Even if it does not loop as far west as the HRRR is predicting, I bet there are some 2-4" totals in this area of PA as the moisture streams back upon the trough....loop back and we go 6-10" lollipops and expanding the zone up into NE PA.
Yea and I keep posting it because 1) The Hrrr usually does not show qpf in that amounts. 2) It will not let go of the low coming in so far south and west them looping back over PA. I know better than to try and forecast this myself but still something to keep an eye on. And with tropical systems the model qpf's are frequently low in the areas that end up with the most.
The HRRR still giving parts of LSV a thumping. Waynesboro just picked up 3/4"" of rain in 40 min. Rain Forest tropical downpour. Nothing in the 'Ville so far.
But he would have all the data showing who had hacked HRRR. Unfortunately only he and The Sleestack can read the data so you will just have to trust him.
I am frankly not sure where to get data for OCF temps but if you find it you should see some lows in the 40's (or maybe even upper 30's) in October 2006.
It snowed again in November 2006 and that was officially recorded at some recording stations. The snow I saw in October was not but it was real. I was out playing tennis under the lights and it was COLD.