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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Stebo
    Yeah so far the models stopped the bleeding tonight at least.
  2. Stebo
    The big takeaway from that post to me is the MJO, at the very least with a high amplitude wave, we are going to flush out the current pattern at the very least.
  3. Stebo
    Lol euro isn't even advisory criteria here. Garbage storm not worth wasting time on. Hope it just rains instead.
  4. Stebo
    Slower is bad, though I'm not sure on the low location and track. Seems a bit too far north in relation to the 500mb trough. Otherwise, this is going to shit pretty fast.
  5. Stebo
    Oh there will be ice. It might be transient because the band might not be stationary.
  6. Stebo
    Its sleeting here
  7. Stebo
    Yeah that next pattern is dusty clippers. Joy
  8. Stebo
    Wright-Patterson gusted to 72kts with the line as well.
  9. Stebo
    This would put us in the top 3 when added to everything up to date.
  10. Stebo
    Exactly as I expected, if the system on Wednesday is weak and flat there is no real CAA behind it and this will cut and be rain. Hell at this rate might as well put up the wettest January on record.
  11. Stebo
    Yeah and if things slow any with the system then the high slides away. The way things have been going, that is probably what will happen.
  12. Stebo
    We would be at 4.8" without that storm so yeah it wouldn't be good at all at this point.
  13. Stebo
    With the 14-15 storm coming in weaker there will be less cold air in place. That has me concerned.
  14. Stebo
    About the only thing that ended up verifying from this trash storm, still on the low side of the forecast window.
  15. Stebo
    Snowvember, it was one storm and we got incredibly lucky with it, otherwise we'd be chasing futility at this point.
  16. Stebo
    I just hope it isn't rain here, but I have a feeling it will be.
  17. Stebo
    So far 2.22" since yesterday in the bucket here at DTW. Been pretty much on pace with what was expected and should pick up at least .5" more before all is said and done.
  18. Stebo
    Completely unexpected that we are mixing down the winds right now, 49/34 temp/dew. Just gusted to 50mph at DTW.
  19. Stebo
  20. Stebo
    Region wide. I will safely take the under on this one.
  21. Stebo
    Mind you a stronger system is going to work both ways, stronger WAA but also stronger CAA too especially with that massive high pressing in. The slower this system ends up the more time the high gets to press in too.
  22. Stebo
    Oof that is a shitload of ice/sleet on the GFS for DTX's CWA.
  23. Stebo
    A couple of pictures before and while the snow squall hit. I would post the pictures directly here but a nice lovely error comes up... so here is my twitter post instead
  24. Stebo
    A bit of lightning in the thumb with some of these squalls coming through.
  25. Stebo
    What is interesting is the CAA really starts to strengthen from 66-84hr turning a lot of the rain to freezing rain. It would be interesting if A. this is a start of a trend and B. what would happen beyond that. With all the convection that will be south, it wouldn't surprise me to see the low further south as well especially if the system doesn't take a negative tilt which the NAM didn't do.
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