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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. 2m temps didn’t look bad to me on the weeklies. Yes, not bone chilling but after the 20th temps in sne are normal. We would fight the southeast ridge at times but it looks to get knocked down. Here are a few h5 maps and one that shows the weak -nao in March. Imo better then 6 weeks of the same pattern that was being depicted on Monday. Obviously, this is to be taken with a grain of salt
  2. Yep. It does have that cold shot next weekend with the boundary moving south of us.
  3. Weeklies flip to a cold March this run. Looks like some -nao also lol.
  4. Need the energy to be a strong a possible if you want a snow event Saturday night. The energy diving into the northwest is killing the ridge.
  5. Still 4 days away but it doesn’t look that impressive currently outside a chance of 1-3. Areas between bwi to phl could do well. As @PB-99 said, going to be a screw zone when the low transfers. Looks to be our area currently
  6. Definitely a torch alert for next week with the mjo in 5/6. I would expect some serious warmth from the mid Atlantic into southern New England
  7. Great post. The only issue I have is that we really haven’t had a coherent wave in the cold phases since November. From the start of December it has been all warm phases and movement into 7/8 has been to weak. The pv position and strength has played huge role in this disaster. Just a lot went wrong between the pv and mjo. We did have a coherent wave into the cold phases back in Nov 2019. That was a big reason why that month was so cold.
  8. Little to no snow and some light ice. It’s mainly a rain event in your area on the euro. Need to be in Albany on north
  9. Eps mean for Saturday is 2-4 inches for the area. But I’ll believe that when I see it
  10. It’s a 200 hour snowfall map that includes sleet from a op model! Are you really this shocked by it?
  11. @uncle W how warm was the winter of 92-93? I remember January and most of February very warm.
  12. Lots of energy diving into the west coast next week. I don’t see how we don’t get into a warm sector of a big cutter.
  13. The epitome of this winter, flooding rains on Friday to a chance of a half inch of snow Saturday night lol. Spring can’t come soon enough
  14. The winter of 95-96 I shoveled my neighbor’s driveway for 20 bucks a storm. During the 96 blizzard I waved the white flag and they got a backhoe to plow it. That family is probably still laughing to this day about the money and back aches they saved that winter.
  15. My John Deere has been sitting in my shed for two winters now. That being said, I don’t think snowblowers were really pushed in the market during the 80’s and 90’s. I feel society was more of a “do it yourself attitude” back then. I remember in the 90’s once the snow stopped army’s of family’s with shovels at every house. In the 2000s the snowblowers have become more homeowner friendly, people have become lazy, and kids rather play Xbox.
  16. This is a great pattern for you. The picnic tables will be buried for a while. Active storm track with normal temps in NNE.
  17. Some of the ens are hinting at the boundary slipping south of our area after the 15th. The Pv will be in a better position and the AO dropping from uber strength. We get a better cold press and knock the southeast ridge down in return. Do we believe it? I wouldn’t bet my house on it....
  18. Because the mjo keeps dying and reforming in 4/5/6. Only way we get into some type of snowy pattern is if the Pv weakens or gets into a better position
  19. I don’t currently think we get much help from the mjo this month or the next. The warm waters are just helping convection fire in the wrong phases. Weeklies keep this Niña type pattern going well into March. There are weeks where the boundary slips south but definitely no deep winter pattern in sight.
  20. I would need to go back and look. The Pv being so strong and mjo in warm phases isn’t helping. 97-98 had a similar pac jet
  21. Enjoy today and tomorrow....probably won’t be this nice again for a while. Ugh
  22. It happened all last winter. The pacific jet is just very fast around the globe. We need to slow it down but unfortunately it hasn’t happen. We have done better in March because the wave length shorten. Even when we get a some pna help out west it’s more of a ridge then what we really need.
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