PrinceFrederickWx
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Everything posted by PrinceFrederickWx
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Smelling the wildfire smoke all around Calvert today… it’s a very distinct smell that I learned over the summer.
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That post wasn't worded well, sorry. I meant it was a bad sign for the winter that I only have 0.07" so far this month, not because it's been a dry year. I remember looking at some of the region's least snowiest years and finding a pretty good correlation to dry Novembers that preceded. Since you mentioned 2002: the November totals for DCA and BWI were 4.34" and 3.73" respectively, both above average. Of course we may pick up in the second half of the month; but I'm concerned.
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I got a whopping total of 0.07” for that system, which is also my monthly total. This is looking like a lock now for driest year since I moved to Prince Frederick a decade ago. Not a good sign for winter IMHO
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9th Annual Mid-Atlantic Snowfall Contest
PrinceFrederickWx replied to RodneyS's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is around the time the November pump-and-dump scam starts. Long range will start showing some weenie solution (either 1996 or 2010, depending on whatever ENSO you’re in). People start posting mega forecasts at all-time highs, or rapidly revising upwards… then the Pacific puke (or whatever) starts showing up after Thanksgiving, and Rodney will have to sift through the spreadsheet on December 1 to figure out who quietly revised back downwards. Eta: Exhibit A in post below -
I remember in Oct. 2009 we had the back-to-back mid-October coastals, both with big rain totals and four consecutive record lowest maxes at BWI. This pattern literally reloaded in February. If I saw something like that happen this month, I might get excited for the 09-10 analogs being thrown about lately.
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- wishcasting
- almost winter
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Yep I've been saying it for months... this Nino isn't acting like a Nino.
- 1,295 replies
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- 1
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- wishcasting
- almost winter
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9th Annual Mid-Atlantic Snowfall Contest
PrinceFrederickWx replied to RodneyS's topic in Mid Atlantic
BWI: 2.3" DCA: 1.1" IAD: 3.7" RIC: 0.4" Tiebreaker SBY: 0.2" -
That would be well below climo for most of Southern MD, but it would be much more than I've gotten in 3 of the last 4 winters, so there's that I guess.
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October is the best weather month in this region by far.
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The Great Drizzlefest of 2023 has returned. Monthly total 8.41"
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My monthly total is up to 8.19". Hoping I can heavy drizzle my way to double digits this month.
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We’re doing the heavy mist not on radar thing again IMBY
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Same here, heavy drizzle but not on radar. Why doesn’t it show up?
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Storm total 3.78"
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3.21" is my storm total so far.
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We had a lull this morning but the heavy rain has resumed. Storm total is 1.73” so far.
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You need to reel this one in, but slowly; get me to a cat 1 inb4 landfall.
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Based on my prior experience with Isaias, I have a feeling this is going to overperform IMBY.
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Final total for today was 2.74".
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2.33” and still pouring
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BWI's first half of the year was second-hottest behind 2012, and that was with a below-average May and June. July and August were above-average, and we may have a serious shot at hottest September ever, so I'm issuing a Hottest Year on Record Watch for BWI.
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100 at BWI per daily climate report!
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You know we’re in trouble when even I’ve had to start watering my lawn now. I just assumed IMBY was going to get approximately 40 feet of rain like I do every year lol
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Don’t tell me we’re all suffering through this for a bunch of 98’s and 99’s. I want that triple-digit prize!
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Serious question, not trolling, because I don’t understand this… Can someone explain to me why we’re having a La Nina pattern (hot and dry, plus active hurricane season) while we’re in an El Nino? Does ENSO actually matter anymore?
