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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    San's hotdog, that is your MO. A good one.
  2. Bubbler86
    This NAM map is another good view of the issue. We don't want a 1027 High in Wisconsin/Illinois heading S/E, do we? It's going to be a bully
  3. Bubbler86
    Good map. My take on the reason is circled below. Could be wrong though. Using the 543 line as an example to focus on, the Isobars now show a tighter look and stronger push from the north. Less room for a tug and amplification...leading to the minoring out you mention. It eventually "reforms" as it approaches the SE coast.
  4. Bubbler86
    I added it to avoid any confusion. Too often, model discussion gets taken as forecast opinion.
  5. Bubbler86
    The irony about the trending for our current situation is what you mention about it being cold next week. EC limits the warmth via slightly stronger ridging to our North. We got what we wanted...but not really. Edit-Just model discussion, not a forecast or giving up.
  6. Bubbler86
    @TimB84, in the zone of extremes, check out these 12Z temps on the Euro. No records here as the temps dip heading in that night but Low to Mid 60's at Sunrise. Holy Crap. That Mid West Blizzard is sucking up the warms.
  7. Bubbler86
    Personally I would not buy it yet (South) as the GFS has been consistent and still is as of now. But cannot argue that it is a trend this AM. It started days ago when we started getting into the cold sector of the storm. It just has not stopped. I think Canderson was worried about the 7th so he is in the clear it would seem.
  8. Bubbler86
    Not for the far Southeast US. Seems UK on board with the southern run as well.
  9. Bubbler86
    Good Morning, I saw that was our "best boy" this AM. I think the Icon precip shield is a bit underdone as well. That Upper Mid West High is bullying the system on the other models, including the Nam which seems prime to slide south. That is one big change from a few days ago. We were talking about a retreating higher over the North East vs. what now seems to be an issues with the SLP gaining latitude
  10. Bubbler86
    40 on the dot this AM. Some surprising results form last night's models....more credence to a south miss but still lots of darts to go. FHS back in the house?
  11. Bubbler86
    Good stuff. Meat of the system there.
  12. Bubbler86
    Hopefully you are vaxxed!
  13. Bubbler86
    I was just putting away my ski mask, snow shovel, and tire chains based on advise from the MA thread. Should I hold off?
  14. Bubbler86
    All this nonsense and butt hurt in OT got me off track from watching the 18Z GFS to see if the lesser amp'ed solution would show up and follow suit with other modeling. Looks so but only slightly....not a snow storm but colder and south compared to 12Z. Sort of like a slightly more amped version of the UK.
  15. Bubbler86
    You were not around much in the summer, guy, but I have been a vocal dissenter of the Euro but try to do it without insulting anyone who does not agree. I do not like when some of the chicken no littles in the MA bash the Nam because they read someone else doing it. But to me its just another suite to talk about and compare.
  16. Bubbler86
    Now is his time with the Euro hot off the presses. . Plus Michigan is in the CFP at the moment.
  17. Bubbler86
    The 510 line makes its first LSV appearance at 240.
  18. Bubbler86
    You may have started a new theme for the season. 'At least were are throwing darts' to indicate something is on the map. Nut is posting, Blizz top 4, etc...winter is here!
  19. Bubbler86
    How much for Shortpump. In all seriousness we really do have a full suite of solutions here. GFS is still amped. UKIE and Icon focus on the first piece of energy but slides below us (good times). Euro and CMC both shows signs of a second system forming that keeps the whole deal minimized for us.
  20. Bubbler86
    Sure, totally different evolution this time. Energy seems split keeping thins further south and less moisture laden as a second SLP forms on the front well to our south.
  21. Bubbler86
    Just added them to my previous post.
  22. Bubbler86
    Storm basically minors out/starts to transfer to the coast going into Wed evening. On the plus side, there is no strong surge of warm air. But not a lot of qpf for PA.
  23. Bubbler86
    Storm is hundreds of miles "slower" as we go into Wed Afternoon...still light snow M/D and north.
  24. Bubbler86
    Very light snow breaking out Wed AM. HP about the same place as 0Z at this point....a bit East.
  25. Bubbler86
    Upper level cold is fairly deep to start Tuesday. 540 line down in central VA. HP actually centered a bit further south than we may want it.
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