PrinceFrederickWx

Momentum is building, last chance for you all to get in cheap.

Let's hope this month isn't as boring as The Mandalorian was last night.

Yeah it woke us all up at 4am, I wasn’t expecting that either.

Beautiful clear view of the Venus Jupiter conjunction right now. So glad the mostly cloudy forecast busted.

I looked this up- December 1904 was the GOAT. I’d take that even over December 2009 despite less snow overall.

Late 1940's / early 1950's seemed to be an incredibly warm and bad stretch too: The 1948-49 winter was 3rd warmest, and 1949-50 was tied for 4th warmest. 1949-50 was also the least snowiest year on record for BWI. Somehow 1948-49 managed to score 19.9" despite being so warm though. 1950 did feature a colder than average March after the DJF torch though.

I'm calculating the unweighted DJF average for BWI to be 42.0, which is tied for 4th warmest with 1880 and 1950.

I got 7.3" on 3/21/2018 and 6" on 3/17/2014. It's not too rare down here. I still like my March 16-31 time period for us to get hit this year.

The most number of snowflakes I’ve seen all season at least…

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LittleVillageWx finished 2nd place last year… we might have another Olaf or StormPC on our hands. Gotta watch what he/she does every year now before making a forecast.

I’m calling early thread rights for any snowstorm here from March 16-31. Now’s the time to get in early, during the capitulation phase.

This is interesting! I’d give 1899 an A+ and I wouldn’t rank 2011-12 dead last, just because I did see snow accumulate in October (which I’ll probably never see again). I don’t know much about 1904-05, I’ll have to research it given you ranked it so highly.

Zero. I've now been completely shutout from accumulation since 1/29/22.

The accumulation shutout continues IMBY

I had mentioned both those winters in the snow futility thread when researching DCA shutouts. Those were both interesting years. Thanks for the info!

I'm still liking where I sit, my proprietary PFWx model says we get our one and only WSW event in the 2nd half of March. I'll see you then.

1913-14 and 1959-60 were Nov/Dec/Jan shutouts at DCA that still ended up above average for the winter. I don’t know the story behind either of those though.

We’ll get our first (and only) event this year in the second half of March, amidst all the hand-wringing over sun angle and slop accumulation. Remember this post- I make forecasts YOU can trust.

Light snow here.

Well this has been an easy contest for Rodney to run so far

If I may make a suggestion, there should be two tiers of reaping: 1) It’s never going to snow here this year, and 2) It’s never going to snow here ever again (this is a popular new take I’m seeing more often now)

Cue @WxWatcher007entrance music as he returns from retirement to take all our souls once again.

It's only a year ago but 1/3/22 is already one of my fondest weather memories ever. I measured 9.3" (the 2nd biggest event IMBY since I moved to Prince Frederick) and some of best rates I've seen. It was also my youngest son's first snowstorm (he was only 3 months). We all built a huge snowman together. We also have a very steep hill on our property and half the neighborhood kids came over to sled with our kids. Sadly, many of their friends have moved away just a year later- half this neighborhood cashed out during the bubble and left. It'll never happen again...

We’ve mostly figured it out now, but it means the incubation period would’ve been about 7 days for my wife (who caught it first). Long story short, it was literally impossible for any of us to have picked it up in the 3-4 day incubation period that’s claimed as the average now. None of us had left the house or interacted with anyone lol I don’t know what the research shows on incubation periods now, or how long it can theoretically take. I know the original strain had a longer incubation period like that.