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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. You may have started a new theme for the season. 'At least were are throwing darts' to indicate something is on the map. Nut is posting, Blizz top 4, etc...winter is here!
  2. How much for Shortpump. In all seriousness we really do have a full suite of solutions here. GFS is still amped. UKIE and Icon focus on the first piece of energy but slides below us (good times). Euro and CMC both shows signs of a second system forming that keeps the whole deal minimized for us.
  3. Sure, totally different evolution this time. Energy seems split keeping thins further south and less moisture laden as a second SLP forms on the front well to our south.
  4. Storm basically minors out/starts to transfer to the coast going into Wed evening. On the plus side, there is no strong surge of warm air. But not a lot of qpf for PA.
  5. Storm is hundreds of miles "slower" as we go into Wed Afternoon...still light snow M/D and north.
  6. Very light snow breaking out Wed AM. HP about the same place as 0Z at this point....a bit East.
  7. Upper level cold is fairly deep to start Tuesday. 540 line down in central VA. HP actually centered a bit further south than we may want it.
  8. I personally would not punt beyond mid Dec and even that is not as punt with a potential winter system next week. I think all modeling shows wintery weather here except the GFS....
  9. I was wondering if the +8 had a shot but recent runs are tempering it a bit to just a run of the mill AN departure.
  10. That was what I was alluding too...where we want it for now.
  11. CMC, for the Mid Week system, is just like the Ukie except right where we want it...sliding by to our south at the moment.
  12. I hear Mike has a similar workout regime to JB as well!
  13. GFS Drains the swamp (of cold air) again. Indiana, PA one of the coldest spots in the US under 3000'.
  14. I will take a shot. The air mass is coming out of Canada is quite cold as it moves into the Upper Mid West....the return flow from that ridge erodes it pretty quickly though so "stale cold"?
  15. Except that short period, the GFS is actually not that warm its just not cold. Its moderate or temperate. Not quite balmy.
  16. You have had a few biggies out there but I know what you mean. The airmass we currently have means you will not miss much regardless.
  17. I know the feeling. I travel to Florida every few months and it gets stressful, in the winter, watching digital snow on models that I may miss. I fear I will miss the Blizzard of 2022!
  18. Low to mid 50's. Probably mid with the Nam being low so often. .
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