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H2Otown_WX

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Everything posted by H2Otown_WX

  1. H2Otown_WX
    Alright. I'll give you a foot if it bombs like the NAM or lesser extent GFS...we'll see.
  2. H2Otown_WX
    South of 41N skunked?
  3. H2Otown_WX
    C'mon, that's a ridiculous forecast lol. The forward speed of this won't allow for accumulations that high imo.
  4. H2Otown_WX
    Do we value them? Is AI doing better than the regular Euro?
  5. H2Otown_WX
    Man, that was one hell of a weenie run from the 00z Euro. Guess it can only get worse from here lol. I imagine December '95 was a bit similar to what it's showing. No KU but just a nickel 'n dime pattern with 3-6/4-8" type events every 5 days or so.
  6. H2Otown_WX
    Are you saying what I think you're saying? That CC says I should find a new hobby?
  7. H2Otown_WX
    One of the all time great modeling rallies. I'll never forget watching the 00z run roll in on Christmas Eve. Or maybe it was 18z?
  8. H2Otown_WX
    NAM is useless outside 48 hours, I'm glad it isn't showing a desirable outcome
  9. H2Otown_WX
    OT but is the east side of Simsbury really low in elevation? I'm surprised you're < 200'
  10. H2Otown_WX
    I feel like this a particularly weird battle because the GFS is usually the least amped
  11. H2Otown_WX
    Not really, he has high amounts much farther south
  12. H2Otown_WX
    ECMWF LR pattern looks a lot better than the GFS as @ORH_wxman outlined yesterday. It shows low heights rotating through the Aluetians with +PNA ridge underneath:
  13. H2Otown_WX
    Not down here
  14. H2Otown_WX
    The models run too many times per day. Just run them at 00 and 12z and then nobody has to live and die by these stupid off hour runs.
  15. H2Otown_WX
    Yeah, the vort is not consolidated, strung out POS
  16. H2Otown_WX
    I feel like it's been the most consistent whereas the Euro changes with the wind. Idk, weird to consider the GFS possibly leading the way on this but I would say climo argues for a track similar to what it's showing.
  17. H2Otown_WX
    What are the temps like?
  18. H2Otown_WX
    37"?
  19. H2Otown_WX
    Looks like 6-10+ on the Euro
  20. H2Otown_WX
    When the pattern comes together "I know the pieces fit"
  21. H2Otown_WX
    An '07 redux? Are you thinking a -PNA for the first half of the month?
  22. H2Otown_WX
    Fixed
  23. H2Otown_WX
    Yeah, I was thinking that run had some CC infused flavor to it. The southeast ridge was pumped up like a Nino December lol
  24. H2Otown_WX
    Meh, how'd those cloud physics workout for you?
  25. H2Otown_WX
    Do you think there could be a wave spacing issue given the signal for something in the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe next week? I guess that should be enough to let Saturday do its thing but it's a little close I'd say. Will probably come down to what that midweek piece of energy does.
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