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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Sterling did well with it though the under forecast farther east.
  2. Bubbler86
    News extended the advisory into Franklin County PA.
  3. Bubbler86
    You sir, have ruined my dinner.
  4. Bubbler86
    Jersey Shore will be abuzz with beach goers.
  5. Bubbler86
    The GFS on TT is not even to the Wed storm yet but the PAweather 540 line is north of the LSV prior to the system so that is all I need to see unfortunately.
  6. Bubbler86
    Clouds moving in here. Made it to 63 but going back now. Look at Cap City sitting at 63 and MDT at 61. That 67 record was not "too" far from being challenged.
  7. Bubbler86
    I have been leaning more warminista (in a sense of how I think it may go vs. what I want) so far late fall and early winter so not really panhandling around looking for snow in places I will not find any. But I do post what the models show regardless of how correct they may end up. More importantly, let's use the word tricks instead of trix, right chief? LOL
  8. Bubbler86
    240 Euro is not good news but not nearly as bad as the GFS. SER is there but displaced hundreds of miles to the east. Need it displaced more for good news.
  9. Bubbler86
    Atomic is already crafting a reply to the bolded area. I do agree that if one wants to forecast long range and go with blended averages, the tellies are a much better route than the models.
  10. Bubbler86
    It was not directed at your post, it was directed at the teleconnection forecasting being as limited as ground truth forecasting. Lots of erroneous assumptions made based on past performances of the numbers. With that said, I do not like the look of Mid Dec at all just because the models are all bailing on it.
  11. Bubbler86
    4-6" in Palmyra.
  12. Bubbler86
    It turns to rain eventually but a good tracker for now.
  13. Bubbler86
    I am still stuck in my LSV way of thinking, I will try to do better. I cannot get out to Mag and include you unless I have less stations. The board balks at the pic size.
  14. Bubbler86
    Just coming in and looking exciting for the Wed storm.
  15. Bubbler86
    I think we all busted too low (those that made any type of forecast). Its overachieving. Big surprise.
  16. Bubbler86
    It's not done on purpose, just my old way of doing things, sorry. I cannot expand them too much though as it gets too large but can include you.
  17. Bubbler86
    61 here, Cap City 60, MDT 58. Getting some upper 60's in Franklin now. Those AM clouds did nothing to stop it.
  18. Bubbler86
    Well at least until 4-5PMish. I personally and not sold on teleconnections being an end all.
  19. Bubbler86
    Yea, its rain in your neck but a lot better than the GFS look. What is that saying...at least we are in the game?
  20. Bubbler86
    The CMC is a little easier on the eyes with the Training Time mid week storm. Ice Storm west of the Susq.
  21. Bubbler86
    Reverse way to look at it, GFS only shows MDT getting up to 70 or higher 4 of the 15 days? That is 11 days it does not.
  22. Bubbler86
    Babu: You make me look at the GFS, but there is no cold air! You say GFS cannot get worse? But where is the cold air? You see cold air? Show me cold air.
  23. Bubbler86
    Sorry, Atomic....sigh...69 is the magic number.
  24. Bubbler86
    We are at 58 so 60 is happening here.
  25. Bubbler86
    67 is the magic number. Doubtful but...
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