coastalplainsnowman

Assuming things stay on track of course, if the Bills won last weekend, we could have witnessed an epic AFC Championship at Foxboro this Sunday in the snow. I suppose nowadays they probably would have moved or postponed it though.

inches?

The way things are these days, the storm doesn't even have to materialize beyond a minor storm. If the models are still showing this at 5PM on Sunday, everything everywhere will be closed, even if not a flake has fallen from the sky yet.

An amendment to a thread title requires a) two thirds vote of the moderators -and- b) ratification by popular vote of the members representing three fourths of the counties comprising NYC metro

I am starting to get inquiries from normal family and friends asking me about the storm next weekend. It seems that the hype machine may be warming up and that word of this potential storm has broken containment beyond the nerdosphere.

My favorite webcam out there - seeing what it looks like now compared to when we're on vacation out there, sun setting, the lawn full, restaurants buzzing. I love the snow but that's pretty great too.

For anyone who cares, from a snow standpoint this playoff game in Foxboro could be fun to watch toward the end.

Very little to speak of here. Temp stubbornly mid 30s and the slushy ~0.5" that accumulated when it was a bit heavier is sliding off the cars etc. Just 3-4 miles north where I was this morning though different story. Probably between 1.5 and 2", accumulated on most surfaces other than roads, and was coming down good for awhile. Was drizzly there too as I was headed back here though.

well done

Wish I was there. Did we have "death band" in the list that was started for all the terms used here to describe heavy snow? That's a good one I think we missed. Adding it to the list..

Anyone here remember channel surfing 35-40 years ago to hear what everyone was saying about an incoming snowstorm, and there were always one or two guys who seemed to always be on the conservative side, almost sounded happy to announce that a storm was going to miss, or especially turn to 'plain rain' etc? Couldn't stand when they sounded happy. But you always wanted to see what those guys were saying, because on the rare occasions when they were talking big potential amounts you knew then that we could have something real on our hands.

Yeah but she cares if the PNA is negative amirite? sorry just wanted to sound smart

Why is it that there's an emoji and a negative term for people perceived as getting overly excited at the prospect of snow, but not a corresponding emoji and negative term for people who are just as excited when a potential for snow fizzles out? The latter group seems more questionable to me. It's like being a Mets fan vs being someone who doesn't root for any particular team, but just roots against the Mets all day. I think we should coin a new phrase for the latter group, and create an appropriate emoji. I propose the term bun.

This was the year of course that the preceding December was frigid. Snowed on Thankgiving if memory serves, and we got absolutely skunked on a big snow we were supposed to get in December. (1989 was a big year for skunking - see March 1989 which nailed AC and Montauk but NYC metro whiffed.) I remember Joe Cioffi on News12 informally betting the desk anchors that December that we'd see over 20" of snow before winter was done. Instead got about just 7" the rest of the way.

Memories of this classic:

In early December there was much fretting about how we were destined to a pattern of cold and dry. Lo and behold, a 6"+ snowstorm for everyone arrives on the 13th. Then, just as the final flakes were falling from that storm, one could not get through 3 replies without reading about the inevitable torch headed our way and how it was unlikely to snow again this millennium. Instead the last two weeks of December had one day in the 50s, sure, but multiple days with highs in the 30s, multiple sub-freezing highs, and a 4-8" snowstorm. Then it couldn't stop flurrying every night for 3-4 nights straight. No one knows with any certainty whether or it's going to snow or not 10-14 days out and especially beyond. When there's cold air forecast to be around for awhile, things have a way of happening. I'm taking it a couple of days at a time, and I won't at all be surprised if we see measurable snow in that timeframe. And that's based on nothing but being around for awhile and having seen this movie before. That and having stayed at a Holiday Inn last night.

What are your thoughts on the predictive capabilities of groundhogs?

Do you pity the fool who believes anything over two days out?

IYKYK

I remember being out in Stony Brook a few days after this storm. While I thought I got crushed at home, when I got out there it was like 150% of what I'd gotten, just crazy. And that was a day or two afterwards. Some crazy gradients, right?

Guys I just found this, which you may already be aware of. Is the score actually calculated as shown below? If so, it looks like it is calculated based strictly on the depth of the snow, the area of the land it covers, and the population inhabiting said land, and without regard to whether the location is within the 'northeast.' Edit: It does look like this is how the score is calculated. ChatGPT does a great job explaining this with examples. It mentions that it calibrates to account for population growth as well.

I am really surprised that there wasn't more discussion on the Blizzard of '96 here today! 30 years ago, so maybe it's just that a lot of posters on here are too young to remember it. Check out the NESIS score on this bad boy: 11.78. While there were quite a few big storms between 2000-2018 which were similar enough to it around here, it stands out for me if for no other reason that it was the first foot+ storm for most of us in the city on south / east since the Blizzard of '83 nearly 13 years prior (1993 "Storm of the Century" was ruined by sleet for us.) For many of us who barely remember 1978, there was 1978 and 1983, and that was it, til 1996. I think the last foot+ around here was what, 2018? Imagine if we didn't have another one til 2031 what this place would be like when it happens. Seeing >20" snow - and the things that it covered, like Christmas decorations that neighbors had ill-advisedly not taken down -- "the soldiers are covered!!" was unreal. Stuff like that is why I'm here. Ok that's all I got.

30 years ago tonight, something really big was on our doorstep, I just can't quite remember what it was.

Thanks. I should clarify. I had an outdoor home thermometer I was watching closely that morning, and it briefly hit -1. KFRG had the low at 1, but I remember others nearby on here reporting subzero. I do see that Feb 2016 had a zero day too per KFRG, but that's the closest I see that they got since 2014. I know I'm mixing apples and oranges here. Also, I'm getting my history via the Almanac section of weather underground for KFRG, clicking through month by month. So this is messy for sure. To your point, elsewhere on the island in the past 12 years I'm sure you're right that other stations have gone below zero.

On this date 12 years ago, some places on LI went subzero. Was that the last time in these parts (excluding Westhampton Beach)?