Bubbler86

Sound like that is a call for 3 hour panels? :-)

It sure did. Rapid death.

SWS for a strong storm issued for Perry and Cumberland. Dauphin in its sights.

Wow, I have been focusing on the 6Z panels. Usually temps are rising by 12Z.

This translate to upper 40's out your way when running it through a Euro to GFSese translator.

I bet. I sometimes focus too much on the LSV but yea hope we all get something here eventually. Surprised you missed it all yesterday. Atmosphere is playing hardball.

HRRR is insistent, for many runs, on a late evening line of storms forming along the M/D line...for the Southern team.

Every two weeks or so we seem to root for the Euro. My current qpf slanted view is having a bit harder time with it. The complete lack of anything representing a near US tropical discussable event into August is something as well. The entire Atlantic Basin is devoid and ridge dominated (pretty typical this time of the year) and the Hispaniola area is a no.

I think they almost always understate the coverage of these convective cells. 3K nam has been unusable recently.

Operation flood rescue recommences in Harrisburg. MDT about to go 10 for 14 in the month.

All of them have a trough over or close to New England. A bit rocky on agreement out west but close.

Calling foul on that one. It is still to your west. LOL. Unless you mean at your job?

One of these days you are going to have a Training event planned beside a railroad track while a tropical storm throw's bands over your location...and you are going to implode with things to consider. :-)

There is plenty more coming out of Cumberland. NWS Zones should automatically add 20% to all other forecasts for southern Dauphin county.

LOL. So on the current radar...What do you know, Harrisburg area being given the old one two qpf punch again.

It was training time. Better to wait it out then try to bulldog through and end up needed a helicopter rescue.

I was just thinking of that. It is very reminiscent. Boat continues on tomorrow albeit it less....Friday may be dry. MDT has had rain 9 of the 13 days so far.

18.43. 7.71 on Sept 7th.

16 days at or above 90 in August of 1995. No reason to do play by play of the models that year. This board would have been down for the count.

I thought of you when posting this since we discussed the personal vs. MDT records earlier. The third place month is no where near there top two at 12.08" in July 2018. On the flip side the sum min is Oct 1924 at .02. In recent times August 1995 only had 1/2" for the whole month.

Your post reminded me that I wanted to look up the precip Max for MDT and it was an Agnes inspired 18.70" in June 1972. I am sure that has been mentioned here before but this month it felt appropriate as MDT is on a Ballpark figured pace for 14-15" right now. MDT has already had more precip than any Feb or March in history and has a decent chance of adding Jan, Apr, May, July, August, October, November and December to the list. Tropical Storm Lee was second in September. Officially MDT is on pace for the third highest ever precip month as of tdoay.

Get the sandbags ready!

That is what it basically shows. Systems have to go through your area to go anywhere. Let's see what it shows in 5 hours. LOL. It's really making some drastic jumps the last few days.

Really wound up, isn't it? It does put us near the base of it and S/W's traverse the area every couple days (a week plus out). Much better than the country wide (North to South) ridge from a few runs ago. This weekends front is a bit more progressive than 6Z. Quite a bit drier and back to the closer terrible look from yesterday where some could see little rain for a week or more. Edit-Fantasy Land GFS has you not feeling worried about rain.

Some decent but compact downpours starting to get closer for areas a bit north of the 'Burg. Hope to see a bit more formation south of them soon.