SchaumburgStormer

Ah, the old multi-year seasonal trend. Suck more and more the closer you get to the storm.

Feel like mby or somewhere in the vicinity is going to be the cutoff, on a NE/SW orientation towards Waukegan; like what the euro is showing. I don’t remember the last time a rain to snow with garbage thermals really panned out, so I am leaning towards a white rain solution with maybe a dusting on the back end. A stronger system puts us solidly into rain, and like RC eluded, a weaker system takes away the dynamics and we get solutions similar to what the GFS was throwing out 5-6 runs ago.

12z NAM is amppped. We will have to see if this the NAM being the NAM or the start of a trend

06z gfs agrees with the 00z euro on the low track, but wildly different sensible weather solutions.

Give me storms all year on the low track the euro has however. The old St. Louis to South Bend express usually produces well locally

Path seems to be trending south on both the GFS and EURO. Big differences otherwise. Ride the multi-seasonal trend, south/weak/sheared

Fair enough, seems we can always fall into something even in a bad pattern. And at this point, we just need a sneak attack advisory event to get everyone off the ledge.

Its early December with nothing on the horizon on the models for weeks. I think we can pretty safely write this month off at least locally. And if I am shooting for Morch 2.0, then that is a third of the snowy season. Morch 2.0 is only an Agricultural Disaster only if we follow it with average to below average April/May, as it did in Morch 1.0. I vote that we just roll it right into summer. We now have 2 seasons. Above Average, March to December, Above Average with Some Snow, January and February.

If winter is going to blow, can we lock in another Morch?

It’s a December tradition. Like getting a Christmas tree, or watching the Bears wind down another shithole of a season.

You can head on over to the coronavirus thread to figure out everyone's political leanings... /s

This looks like a vintage beer commercial.

Baby stepping towards the inevitable strung out garbage

I’m shocked. It’s so rare for something to go to strung out garbage

Last year we even got the rug yanked in the extreme short range. Fun times. I will take long range vanishing snowstorms over storms going strung out garbage 18 hours before onset.

Should rip nicely for a bit overnight.

For sure. The covid thread is a ****ing train wreck. It held on for so long as polite discourse, but the light-handed moderation let it fest into a cancer. We need a storm to track.

I was under the impression that everyone who would consider themselves a weather enthusiast would have at least a basic grasp of science. It appears I was wrong.

10:1 map... @Chicago Storm is going to have to go on his rant again.

But.. But... My Freedomz...

To return to the drug use discussion, as someone who supervises defendants for the courts; I can say unequivocally that drug use has increased. This is not as a "direct" result of COVID per se, but a tertiary effect resulting from probation, parole, and court systems modify their meeting and drug testing procedures. With many court hearings being done virtually, it makes it much easier for usage to go unnoticed. However, to a certain degree, those taking advantage of the current situation and using would have likely taken any opportunity to use. Drug use is a different pandemic upon itself. Lets not try to compare covid deaths to drug use increases/suicide deaths as if there are equivocal. The are not even close.

Sounds like pritzker is making an announcement on statewide restrictions today

Illinois with 12,601 new cases and 97 deaths.