Decent teleconnections discussion on the MA thread right now. Unlike the usual wish casting, its a valid progression being shown the GEFS for a rockin' January.
Euro with a Gorilla in the Gulf scenario. They are so rare these days....would need that high displaced a bit north though. Euro showed several GAG setups last year and they all fizzled so....grain of salt.
Only one night at or below freezing on the 12Z GFS panels through next weekend. One thing this does is limits any chance of typical ice skating scenes on ponds this winter (yet again). Having nothing frozen over late into Dec. That is one BIG difference from our visions of winters past...especially in movies.
Maybe, but I thought I read the cold is back after 240? Hemisphere wise its certainly much better Christmas week than previous, real cold is much closer to us, but its still in the mid 40's Christmas day.
Post 240 (which means GFS when talking Op's), if you put the 2M map into motion, note the cache of cold air in Canada and the far Northern US is not exactly moving directly South East. Its more of an ESE direction. So I personally do not see the hounds of winter anywhere on the GFS. Its disappointing a bit. At least there will be cold air nearby to tap...but nothing cold for us on that whole run. The trough is very broad.
I have never seen this movie. Will have to watch it. My favorite scene from him was in the Police Squad movies where he plays Umpire. It's not only funny, it strikes very true in the emphatic way some Ump's play up strikes.