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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. GFS Drains the swamp (of cold air) again. Indiana, PA one of the coldest spots in the US under 3000'.
  2. I will take a shot. The air mass is coming out of Canada is quite cold as it moves into the Upper Mid West....the return flow from that ridge erodes it pretty quickly though so "stale cold"?
  3. Except that short period, the GFS is actually not that warm its just not cold. Its moderate or temperate. Not quite balmy.
  4. You have had a few biggies out there but I know what you mean. The airmass we currently have means you will not miss much regardless.
  5. I know the feeling. I travel to Florida every few months and it gets stressful, in the winter, watching digital snow on models that I may miss. I fear I will miss the Blizzard of 2022!
  6. Low to mid 50's. Probably mid with the Nam being low so often. .
  7. On this subject, the Nam's have been too cool almost all summer and continue into the fall. Definitely something to watch for if they are they only ones calling for an icing event on a future system. Its been almost every day they are several degrees too cool.
  8. Well the Nam does not go out that far of course. But if we are going to have days in the 50's and 60's, make it on the weekend.
  9. 12Z Nam is a shorts day tomorrow which is good news IMO. No precip around anyway.
  10. There is a guy in the Pitt thread, @Ahoff with a similar predicament as you. Wants a "Get out of jail free" card on rooting for snow so they can travel.
  11. That should just about cover it all. Done and Done
  12. That seems to be the way it rolls. The warnings are the events that under produce. 40 and sunny here...feels like a 50's day.
  13. 35-40 degree difference. Mid 70's vs. near 40 (MDT).
  14. Well we will need better from your 540 line...if I could put that request in? One good piece of news is that the record high for Monday is 73 and I doubt MDT breaks 70 so we probably do not reach that one either. No reason to add stamps of bad onto the winter so quickly.
  15. Sterling did well with it though the under forecast farther east.
  16. News extended the advisory into Franklin County PA.
  17. The GFS on TT is not even to the Wed storm yet but the PAweather 540 line is north of the LSV prior to the system so that is all I need to see unfortunately.
  18. Clouds moving in here. Made it to 63 but going back now. Look at Cap City sitting at 63 and MDT at 61. That 67 record was not "too" far from being challenged.
  19. I have been leaning more warminista (in a sense of how I think it may go vs. what I want) so far late fall and early winter so not really panhandling around looking for snow in places I will not find any. But I do post what the models show regardless of how correct they may end up. More importantly, let's use the word tricks instead of trix, right chief? LOL
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