20 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Yup, one of mine died back to the ground after feb 15. It did send up shoots and I have trained them back into tree form. The darker and more towards red the less cold tolarent they are. They are a souther tree and that’s why they leaf out so late.  

 

The Crepe Myrtles here along the GSB are doing great. There is a red one that is still in full bloom. Didn't notice any damage following February 2015 or the near 0 on Valentine's Day 2016. Some were growing so fast that they were blocking the sidewalk. So the landscapers had to trim them back a bit.

Didn't take long for the 70 degree dew points to return.

Kennedy Intl   PTSUNNY   70  70 100 S7        30.36S

Starting the day with more sun for a change. So it looks like we should make another run on 80 degrees. The WAR is close to record levels near 596 DM for the month of October. What an amazing run this year since the February 588 DM ridge and 80 degree reading. We got really lucky with that strat warming briefly interrupting the record WAR pattern for March and April.

1 hour ago, ny10019 said:

you can say that again. 

 

How people live in Seattle is beyond me.

This has been a record amount of cloudiness for the early fall in our area. This is typical for Seattle during the winter or Upstate NY in December. I can remember my friends going away to SUNY colleges and all complaining how cloudy it got around December. At least we didn't match the December 2013 cloudfest in BGM.

Warmest average minimum temperature on record for the 1st week of October at Islip. The minimum temperature departure is double the maximum. 2018 also set the record for the latest first low temperature below 50. The previous latest was 10-2-15. We are currently a week later than that with more warmth to continue.

Islip 10/1-10/7

Average minimum temperature.....61.7......normal.....49.7.....departure.....+12

.............maximum........................73.9......................67.2..........................+6

.............mean.............................................................................................+9.4

Latest first low below 50 at ISP

#1...10-8-18....so far

#2...10-2-15

#3....9-30-03

#4....9-29-02.....9-29-70

#5...9-27-80

+15 day at LGA even with the clouds. Could have challenged the record high of 85 with full sun.

TEMPERATURE (F)
 TODAY
  MAXIMUM         82    258 PM  85    1944  68     14       
  MINIMUM         70    509 AM  40    1954  54     16       
  AVERAGE         76                        61     15       

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

Thanks BW  knew there was some stat tracking this.

 

Finally some partial sunshine

Yeah, looks like there will be enough breaks sun for the warm spots to hit 80 today.

50 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

I count today as 28 of the last 35 with cloudy or mostly cloudy conditions.  Has to be some record for the area in Sep-Oct.  London/Denmark-like 

LGA set the new September record for cloudiness around noontime. 

You know it's a warm pattern when the temperature and dew point is around 70 degrees at 7am on October 7th. The extreme low temperature warmth continues.

46 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

This is one of the more interesting warm patterns we've had in Fall.  Lot of warmth coupled with lots of clouds.  Compare this to 2015, which to my recollection was much sunnier. 

Yeah, the minimum departures this fall are running +5 to +10 across the wider region with such high humidity. The maximum departures are a more modest +3 to +6 with all the clouds and onshore flow.

On October 4, 2018 at 4:53 PM, LibertyBell said:

2016 was pretty low too.  This year's is later than any of them though like you said.

This current Arctic temperature spike is now easily the warmest on record for the early part of October. Another example of Arctic amplification going off the rails.

http://sites.uci.edu/zlabe/

Here comes El Nino.

24 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Ah yes I misread. It was just Tuesday's count which is even more impressive.

Impressive year in PA for out of season tornadoes.

https://weather.com/news/news/2018-02-16-uniontown-pennsylvania-storm-damage

National Weather Service meteorologists surveyed the damage left behind in Uniontown, Pennsylvania, after a severe storm hit the town at about 6:40 p.m. EST. Debris was widespread in the areas hit hardest, with trees and power lines downed and several homes severely damaged, according to CBS Pittsburgh. A senior living complex lost nearly half its roof, although the storm's path just missed Laurel Highlands High School, according to the NWS.

Following the storm survey, the NWS determined an EF1 tornado was in progress Thursday evening, with maximum winds of 105 mph. It was the first confirmed February tornado in southwestern Pennsylvania since records began in 1950.

28 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

2018 Tornadoes

Oklahoma: 13

PA: 13

I believe the 13 confirmed tornadoes in PA the other day brings the annual count to 30 for 2018.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/states.php?month=00&year=2018&state=PA

Several stations are already in the top 5 highest number of 60 degree minimums with more to come over the next week or so. Notice how many of the top years were in the 2010's.

60 degree or warmer minimums through 10-4

White Plains

#1...98 days....1959

#2...96 days....2012...2011

#3...94 days....2018....so far

#4...93 days....2016

#5..92 days.....2015

Islip

#1...109 days...2015

#2..107 days....2011

#3..105 days....2017

#4..103 days...2016

#5..102 days....2018 so far

LGA

#1...137 days....2007

#2....133 days...2016

#3....132 days...2012...2010

#4...131 days...2018 so far

#5..129.days....1991

8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

a couple of average days and then back to the torch....The run of dry weekends continues which is great

Even when the highs are closer to normal, we start the day with warm minimums again.

24 minutes ago, uncle W said:

the first seven years on that list had good to great winters...

LGA recorded latest first freeze on 1-4-16. Nearly 3 weeks later on 1-23-16 was one of my favorite snowstorms of all time. So snowy winters have been mixing with plenty of fall and winter warmth during the 2010's.

^^^^^^^

Don, it looks like we are on track for another top 5 latest date like last October.

Latest NYC dates to drop below 50 degrees:

#1...10-20.....2005

#2...10-16.....2017....1995....1955

#3...10-15....1969....1898

#4...10-14....2002

#5...10-12....2007....1910...1909

13 hours ago, Cfa said:

And only 12.9” fell. I never would’ve suspected that their records would pale in comparison to ours, as cold as it is there. Calgary is about as cold as Daytona Beach is warm, in relation to our climate.

September was actually the snowiest on record for North America. All the cold in the Northern Hemisphere was focused in Canada due to the record blocking near Alaska.

4 hours ago, Juliancolton said:

I wonder what kind of impact that has on foliage. You'd suspect that large temp swings/major warmups would negatively affect color, but I'm not sure whether the response time is sensitive enough for it to make a difference.

It could be a later peak like recent warm falls.

 https://weather.com/amp/storms/winter/news/2018-10-03-calgary-alberta-canada-snow-record-october.html?__ 

Calgary Just Had Its Snowiest Day in More Than Three Decades and Broke an October Snowfall Record

Continuing the theme of the minimum departures running higher than the maximums.

TEMPERATURE (F)...LGA
 TODAY
  MAXIMUM         77    154 PM  85    2000  70      7      
  MINIMUM         67    556 AM  40    1974  56     11       
  AVERAGE         72                        63      9       

TEMPERATURE (F)...ISP
 TODAY
  MAXIMUM         77    155 PM  80    2002  68      9      
                                      2000
  MINIMUM         64    638 AM  34    2003  50     14       
  AVERAGE         71                        59     12       

The +NAO/WAR pattern since May has been off the charts. 

7 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Yea, the north shore really took it on the chin last night. 1.02" of rain here. Areas out east must have gotten close to 2"

Yeah, closer to .50 for me with Moutauk coming in at 1.77.

...Suffolk County...
   Montauk Airport       1.77   754 AM 10/03  ASOS  

12 minutes ago, psv88 said:

I missed the 51 at FRG. That storm really blew up when it hit LI, what an epic storm season, capped with a twister. Best lightning ive seen since 2010. 

Just a brief heavy downpour here with some lighting mostly in the distance.