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SchaumburgStormer

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Everything posted by SchaumburgStormer

  1. And they aren’t even save worthy. Not like these things are true clown maps spitting out 24”+
  2. I miss the days where we could get a storm that models ticked up in intensity each run, and it panned out. I think the last one I remember was a “hybrid-clipper” in like ‘16 or ‘17. Each run ticked up the snow and it still overperformed. The last couple years it has been a slow death as we wait for the storm to miss the phase and shear out to south dominated garbage.
  3. With the way they measure at ORD, this is a lock.
  4. Ah, classic postcard christmas. Brown ground with a subzero windchill.
  5. Lots of butt hurt in here for a “storm” that was never actually modeled on fantasy land. Always “we are getting closer” or “nice trend”. This kind of pissing and moaning for a real threat vanishing is one thing, but to be upset that the weenie hallucination disappeared is beyond ridiculous.
  6. GFS shows a garbage clipper at 72hr, so we got that going for us.
  7. Its awful. Can tell this certainly went to the lowest bidder...
  8. All these doom and gloom posts, someone give me some hope!
  9. We may as well roll out the carpet and for the 1” futility record at ORD.
  10. Yeah that's a classic Nor'Easter. Baller storm as modeled right now.
  11. It’s pretty clear on dual pol. Should be crashing through mby shortly
  12. You know it is a shit show when the most interesting thing to track is Hoosier's futility record posts..
  13. Ah, the old multi-year seasonal trend. Suck more and more the closer you get to the storm.
  14. Feel like mby or somewhere in the vicinity is going to be the cutoff, on a NE/SW orientation towards Waukegan; like what the euro is showing. I don’t remember the last time a rain to snow with garbage thermals really panned out, so I am leaning towards a white rain solution with maybe a dusting on the back end. A stronger system puts us solidly into rain, and like RC eluded, a weaker system takes away the dynamics and we get solutions similar to what the GFS was throwing out 5-6 runs ago.
  15. 12z NAM is amppped. We will have to see if this the NAM being the NAM or the start of a trend
  16. 06z gfs agrees with the 00z euro on the low track, but wildly different sensible weather solutions.
  17. Give me storms all year on the low track the euro has however. The old St. Louis to South Bend express usually produces well locally
  18. Path seems to be trending south on both the GFS and EURO. Big differences otherwise. Ride the multi-seasonal trend, south/weak/sheared
  19. Fair enough, seems we can always fall into something even in a bad pattern. And at this point, we just need a sneak attack advisory event to get everyone off the ledge.
  20. Its early December with nothing on the horizon on the models for weeks. I think we can pretty safely write this month off at least locally. And if I am shooting for Morch 2.0, then that is a third of the snowy season. Morch 2.0 is only an Agricultural Disaster only if we follow it with average to below average April/May, as it did in Morch 1.0. I vote that we just roll it right into summer. We now have 2 seasons. Above Average, March to December, Above Average with Some Snow, January and February.
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