Bay Bridge (no obs with this system would surprise me at this point).

0.84" so far and the winds have definitely performed IMBY

I think the last time I saw this particular combination of advisories, watches and warnings was during Superstorm Sandy.

Make sure you all buy in early (and be ready to sell at Happy Hour) for next Tuesday’s pump-and-dump.

I can't comment on other counties but I can understand Calvert closing early. If our high wind warning forecast were to verify, it would likely be the worst winds since since March 2018 (which schools also closed for). That caused a LOT of damage in this county, and there wasn't wasn't even any rain with it. Tropical storm conditions are essentially being forecast IMBY, but without an actual tropical storm.

Flood watch and coastal flood watch up for us too. Tropical tracking in January- who had that on their winter bingo card? LOL

The GFS should just stop at 240 every run and play a Rick Astley video instead of running to 384.

Start back in the November long range thread, read through all the comments chronologically while playing this in the background:

Warm wet / cold dry and an Ohio Valley HECS on the GFS. I’m dialing option 2 on my original hotline.

Reading the long range thread

Placing your bets in the long range look:

Weenies in the long range thread:

Imagine if this storm does a double rug-pull lmao

I had posted this in one of the storm threads last week but I really should have put it here. -Over the last ten snow seasons (2014-15 to 2023-24), BWI currently holds a 10-year average snowfall of 12.8." This is currently a record low, but winter isn't over yet. -The record lowest 10-year average is 14.3" which has occurred twice before: 1947-48 to 1956-57, and again from 1967-68 to 1976-77. -BWI will need to get at least 15.7" of snow this season to avoid tying the record low 10-year average. To break the record, there must be less than 14.7" this season.

I'm trying to remember the last time I ever got below the upper 20's IMBY... maybe for a few hours on Dec 23, 2022.

It doesn’t get cold at night anymore, that’s our main problem.

LOL did you all fall for another AmWx pump-and-dump? Need to add a fraud hotline to the phones too.