rochesterdave

Not loving WPC totals. NAM coming into usefulness tonight? 

2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

3 Things I'm thankful for right now:

1) My dentist

2) Being able to take wet socks off

3) Novocain 

Dude, you should try nitrous. I now look forward to the dentist. 

Still looks decent for thruway 

The 700 just south. I guess. 

500 is pretty north. Not great. 

5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Ouch. 

Pretty sharp, flat cutoff, just over the state line. Only our far southern members need to be concerned. With that strong HP to the north I think it’ll only go so far to the north. 

5 hours ago, BGM Blizzard said:

0z Ensembles

Definitely seems like it’s trending drier for western areas. Maybe this will jackpot more of CNY. So unfair! Lol

14 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Gfs and Cmc sleet lines

126 hours out and within miles of each other. These are getting good

Pretty locked in it seems. At least for now. 

13 minutes ago, tim123 said:

I think it drizzles in the sizzle

You sure know how to make friends 

27 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Noone is talking about the big warmup and rainstorm coming?  Looking for 3/4" here.  Maybe more for ROC and BUF. Should we get a separate storm n obs thread going?

Trying to ignore it

I feel like this storm has a lot in common with the early February one. Monster high to the north seems familiar here. Hope so. 

This has a good potential to be a solid hit for almost all of us. Would be nice for a change. 

Gotta agree with Tombo, I’d add another 25 miles to the final mix line. They always sneak a bit further north than modeled. Couple days before we have a handle on it. But these models have been scary good. I wouldn’t be surprised if what we see today is ultimately how it unfolds. 

1 minute ago, Buffalo Bumble said:

View of Whiteface across the Ausable River valley during a hike this morning. If you zoom way in you can see Buf Weather hiking at about 4,120 feet…
 

Looks like he’s wearing shorts

5” is a decent little storm. Maybe try and lower your expectations. Besides, it’s one model out of several. 
Only 24 more model runs to go

I really like the chance for enhancement with this storm. Long duration of ENE winds. Something to watch for. 

Snow-wise March is our most exciting month IMHO. We’ve had our biggest storms in March (in my life) and it isn’t even really close. 
Get into the woods and March is deep winter usually. Up near the Tug, March is awesome. TYPICALLY LOL. Caveats galore…

3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

It still looks good, but definitely weaker than earlier runs.

The thing I like the most about this system is the FLATTER, more lateral movement/look. Not another one of these where the trajectory is a sharp diagonal.

Yeah. We don’t want that low getting to Jamestown. Seriously 

CMC is pretty impressive look. 

2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Looks a bit better for our neck of the woods. The snowfall map actually looks really good, which is rare for the Icon:

You're fine. We all seem to have our own interests and quirks in terms of weather weenieism. It's actually quite interesting to see the different personalities and who looks for what type of weather.

That’s about as crazy as the ICON gets. It’s really excited. Lol

CMC is gonna be nice. 

Starting to get on board with this one. I didn’t want to track until it looked more likely. I can get a little obsessed once I commit to tracking. Maybe some of you have noticed…

Definitely bumped north though.