-
Posts
1,861 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by weathermedic
-
October 27 2018 Major East Coast Storm
weathermedic replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Long Island Sound communities getting hit now. Numerous water rescues being dispatched across the north shore of Long Island Hutchinson Parkway shut down at Westchester Ave in the Bronx as the tide has caused the river to rise up onto the southbound side of the parkway -
October 27 2018 Major East Coast Storm
weathermedic replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Tidal flooding coming up through the storm drains and causing a full closure of northbound fdr drive from 63 st up to 116 st. Reminiscent of Dec 92 nor’easter -
October 27 2018 Major East Coast Storm
weathermedic replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
-
October 27 2018 Major East Coast Storm
weathermedic replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
-
October 27 2018 Major East Coast Storm
weathermedic replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
East Rockaway Inlet has already reached the moderate flooding stage as of 9:45 according to the tide gauge. High tide is at 10am. -
October 27 2018 Major East Coast Storm
weathermedic replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
NYZ046-057-062-271500- /O.NEW.KBGM.WW.Y.0024.181027T0600Z-181027T1500Z/ Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan- Including the cities of Oneonta, Delhi, Walton, and Monticello 245 PM EDT Fri Oct 26 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch...with up to 2 inches possible at elevations above 2000 ft. Ice accumulations of a light glaze expected. * WHERE...Otsego, Delaware and Sullivan Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 11 AM EDT Saturday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Gusty winds may cause reduced visibility tonight and Saturday morning. The strong winds combined with snow and light icing may also cause downed trees which could lead to isolated power outages. -
Vendor, Blog and TV Channel Forecasts Thread Part 2
weathermedic replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
He usually predicts something similar every year -
A sure sign of the approaching winter. Tweet from NYC Sanitation Dept: It may be mid-October, but we already have snow on our minds. Today we start our snow training and you may see plows & salt spreaders on city streets. It's not going to snow today, but winter weather will be here before we know it. We'll be ready!
-
October 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
1.46 at my station. Wind gust to 33 mph so far. -
Vendor, Blog and TV Channel Forecasts Thread Part 2
weathermedic replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Here is another "early" winter weather forecast: https://www.weatherconcierge.com/the-weather-concierge-winter-forecast-of-2018-19/ -
Almost continuous lightning with that line moving into Suffolk County
-
September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
That storm had good rotation earlier. Not appearing as much now on latest radar scan. -
September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Mesoscale Discussion 1500 < Previous MD Mesoscale Discussion 1500 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0438 PM CDT Tue Sep 25 2018 Areas affected...Portions of NJ into Long Island and southern Connecticut Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 252138Z - 252345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Occasionally weakly rotating storms are expected over the next few hours. Overall severe threat is very low. DISCUSSION...Semi-discrete storms, currently anchored along a warm front, have occasionally showed transient, weak low to mid-level rotation across portions of central/eastern New Jersey into the NYC area and far southern Connecticut. Though lapse rates are quite poor throughout the troposphere (i.e 5-5.5 C/km), sfc-850 mb moisture is quite deep, contributing to MLCAPE of up to 1000 J/kg along/south of the front. While effective bulk shear values are rather modest given the marginally unstable atmosphere (30-40 knots across the discussion area), favorable low-level directional shear remains in place, with effective SRH values exceeding 250 m2/s2 over Long Island, with nearly 350 m2/s2 0-3km SRH noted by recent KOKX WSR-88D VWP data. Low-level flow is slightly more veered closer to PHL, with latest KDIX VWP data suggesting both 0-3km and 0-1km SRH exceeding 150 m2/s2. The favorable low-level shear, combined with the moist/marginally buoyant airmass, may promote semi-discrete storms in the area to continue weakly rotating on an occasional basis, particularly across portions of Long Island and southern Connnecticut, where storms may more favorably traverse the warm front and ingest available low-level streamwise vorticity. Still, given the marginally buoyant airmass and expected lackluster potential for stronger rotation, the severe threat appears quite low. ..Squitieri/Hart.. 09/25/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI.. -
September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
-
September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Flash flood warnings just issued for parts of Brooklyn and Queens as heavy downpours develop over these areas. -
September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
I see it on radar off shore. Looks like a thin line oriented nw-se and moving nne -
September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Flash flood warning just issued for Bronx and Westchester. -
September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0828 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 322 PM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018 Areas affected...SE NY...Long Island...Southern New England Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 121921Z - 130000Z Summary...Showers and thunderstorms with rainfall rates up to 2"/hr will continue along a stationary front this afternoon. Flash flooding is possible. Discussion...GOES-16 visible imagery shows a clear demarcation of clear sky conditions along and south of a surface boundary draped along the coast from near Philadelphia, PA northeast towards Chatham, MA. Within this clear area, MLCape has risen to 500-1000 J/kg which has allowed thunderstorms to develop and persist across the threat area. PWATs across the region are over 2 inches, and latest 18Z upper air soundings from KOKX have freezing levels nearing 15 kft, above the 90th percentile for the date. This deep warm cloud depth and high PWAT is allowing efficient rain processes, with rainfall rates over 2"/hr estimated recently by KOKX radar. Although instability weakens north of the front, warm advection atop the boundary is driving lift, aided by weak PVA and diffluence within a 300mb jet entrance region. 18Z soundings from CHH and OKX have 20kts of 0-6km shear, so multicell development is possible, which could train thanks to boundary parallel flow and corfidi vectors aligned with the 0-6km mean wind. The high res guidance is varied in continuing or intensifying convection through the remainder of the afternoon, but the sufficient lift in a very moist environment supports at least a continuation of a heavy rain threat through this evening. Many places within the threat area have received 2-4" of rainfall in the past 24 hours, and these antecedent conditions lead to an enhanced flash flood threat. An additional 1 to as much as 3 inches of rainfall is possible, and flash flooding will be possible where rain rates become 2"/hr. Weiss ATTN...WFO...ALY...BOX...OKX... -
September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Wind shifted to NNW direction overnight and dews came down 5-6 degrees. I’ll take anything at this point. -
August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Got to 96 at my station at 5pm today as the wind shifted to the WNW. Dew point came down to 68 as some dryer air mixed in. -
August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
85/75 at 9am at JFK. Can't breathe outside. Edit: 88/74 at 10am-KJFK -
August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
I guess the NWS will be sending a survey team there tomorrow -
August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Whitestone area of Queens also has numerous trees and wires down. Possibly an EF-0 or EF-1 with the damage reports coming in so far -
August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Fire department has multiple trees and wires down in the College Point area. Anyone in northern Nassau getting damage reports there? -
July 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
weathermedic replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Whatever storms are developing are weakening pretty quickly and dissipating.