Yea, I figured you had someone lined up but sounded like they were worried about snow. Some will go no matter how much snow. Just have to worry about a "new person". I will drive over there vs. let your cat die.
Since it is your house I am unsure of your comfort level, but there are hundreds of pet sitters around Harrisburg of which some are animals lovers and will do anything and everything to get to your house....or even stay there several days.
The GFS joins the suppression/strung out look for mid week. Voyager, PAweather and Marysville are ground 0 with Warning level snows. (Edit-Another impulse comes by and everyone is warning level) Drawn out over a long period though.
Plus its been in the 50's several days over the last two weeks. Much more so here than in the central LSV. So I see that part of it but still thought it would have stopped growing after the freezes.
I do not have a therm handy but several nights in the low 20's....seems strange. I would have expected it to go dormant. Several thick frosts as well. It's the same in Hanover, Gettysburg, etc...people out mowing today.
That is my usual routine but it was too high to let go. Plus the onions look terrible sprouting up above the grass. I do not know why, but the grass is definitely not dormant yet. The only thing keeping from weekly mowing is the lack of rain.
So seems almost everything is somewhat suppressed for Wed...except the GFS so will be surprised if it holds ground at 18Z. Suppressed does not mean snowless. T-2" in the LSV on most models.
I just did the grass and worked up a minor sweat. First time I have mowed in December since Florida and even in Florida it was only once or two years. Usually dec-feb is mow free there. I actually had those onions you see in the yard growing. Crazy.
Good map. My take on the reason is circled below. Could be wrong though. Using the 543 line as an example to focus on, the Isobars now show a tighter look and stronger push from the north. Less room for a tug and amplification...leading to the minoring out you mention. It eventually "reforms" as it approaches the SE coast.
The irony about the trending for our current situation is what you mention about it being cold next week. EC limits the warmth via slightly stronger ridging to our North. We got what we wanted...but not really. Edit-Just model discussion, not a forecast or giving up.
@TimB84, in the zone of extremes, check out these 12Z temps on the Euro. No records here as the temps dip heading in that night but Low to Mid 60's at Sunrise. Holy Crap. That Mid West Blizzard is sucking up the warms.
Personally I would not buy it yet (South) as the GFS has been consistent and still is as of now. But cannot argue that it is a trend this AM. It started days ago when we started getting into the cold sector of the storm. It just has not stopped. I think Canderson was worried about the 7th so he is in the clear it would seem.