coastalplainsnowman
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Everything posted by coastalplainsnowman
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Presidents' day Snow potential
coastalplainsnowman replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
if only I could get that 5 x 10 mile snow rectangle on LI to shift 3 miles south I'm in business. -
The Blizzard of February 11, 1983 was 43 years ago this past Wednesday I'm reminded of it every year on the Friday preceding the February school winter break, because that's when it hit. Came in like a wall on LI in my location by 12:30 PM. By 2PM school was letting out early. For anyone in elementary school like me, our only memory of really big snow til then was quite hazy memories of the Blizzard of 78. Still remember my dad, as well as my elementary school teacher, telling us with barely-contained grins that morning that we'd only be getting 2-5" tops. Might have been the first time I heard the term "out to sea." That aged poorly as they say. Even after being let out early from school - imagine the chaos in a time before cell phones -- the forecast had been upped only to 8-10. While that was incredible to read on the Weather Channel ticker, it wasn't even close to the 16" we measured by ruler the next morning (so by the official method it might have been an additional inch or two). Even if it was just 16", it might as well have been 1,000. We'd gotten so little over the preceding years other than the 8" in the April blizzard the previous year, which this of course dwarfed. What a great storm. The week that followed had a lot of mild days. Spent days outside building and maintaining forts across the street from each other, having massive snowball fights, wearing hoodies and no coats. Actually ended up with a combo of wind and sunburn by the end of the week. Who knew it would be 13 years before we'd see anything like it again. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/February_1983_North_American_blizzard
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February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Well said. I believe that the soccer version of the Ball model calls for damp raw cold Saturdays for the first 7 weeks of the season, followed by precisely one top ten weather day, followed by 2 weeks of blazing Death Valley heat to end the season. Fall season is the nearly the opposite, but we have time for that. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Getting out of school early walking into the house, smelling soup on the stove, “the” TV tuned to the local news, with all the out-in-the-snow reports, news of cancellations, meteorologists in front of awesome maps, possibility of school closed the next day, etc.. and I wonder why still love the snow.. -
Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
coastalplainsnowman replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
You should clarify you mean at least another inch or someone's going to look to collect if we get 3". -
Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
coastalplainsnowman replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Would anyone have insight into what is going on with the hourly readings at KFRG (Farmingdale) and KISP (MacArthur/Islip Airport)? 1. Noticed a few days ago that there will often be four or five consecutive hours with the temperature unchanged, for example the past four hours at KFRG have been 30.9. 2. That's another thing - sometimes the temps are whole numbers, sometimes they're to the tenth of a degree. And there are far too many whole numbers to be chalked up to the temp being at the whole number and the decimal being dropped. It's like sometimes it's measured to the tenth, and sometimes it's not. 3. When did temps start being reported at all in tenth increments? I could well have missed it, but I don't recall ever seeing that. 4. I started noticing that the KFRG temp was quite different from my local temp fairly nearby, when it used to track quite closely. Today when I went to the KISP page I see that the temperatures are identical to KFRG, as if the KFRG numbers are literally KISP's. What gives? Edit: Here are the links to the KFRG and KISP 3 day history pages, respectively: KFRG: https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KFRG.html KISP: https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KISP.html -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Took this pic from Jersey City looking across the Hudson. Actually been checking over the past week and was disappointed to see not much ice. But today there was, and tomorrow will probably look better. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
How many times this meteorological winter will we say with confidence that this time there’s no way it’s going to snow meaningfully again looking out beyond ten days, only for a new threat to materialize immediately after. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Presumably only coming out of the faucets! Great to hear. Worst feeling in the world once the pipes freeze, just hoping that it ends well. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Thanks. My memory of the 1982 winter was all about the April blizzard. I didn't realize that winter featured a rare cold snap as well. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Granted we've lost some of this snowpack to sublimation and will continue to do so, but once temps start to moderate, would the melting snowpack be equivalent of a decent rainstorm? Maybe like 0.5" based on what the liquid equivalents were of the last storm (or last two storms, depending on location) less any sublimation? -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
exactly. 0F with 40mph winds: old chart: -53 0F with 40mph winds: new chart: -29 -53 sounds much cooler, pun intended. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Oh man. It's one thing to be in this weather just to get in and out of the car. It's another thing to be out working in it (or even, to a much lesser extent, just waiting 15 minutes for a train.) Working by the water no less. I can't even fathom it. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Agreed. Low teens with no wind is actually invigorating to me. What's going on out there right now though is as brutal as I can remember. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
That webcam at the traffic circle in Montauk still looks like it did 8 hours ago. Unreal! And to look at the radar (barely green on the radar view Upton uses) you wouldn't think they were getting much at all. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
This backbuilding / snow rotating in from the NE, totals of half a foot beyond what was forecast - I don't recall the possibility even being discussed for our any part of our area, and usually every possibility is discussed. Was it always expected, but just expected to occur further east? -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Montauk Circle traffic cam looking sweet right now. Following is the link with a blank before the "//" so that big image doesn't clutter the feed, also since it's been shared before: https: //www.youtube.com/watch?v=LL6HrtRsR3o -
Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
coastalplainsnowman replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
You're thinking of a different stat - "cumulative complaining." -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I respectfully disagree . I believe this ever since being introduced to the ‘cumulative snowpack’ stat (h/t Don), which I think is the best stat for how wintry a winter will be remembered, especially by the average person. I believe that years from now we’ll remember the cold and occasionally frigid temps, but we’ll mostly remember the deep snow and icepack which refused to budge for weeks, as well as the unique nature of the storm itself. If this had just been a two week stretch with an average high in the high 20s, with no snow, it would be very forgettable. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Anyone remember the old wind chill tables pre 2001? Some of those numbers seemed ridiculous even at the time. Under the old wind chill system, on Saturday night, the predicted 4 degree temperature for me would result in a wind chill of roughly -45 during a 40 mph max predicted gust, vs. the -22 in the current tables. The "Freezer Bowl" playoff game in 1982 between the Bengals and Chargers featured a -9 game time temperature and 35 mph gusts. As reported at the time, the wind chill was -59 at the time, and based on the tables seems it would have been even lower. Today, it would be a relatively mild -41. -
Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
coastalplainsnowman replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Same here. If we had gotten even another foot this past weekend a lot of those would become zero way streets. And yes, I still wish we had gotten another foot. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
That's an interesting stat and probably as good an indicator as any of how 'snowy' a winter will be remembered by the average Joe. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Narrator: They can not. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Man I miss American cars from the 70s. Old enough that my first car was from that era. Look at that thing. It's a station wagon and it's still cool.
