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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. PAC continues to look problematic…same issue for years now
  2. Only to loop back into 3/4 or we don’t get a true p8 response because of other Nina factors
  3. Most of the ensembles are showing this to the end of the there runs today
  4. Yes. Two week window end of January into February… then it’s over as we can’t shake the lingering nina issue s
  5. Who is seeing snow next week? NNE? They can snow in most patterns even with being above normal
  6. Exactly. The usual suspects fall for this and next thing you know they kick the can to January. Hopefully we can score a storm in late January or February that fits Nino climo
  7. Because it’s convection and it feeds off warm water… it will slow down
  8. It’s not going to speed through
  9. Agreed. The loop into COD was so bogus and fooled many. This will go around the horn and take its time going into the colder phases. Perhaps a colder look as we enter January which fits Nino climo if their isn’t any lingering Nina effects
  10. Ensembles look hideous for Mid month… Get ready for the meltdowns
  11. The cold dry pattern was annoying at the end of December 2017
  12. Hopefully something wintry in the second half of winter
  13. Normally warmth dominates before these major SSW happen
  14. Latest mjo Vp maps show this lingering in p4/5
  15. Those RMM plots are not great to use with predicting the mjo. Days ago people were posting them showing it going into COD. Now it’s correcting stronger and going around the horn. This is why I said days ago how I was skeptical of the MJO “racing through the warm phases”
  16. The sne forum will go south once they realize the storm next week is rain and it’s 55 on Dec 20th
  17. Yeah, lots of people expecting this big turnaround by mid month with cold but I don’t see it. We loose the nao and the jet ext continues with poor mjo phases. The mjo doesn’t race through the warm phases and the warm water isn’t where we want it.
  18. NWS discontinued issuing freeze warnings because the growing season ended for the majority of the area
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