NAM has been playing catch-up and moving south every run since its Green Bay special yesterday.
Excited for the potential, and we are basically getting to nowcast time.
Yeah, everything showing this thing shearing out and the NAM wanting to pump it up. I think RC mentioned the same thing earlier as well.
Looks like a blanket WWA for 3-6 across N IL and S WI
Well the 18z NAM has all of cooking county in the rain at 33hrs, remains the north outlier.
Edit: Long range HRRR throwing blindfolded darts well into WI.
HRRR trying to make this a Green Bay special. Really an obnoxious spread amongst the models, basically going to have to nowcast this thing. I-88 and north in IL can get the storied 0-8” forecast
I feel like anecdotally, the warm front/surge seems to get held up quite often along I-80/southern tip of Lake Michigan. Wouldn’t surprise me if that’s a big demarcation line. (Zero meteorological reasoning behind this thought, fyi)