rochesterdave

3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Well I got my ice storm so I'm happy. Solid block of ice on car this morning, took forever to get off. 

Good call on this one

Back end rolling in now. Let’s see if it can salvage this. 

4 minutes ago, vortmax said:

50 miles north. Every time with these. 

Very heavy snow…..for now….

Flakes in Roc. I too would consider 6” a win. 

28 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Check out the chaos of the GFS for WNY which came NORTH (lol):

 

Well…it was the same for 23 runs…and then this. Lol

I better be careful about teasing Matt. He might shiv a bitch. God damn, those numbers…..wtf 

14 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

The secondary barely looks to form, which is why precip. is being cut off from the east as well. Looks like my call of 3 to 6 inches from Sunday with all the reasons I thought might happen will come to fruition.

You never said that

HiREZ GFS still coming in hot for those pretty far north. 

IDK how these radars always go down at the worst possible time 

Just now, lakeeffectkid383 said:

Euro has been straight trash this year. What a fall from just a few years ago when it was the King. 

No kidding. Crazy

9 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said:

Dude just sit back relax and enjoy the show! Anything’s better than nothing. I think your a lock for 6”  and think your in a much better spot then BuffaloWeather and I. 

I love freaking out over each model run. For me that’s half the fun

14 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Sure looks like more than 4 inches in roc

Been thinking the same thing. I bet they bust low but dang they are usually pretty good. Like Matt said, maybe they know something 

1 minute ago, wolfie09 said:

The track of the rgem is just some noise but it weakness/transfers several hours sooner, compared to the NAM..

We might start crying bust when that dryslot comes through only to have the back end save us as usual. 
Not a big one but a solid 5-10

Strong 18z runs for thruway corridor. NWS riding that line. Gonna be close to warning amounts I think. 

15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Still playing catch up lol

Pretty big changes

49 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

It's now time to keep an eye on the hrrr, see if any"trends" develop as we get closer..

17z by tomorrow AM

Great look

I’d be surprised if EURO didn’t bump NW

3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Here I'll help you out..

Lock it in

4 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

GFS not really showing lake enhancement due south of L.O. We Toss.

Plus, it has Syracuse all snow. TOSS

Just now, DeltaT13 said:

I mean with the speed of this system I don’t think you can realistically expect much more. A solid 6 inch storm would be fine by me. I’m going to Bristol first thing tomorrow. Pretty big gamble with the mix line so close but the season is quickly coming to a close so I’m rolling the dice. 

I hope you get lucky. Definitely close. I’d be psyched with 6”. I think once we count the backside we could get a few areas of 10” on the south shore. 
Have fun! Could be an epic day. 

1 minute ago, Syrmax said:

Salty.  Must be invasion jitters.

Pot meet kettle. 

1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said:

 

 

Oh, geez. Another 100 posts from tiny tim about 70:1 ratios and pictures of zero visibility at Rochester Airport...

Be nice. It wouldn’t be a storm without bitter kuchera arguments and pics of the airport.