bluewave

Yeah, the GEM had the late January snowstorm from a week out while the other models were OTS. The GFS seldom verifies when it’s the only amped up global model. We need one of the better models showing an amped up solution for it to work out. The 12z UKMET was east also. We’ll see if the GEM or Euro can come west in later runs. We probably have until the 0z or 12z runs tomorrow for a shift back west if it’s going to happen.

The RGEM and GEM are east. Always wary of amped up GFS and NAM runs when the other models don’t agree. It would be more interesting if the Euro or Canadian came on board in later runs.

The last 2 years were top 5 wettest over the same period. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 12 Missing Count 1 2020-08-12 12.92 0 2 2007-08-12 12.31 0 3 1978-08-12 11.06 0 4 2021-08-12 11.04 0 5 2003-08-12 10.59 0

Newark only has 1.17 of rain since July 1st which is the driest on record. Farmingdale is at 1.00 and is the driest for this period also. We’ll need to start getting some rain soon in order to avoid getting another drought upgrade. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 13 Missing Count 1 2022-08-13 1.17 1 2 1998-08-13 1.53 0 3 1966-08-13 1.76 0 4 1932-08-13 1.78 0 5 1999-08-13 1.92 0 Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 13 Missing Count 1 2022-08-13 1.00 1 2 2002-08-13 1.25 3 3 2011-08-13 1.46 3 4 2010-08-13 2.24 0 5 2013-08-13 2.57 2

The numerous ongoing marine heatwaves are competing with the La Niña for influence.

Closer to average temperatures feel cool compared to how warm it has been. Looks like the near normal pattern will continue this week. Then back to above normal temperatures by next weekend into late August.

This is the first time that the tropics have been so quiet from July into mid-August since 1999. We also had a hot and dry summer here that year. Maybe we could get a tropical soaker like Floyd in September this year.

Freehold-Marlboro and Somerset Airport have had 5-6 days reaching 100° like Newark this summer. But they are in more rural areas. Several NYC micronet stations have 5 days reaching 100° also. Data for January 1, 2022 through August 12, 2022 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 100 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 6 Newark Area ThreadEx 6 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 6 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 5 HARRISON COOP 4 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 3 LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST COOP 2 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 2 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 1 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 1 MANASQUAN 1 NW COOP 1 NYC Micronet…100° days since July 20th Brownsville…..5 days Corona…………5 days South Ozone Park…..2 days Howard Beach …..1 Fresh Kills……1

Those were the days before the tree growth around the castle. So NYC could reach 100° nearly as often as Newark. It was also the era when 100° heat happened more frequently in August. Since 2010, most of our 100° days have been in June and July. The 100° heat this August was a first for the record warm post 2010 climate. Monthly Data for August 1944 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 100 CT WATERBURY ANACONDA COOP 5 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 5 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 4 NY SCARSDALE COOP 4 NJ ELIZABETH COOP 3 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 3 CT NORWALK COOP 2 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 2 NJ RIDGEFIELD COOP 2 NY BEDFORD HILLS COOP 2 NY SUFFERN 2 E COOP 1 NY WEST POINT COOP 1 NY FARMINGDALE 2 NE COOP 1 CT BRIDGEPORT COOP 1 CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 1 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 1 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 1 NJ PATERSON COOP 1 NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS COOP 1 CT COLCHESTER 2 W COOP 1 Monthly Data for August 1948 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 100 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 3 NJ ELIZABETH COOP 3 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 3 NJ RIDGEFIELD COOP 3 NJ RUTHERFORD COOP 3 NJ PATERSON COOP 3 NY WEST POINT COOP 3 CT WATERBURY ANACONDA COOP 3 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 2 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 2 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 2 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 2 NY HEMPSTEAD GARDEN CITY COOP 2 NY MINEOLA COOP 2 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 2 NY FORT SCHUYLER COOP 2 NY BEDFORD HILLS COOP 2 CT NEW LONDON COOP 2 NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 1 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 1 NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 1 NY OSSINING SING SING COOP 1 NY WALDEN 2 NE COOP 1 NY FARMINGDALE 2 NE COOP 1 CT NORWALK COOP 1 CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 1 CT DANBURY COOP 1 NY SCARSDALE COOP 1 NY CARMEL COOP 1 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 1 CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 1 CT WESTBROOK COOP 1 CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 1 NY PATCHOGUE 2 N COOP 1 NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 1 CT NORWICH COOP 1 CT BALTIC COOP 1 Monthly Data for August 1949 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 100 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 3 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 3 NJ ELIZABETH COOP 3 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 3 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 3 NJ RUTHERFORD COOP 3 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 3 NJ PATERSON COOP 3 NY WEST POINT COOP 2 NY WALDEN 2 NE COOP 2 CT NORWALK COOP 2 CT WATERBURY ANACONDA COOP 2 CT WATERBURY CITY HALL COOP 2 NY SCARSDALE COOP 2 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 1 NY HEMPSTEAD MALVERNE COOP 1 NY HEMPSTEAD MITCHELL FIELD AFB WBAN 1 CT GREENWICH COOP 1 NY CARMEL COOP 1 Monthly Data for August 1953 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 100 NJ ELIZABETH COOP 4 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 4 NY NEW YORK LAUREL HILL COOP 4 NY WEST POINT COOP 3 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 3 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 3 NJ PATERSON COOP 3 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 2 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 2 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 2 NY SUFFERN 2 E COOP 1 CT WATERBURY ANACONDA COOP 1 NY SCARSDALE COOP 1 NY WALDEN 2 NE COOP 1 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 1 NJ RIDGEFIELD COOP 1 Monthly Data for August 1955 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 100 NJ ELIZABETH COOP 4 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 3 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 3 NY NEW YORK LAUREL HILL COOP 3 NJ PATERSON COOP 3 NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 2 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 2 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 2 NJ ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 2 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 2 NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 2 NY SUFFERN 2 E COOP 1 NY WEST POINT COOP 1 NY WALDEN 2 NE COOP 1 NY HEMPSTEAD MALVERNE COOP 1 NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 1 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 1 NY NEW YORK FLOYD BENNETT FIELD WBAN 1 NJ RIDGEFIELD COOP 1 NY CARMEL COOP 1

New Brunswick and Newark are having their 2nd warmest summer on record through August 10th. JFK, ISP, LGA, and HPN are in 5th place. Nantucket and Blue Hills Observatory are in 1st place.. Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Aug 10 Missing Count 1 2010-08-10 76.9 0 2 2022-08-10 76.0 0 3 1999-08-10 75.8 0 - 1898-08-10 75.8 0 4 2020-08-10 75.7 0 - 1949-08-10 75.7 0 5 2011-08-10 75.6 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Aug 10 Missing Count 1 2010-08-10 79.5 0 2 2022-08-10 79.4 0 - 1994-08-10 79.4 0 3 1993-08-10 79.2 0 4 2011-08-10 78.9 0 5 2020-08-10 77.9 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Aug 10 Missing Count 1 2010-08-10 77.8 0 2 2011-08-10 76.4 0 3 1983-08-10 75.9 0 4 1949-08-10 75.8 0 5 2022-08-10 75.7 0 - 2020-08-10 75.7 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Aug 10 Missing Count 1 2010-08-10 75.3 0 2 1999-08-10 75.2 0 3 2020-08-10 74.6 0 4 2011-08-10 74.4 0 5 2022-08-10 74.2 0 - 2019-08-10 74.2 0 Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Aug 10 Missing Count 1 2020-08-10 79.7 0 - 2010-08-10 79.7 0 2 1999-08-10 78.2 0 3 2006-08-10 78.1 0 4 1994-08-10 77.9 0 5 2022-08-10 77.8 0 Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Aug 10 Missing Count 1 1995-08-10 76.0 38 2 1999-08-10 75.0 4 3 2010-08-10 74.6 1 4 1983-08-10 74.0 1 5 2022-08-10 73.7 0 - 1949-08-10 73.7 4 Time Series Summary for NANTUCKET MEMORIAL AP, MA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Aug 10 Missing Count 1 2022-08-10 70.5 0 2 2021-08-10 69.7 2 3 1949-08-10 69.0 0 4 2010-08-10 68.9 0 5 1979-08-10 68.5 10 Time Series Summary for BLUE HILL COOP, MA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Aug 10 Missing Count 1 2022-08-10 73.0 0 2 1949-08-10 72.5 0 3 2010-08-10 72.4 4 4 2020-08-10 72.3 0 5 1999-08-10 72.1 0

The area around Lake Superior has been the place to be for a cool summer this year.

The record breaking warm pool is still there in the NW Atlantic. This has been associated with our first 7 warmer than normal winters in a row since the super El Nino in 15-16. So the main question now is whether we get blocking for more snowfall or a stronger PV and less snow. But that probably won’t be known until until we get close to the start of the winter.

Development was frozen on the NAM after the March 2017 update. So it has fallen behind models like the HRRR and RGEM which have had major upgrades over the last 5 years. Building a new model to take its place is very challenging. The one area that the NAM seems to do better at is detecting the 750-950mb warm layer in winter storms. So it handles the changeover from snow to sleet and rain pretty well. NAM development was frozen after the March 2017 upgrade, and RAP/HRRR development with the WRF-ARW model will cease after the RAPv5/HRRRv4 upgrade in 2020. However, operational execution of these modeling and associated DA systems will continue until comparable FV3-based systems are able to give similar performance.

NYC used to be closer to the top for 90° days in NY before the tree growth became an issue in the late 90s. Now places like LGA and Poughkeepsie average more 90° days. You can see many examples in this thread and in others. 2022 #90 days in NY so far Data for January 1, 2022 through August 9, 2022 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 SARA NEW YORK RAWS 26 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 25 POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 25 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 25 Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 25 STONYKILL NEW YORK RAWS 23 ALBANY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 22 SARATOGA SPRINGS 4 SW COOP 22 Albany Area ThreadEx 22 DANSVILLE MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 20 SHRUB OAK COOP 20 ELMIRA COOP 20 NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 19 2021 Data for January 1, 2021 through December 31, 2021 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 25 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 25 SARA NEW YORK RAWS 21 CENTERPORT COOP 21 Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 20 POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 20 BAITING HOLLOW COOP 18 STONYKILL NEW YORK RAWS 18 SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL AP WBAN 18 Syracuse Area ThreadEx 18 WAVERLY COOP 18 NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 17 2020 Data for January 1, 2020 through December 31, 2020 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 SARA NEW YORK RAWS 37 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 34 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 34 POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 31 Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 31 STONYKILL NEW YORK RAWS 29 ELMIRA COOP 28 GANG MILLS NEW YORK RAWS 27 ELMIRA CORNING REGIONAL AP WBAN 26 NORTH TONAWANDA COOP 26 DANSVILLE COOP 25 DANSVILLE MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 24 WAVERLY COOP 23 WHITEHALL COOP 23 SHRUB OAK COOP 22 SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL AP WBAN 21 Syracuse Area ThreadEx 21 FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 20 NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 20 2018 Data for January 1, 2018 through December 31, 2018 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 38 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 38 SARA NEW YORK RAWS 31 ALBION COOP 26 WAVERLY COOP 26 STONYKILL NEW YORK RAWS 25 WEST POINT COOP 23 MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 23 ELMIRA COOP 22 ROCHESTER GREATER INT'L WBAN 22 Rochester Area ThreadEx 22 NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 21 DANSVILLE COOP 21 New York-Central Park Area ThreadEx 21 GANG MILLS NEW YORK RAWS 21 DANSVILLE MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 20 ALBANY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 20 POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 20 Before the tree growth 1995 Data for January 1, 1995 through December 31, 1995 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 29 New York-Central Park Area ThreadEx 29 SHERBURNE COOP 27 MINEOLA 1 NE COOP 27 COPAKE COOP 24 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 23 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 23 PORT JERVIS COOP 22 TROY LOCK AND DAM COOP 21 RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 20 WAVERLY COOP 20 DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 19 WHITEHALL COOP 19 ENDICOTT COOP 19 WEST POINT COOP 18 CORTLAND COOP 18 LOCKPORT 4E COOP 18 WEST NYACK COOP 18 Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 18 OCEANSIDE COOP 18 POUGHKEEPSIE COOP 18 1993 Data for January 1, 1993 through December 31, 1993 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 39 New York-Central Park Area ThreadEx 39 GLENHAM COOP 30 POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 28 Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 28 RHINEBECK 4SE COOP 27 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 26 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 26 SETAUKET STRONG COOP 24 DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 24 WEST POINT COOP 24 STORMVILLE COOP 24 WEST NYACK COOP 23 PORT JERVIS COOP 20 1991 Data for January 1, 1991 through December 31, 1991 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 GLENHAM COOP 43 NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 39 NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 39 New York-Central Park Area ThreadEx 39 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 34 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 34 PORT JERVIS COOP 33 AURORA RESEARCH FARM COOP 32 NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 30 Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 30 POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 30 1980 Data for January 1, 1980 through December 31, 1980 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 SCARSDALE COOP 38 DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 37 NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 35 WEST POINT COOP 34 NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 32 New York-Central Park Area ThreadEx 32 GLENHAM COOP 28 NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 27 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 22 WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 22 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 22 SUFFERN COOP 20 HUDSON CORRECTIONAL FACILITY COOP 19 NEW PALTZ 4 SW COOP 18 Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 18 POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 18

Less heat and more rainfall potential next few weeks as a trough becomes established in the East. Some hints at a warmer last week of the month as the WAR builds back in. Then we’ll have to see what happens with the tropics heading into the peak of the season in September.

This was our warmest July 20th to August 9th from Philly into New England. There were several stations that averaged over 80° for the first time. Also notice how many of the top 5 warmest periods were since 2010. Time Series Summary for PHILADELPHIA INTL AP, PA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 84.4 0 2 1995-08-09 82.9 0 3 2011-08-09 82.6 0 4 1980-08-09 82.2 0 5 2020-08-09 82.0 0 Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 81.7 0 2 1955-08-09 80.8 1 3 2011-08-09 80.5 0 4 1999-08-09 80.1 0 5 1980-08-09 79.9 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 84.4 0 2 2011-08-09 83.1 0 3 1999-08-09 81.9 0 4 2005-08-09 81.8 0 5 2006-08-09 81.7 0 Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 83.7 0 2 2020-08-09 83.2 0 3 2006-08-09 83.0 0 4 2005-08-09 82.1 0 5 2010-08-09 81.9 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 81.3 0 2 1980-08-09 80.2 0 - 1949-08-09 80.2 0 3 2011-08-09 80.1 0 4 2015-08-09 80.0 0 5 2020-08-09 79.7 0 - 2006-08-09 79.7 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 80.0 0 2 1980-08-09 79.9 0 3 2020-08-09 78.5 0 - 2006-08-09 78.5 0 4 2011-08-09 78.2 0 5 2019-08-09 77.5 0 - 1999-08-09 77.5 0 Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 79.6 0 2 1999-08-09 78.7 2 3 1983-08-09 78.2 0 4 1995-08-09 78.0 4 5 2006-08-09 77.3 0 - 1949-08-09 77.3 3 Time Series Summary for Poughkeepsie Area, NY (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 79.9 0 2 1933-08-09 78.2 2 3 2020-08-09 77.9 0 4 1955-08-09 77.3 0 5 1979-08-09 77.2 0 - 1938-08-09 77.2 0 Time Series Summary for Hartford Area, CT (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 80.4 0 2 2020-08-09 79.2 0 3 1949-08-09 77.7 0 4 1979-08-09 77.6 0 5 2006-08-09 77.5 0 Time Series Summary for Providence Area, RI (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 81.1 0 2 2020-08-09 80.5 0 3 1980-08-09 78.6 0 4 2006-08-09 78.1 0 5 2018-08-09 78.0 0 Time Series Summary for BLUE HILL COOP, MA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 80.8 0 2 2020-08-09 78.0 0 3 1949-08-09 76.6 0 4 1980-08-09 76.5 0 5 2018-08-09 76.4 0 - 1979-08-09 76.4 0 Time Series Summary for Boston Area, MA (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 81.7 0 2 1980-08-09 79.7 0 3 2018-08-09 79.1 0 4 1949-08-09 78.8 0 5 1994-08-09 78.6 0 Time Series Summary for Manchester Area, NH (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 9 Missing Count 1 2022-08-09 80.5 0 2 2020-08-09 78.9 0 3 2018-08-09 77.7 0 4 1955-08-09 76.7 0 5 2019-08-09 76.4 0

It’s the first time that HVN averaged above 80° from July 20th to August 8th. Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 8 Missing Count 1 2022-08-08 80.7 0 2 2020-08-08 79.6 2 3 2019-08-08 78.2 0 4 2011-08-08 77.7 0 5 2018-08-08 77.5 0 6 2006-08-08 76.6 0 7 2010-08-08 76.5 0 8 1977-08-08 76.3 0 9 1955-08-08 76.1 0 10 1949-08-08 76.0 0

Warned storm along the North Shore is continuing the summer pattern.

The 100° at Newark is still below record levels since the August max of 105° was set on this date in 2001. Newark Liberty MOSUNNY 100 69 HX 106 8/9 105 in 2001 100 in 1949 96 in 2010

The statistical sea ice forecast just raised its average extent closer to 5 million sq for September. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/35/3/waf-d-19-0107.1.xml

It’s been a while since there were so many 105°+ heat index readings in NJ.

Big upwelling event along the Jersey Shore.

The warm spots have been at 90°+ on all but 3 days since July 12th. Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-08-09 Mesonet 92 73 78 73 99 58 29.93 29.90 0.00 21 WSW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-08-08 Mesonet 96 73 77 71 98 45 30.08 29.88 0.00 23 SSW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-08-07 Mesonet 93 76 81 68 97 47 30.19 30.05 0.21 29 SW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-08-06 Mesonet 94 68 76 67 100 48 30.24 30.13 0.00 37 SSW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-08-05 Mesonet 93 71 75 66 96 43 30.19 30.07 0.00 17 WNW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-08-04 Mesonet 99 63 74 62 100 40 30.08 29.98 0.78 34 E ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-08-03 Mesonet 92 65 66 57 91 32 30.03 29.89 0.00 21 NNW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-08-02 Mesonet 94 64 73 63 100 44 29.90 29.78 0.00 19 WSW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-08-01 Mesonet 79 66 70 65 99 69 30.06 29.86 0.55 11 N ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-31 Mesonet 91 58 69 57 98 35 30.19 30.05 0.00 17 WSW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-30 Mesonet 90 64 70 55 93 33 30.15 29.90 0.00 22 N ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-29 Mesonet 86 68 73 66 99 53 29.94 29.83 0.00 18 NNW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-28 Mesonet 94 70 76 66 100 48 29.89 29.77 1.33 27 NNW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-27 Mesonet 92 60 68 57 96 35 29.98 29.86 0.00 15 WNW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-26 Mesonet 85 63 74 54 93 36 30.04 29.90 0.00 16 WSW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-25 Mesonet 94 74 76 67 93 47 29.92 29.83 0.00 23 W ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-24 Mesonet 102 67 73 62 97 29 30.05 29.90 0.00 24 SW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-23 Mesonet 101 66 72 56 99 26 30.03 29.93 0.00 19 WNW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-22 Mesonet 99 70 70 57 92 28 29.94 29.73 0.00 20 SW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-21 Mesonet 100 69 76 63 98 33 29.74 29.62 0.00 26 WSW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-20 Mesonet 100 67 72 65 94 35 29.81 29.68 0.00 24 WSW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-19 Mesonet 94 70 71 64 91 40 29.83 29.74 0.00 23 WNW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-18 Mesonet 97 72 76 70 97 44 30.00 29.73 0.00 31 SW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-17 Mesonet 90 68 72 65 100 45 30.05 29.97 0.20 14 W ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-16 Mesonet 92 66 70 58 98 35 30.14 30.00 0.00 15 ESE ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-15 Mesonet 91 60 68 53 95 31 30.15 30.06 0.00 15 SSE ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-14 Mesonet 91 63 69 58 97 36 30.07 29.89 0.00 19 NW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-13 Mesonet 93 67 70 58 95 36 29.91 29.76 0.00 16 W ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-12 Mesonet 94 60 72 56 98 46 29.87 29.67 0.00 23 SW

White Plains just tied their warmest early morning temperatures above 80° for August. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=153&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=HPN&month=aug&var=max_tmpf&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

The higher resolution HRRR has a high of 99° north of the LIE today ahead of the sea breeze front.